亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）警告比特幣（BTC）持有人觀看$ 76500的支持水平

Bitmex前首席執行官Arthur Hayes再次通過比特幣預測成為頭條新聞。這次，海耶斯發出了警告

Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, has once again entered the crypto sphere with his insights. This time, Hayes is warning about Bitcoin’s upcoming trajectory.

Bitmex的前首席執行官Arthur Hayes再次通過自己的見解進入了加密貨幣領域。這次，海斯警告比特幣即將到來的軌跡。

In an April 3 post on X, previously Twitter, Hayes expressed his concern over Liberation Day, which might have brought further instability to the market. He highlighted that $76,500 will be a key Bitcoin support level to watch until April 14, the U.S. tax filing deadline.

在4月3日在X上的一篇文章中，海耶斯對解放日表示關注，這可能會給市場帶來進一步的不穩定。他強調，直到4月14日（美國稅收申請截止日期），$ 76,500將是要觀看的關鍵比特幣支持水平。

“Mrkt no likey "Liberation Day", if $BTC can hold $76.5k btw now and US tax day Apr 15, then we are out of the woods. Don't get chopped up!”

“ MRKT NO BIKEY“解放日”，如果$ BTC現在可以持有$ 76.5K的$ 76.5K，而美國稅日4月15日，我們就不在樹林裡。不要被砍掉！”

Several investors agreed with Hayes’ statement and stated that it is better to be safe than sorry. They also added that the days leading up to tax day have seen price shakeups in the cryptocurrency market, which might be why Hayes is making this statement.

幾位投資者同意海耶斯的聲明，並表示要安全比後悔要好。他們還補充說，納稅當天開始的日子已經在加密貨幣市場上漲了價格，這可能就是海耶斯正在發表這一說法的原因。

Earlier this week, Hayes linked the current volatility to broader economic factors. In his April 1 blog post titled ‘The BBC’, Hayes asserted that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may soon be compelled to resume quantitative easing (QE).

本週早些時候，海耶斯將目前的波動與更廣泛的經濟因素聯繫起來。海耶斯在4月1日的博客文章“ BBC”中聲稱，美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）可能很快被迫恢復定量寬鬆（QE）。

“The Fed and U.S. Banks will have to step in as buyers of last resort for Treasuries,” a situation which he believes would benefit risky assets like Bitcoin by improving liquidity in the market.

“美聯儲和美國銀行將不得不介入國庫的最後一個購買者，”他認為這種情況將通過改善市場流動性來使風險的資產受益。

Looking beyond the immediate challenges, Hayes has remained bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term growth. He predicts that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025, driven by economic developments and increasing global liquidity. Comparing Bitcoin’s potential reaction to QE with gold’s performance during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, Hayes anticipates a delayed but dramatic price growth for the digital asset.

除了直接挑戰之外，海耶斯對比特幣的長期增長仍然看漲。他預測，在經濟發展和增加全球流動性的推動下，到2025年底，比特幣將達到25萬美元。將比特幣對量化寬鬆的潛在反應與2008 - 2009年金融危機期間的黃金業績進行了比較，海耶斯預計數字資產的價格增長延遲但急劇。

As bullish sentiments reign supreme, let’s take a look at what Bitcoin’s performance has been like to form a BTC price prediction for today.

作為看漲的情緒，讓我們看一下比特幣的表現如何形成當今的BTC價格預測。

BTC Price Analysis: Bitcoin Battles to Stay Above $80K

BTC價格分析：比特幣戰鬥保持超過$ 80K

Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has shown some promise for a comeback soon. But it has failed to take advantage of the periodic bullish pressures. The coin began with a price of $85,200, looking for gains. The day began with a downward slope to $83,941 by 6:00 UTC. However, a notable golden cross propelled Bitcoin to $85,241, just over its starting price. With overbought conditions in the market, Bitcoin faced strong bearish pressure, but was held by the $84,874 support. Upward pressure followed, but the coin failed to break the $85,500 resistance in its initial attempts.

在過去的24小時內，比特幣很快就對複出表現出了一些希望。但是它未能利用定期看漲的壓力。硬幣以85,200美元的價格開始，尋找收益。一天開始，下降到$ 83,941，到6:00 UTC。但是，著名的金交叉將比特幣推向了85,241美元，剛剛超過其起價。由於市場上的過多結構條件，比特幣面臨著巨大的看跌壓力，但由84,874美元的支持持有。隨之而來的是向上的壓力，但硬幣未能在最初的嘗試中打破85,500美元的阻力。

Chart 1: analyzed by raodevansh18, published on TradingView, April 3, 2025.

圖1：由Raodevansh18分析，於2025年4月3日在TradingView上發布。

However, at 13:30, a momentous golden cross formed, driving Bitcoin to $87,300 by 15:30 UTC. The RSI reported overbought conditions at this point. Appropriately, a death cross formed and the BTC price weakened, reaching $86,200. At 20:00, a golden cross and death cross appeared in quick succession, bolstering Bitcoin skyward to $88,500, but pulling it down to $82,893 right after. Since midnight, Bitcoin has climbed to $83,800. Since then, it has been consolidating around the $83,500 mark.

但是，在13:30，一個重大的金十字架形成，將比特幣駛向87,300美元，在15:30 UTC。 RSI在這一點上報告了過多的條件。適當地形成了死亡十字架，而BTC價格卻削弱了，達到86,200美元。在20:00，金十字架和死亡十字架很快就出現了，將比特幣Shikeward升至88,500美元，但此後將其降至82,893美元。自午夜以來，比特幣已攀升至83,800美元。從那時起，它一直在匯總83,500美元的大關。

BTC Price Prediction: Will the $83,000 Support Hold Bitcoin?

BTC價格預測：$ 83,000的支持會持有比特幣嗎？

Bitcoin was able to break the $88,000 resistance, although for just a moment. But the price correction after that spike has been severe. Even now, as Bitcoin lingers around the $83K mark, it seems to lack any sustained buying pressure. This simply points to the probability that Bitcoin will abandon its current support and look for another close below. An appropriate Bitcoin prediction from the bullish momentum would be to help the coin hold close to the $85,000 point in the second half of the day.

比特幣能夠打破88,000美元的阻力，儘管只是一刻。但是峰值之後的價格更正是嚴重的。即使是現在，隨著比特幣在$ 83K的大關左右，它似乎缺乏持續的購買壓力。這只是指出比特幣會放棄當前支持並在下面尋找另一個附近的概率。看漲勢頭的一個適當的比特幣預測是，在下半年的下半場，硬幣接近$ 85,000的積分。