亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）警告比特币（BTC）持有人观看$ 76500的支持水平

Bitmex前首席执行官Arthur Hayes再次通过比特币预测成为头条新闻。这次，海耶斯发出了警告

Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, has once again entered the crypto sphere with his insights. This time, Hayes is warning about Bitcoin’s upcoming trajectory.

Bitmex的前首席执行官Arthur Hayes再次通过自己的见解进入了加密货币领域。这次，海斯警告比特币即将到来的轨迹。

In an April 3 post on X, previously Twitter, Hayes expressed his concern over Liberation Day, which might have brought further instability to the market. He highlighted that $76,500 will be a key Bitcoin support level to watch until April 14, the U.S. tax filing deadline.

在4月3日在X上的一篇文章中，海耶斯对解放日表示关注，这可能会给市场带来进一步的不稳定。他强调，直到4月14日（美国税收申请截止日期），$ 76,500将是要观看的关键比特币支持水平。

“Mrkt no likey "Liberation Day", if $BTC can hold $76.5k btw now and US tax day Apr 15, then we are out of the woods. Don't get chopped up!”

“ MRKT NO BIKEY“解放日”，如果$ BTC现在可以持有$ 76.5K的$ 76.5K，而美国税日4月15日，我们就不在树林里。不要被砍掉！”

Several investors agreed with Hayes’ statement and stated that it is better to be safe than sorry. They also added that the days leading up to tax day have seen price shakeups in the cryptocurrency market, which might be why Hayes is making this statement.

几位投资者同意海耶斯的声明，并表示要安全比后悔要好。他们还补充说，纳税当天开始的日子已经在加密货币市场上涨了价格，这可能就是海耶斯正在发表这一说法的原因。

Earlier this week, Hayes linked the current volatility to broader economic factors. In his April 1 blog post titled ‘The BBC’, Hayes asserted that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may soon be compelled to resume quantitative easing (QE).

本周早些时候，海耶斯将目前的波动与更广泛的经济因素联系起来。海耶斯在4月1日的博客文章“ BBC”中声称，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）可能很快被迫恢复定量宽松（QE）。

“The Fed and U.S. Banks will have to step in as buyers of last resort for Treasuries,” a situation which he believes would benefit risky assets like Bitcoin by improving liquidity in the market.

“美联储和美国银行将不得不介入国库的最后一个购买者，”他认为这种情况将通过改善市场流动性来使风险的资产受益。

Looking beyond the immediate challenges, Hayes has remained bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term growth. He predicts that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025, driven by economic developments and increasing global liquidity. Comparing Bitcoin’s potential reaction to QE with gold’s performance during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, Hayes anticipates a delayed but dramatic price growth for the digital asset.

除了直接挑战之外，海耶斯对比特币的长期增长仍然看涨。他预测，在经济发展和增加全球流动性的推动下，到2025年底，比特币将达到25万美元。将比特币对量化宽松的潜在反应与2008 - 2009年金融危机期间的黄金业绩进行了比较，海耶斯预计数字资产的价格增长延迟但急剧。

As bullish sentiments reign supreme, let’s take a look at what Bitcoin’s performance has been like to form a BTC price prediction for today.

作为看涨的情绪，让我们看一下比特币的表现如何形成当今的BTC价格预测。

BTC Price Analysis: Bitcoin Battles to Stay Above $80K

BTC价格分析：比特币战斗保持超过$ 80K

Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has shown some promise for a comeback soon. But it has failed to take advantage of the periodic bullish pressures. The coin began with a price of $85,200, looking for gains. The day began with a downward slope to $83,941 by 6:00 UTC. However, a notable golden cross propelled Bitcoin to $85,241, just over its starting price. With overbought conditions in the market, Bitcoin faced strong bearish pressure, but was held by the $84,874 support. Upward pressure followed, but the coin failed to break the $85,500 resistance in its initial attempts.

在过去的24小时内，比特币很快就对复出表现出了一些希望。但是它未能利用定期看涨的压力。硬币以85,200美元的价格开始，寻找收益。一天开始，下降到$ 83,941，到6:00 UTC。但是，著名的金交叉将比特币推向了85,241美元，刚刚超过其起价。由于市场上的过多结构条件，比特币面临着巨大的看跌压力，但由84,874美元的支持持有。随之而来的是向上的压力，但硬币未能在最初的尝试中打破85,500美元的阻力。

Chart 1: analyzed by raodevansh18, published on TradingView, April 3, 2025.

图1：由Raodevansh18分析，于2025年4月3日在TradingView上发布。

However, at 13:30, a momentous golden cross formed, driving Bitcoin to $87,300 by 15:30 UTC. The RSI reported overbought conditions at this point. Appropriately, a death cross formed and the BTC price weakened, reaching $86,200. At 20:00, a golden cross and death cross appeared in quick succession, bolstering Bitcoin skyward to $88,500, but pulling it down to $82,893 right after. Since midnight, Bitcoin has climbed to $83,800. Since then, it has been consolidating around the $83,500 mark.

但是，在13:30，一个重大的金十字架形成，将比特币驶向87,300美元，在15:30 UTC。 RSI在这一点上报告了过多的条件。适当地形成了死亡十字架，而BTC价格却削弱了，达到86,200美元。在20:00，金十字架和死亡十字架很快就出现了，将比特币Shikeward升至88,500美元，但此后将其降至82,893美元。自午夜以来，比特币已攀升至83,800美元。从那时起，它一直在汇总83,500美元的大关。

BTC Price Prediction: Will the $83,000 Support Hold Bitcoin?

BTC价格预测：$ 83,000的支持会持有比特币吗？

Bitcoin was able to break the $88,000 resistance, although for just a moment. But the price correction after that spike has been severe. Even now, as Bitcoin lingers around the $83K mark, it seems to lack any sustained buying pressure. This simply points to the probability that Bitcoin will abandon its current support and look for another close below. An appropriate Bitcoin prediction from the bullish momentum would be to help the coin hold close to the $85,000 point in the second half of the day.

比特币能够打破88,000美元的阻力，尽管只是一刻。但是峰值之后的价格更正是严重的。即使是现在，随着比特币在$ 83K的大关左右，它似乎缺乏持续的购买压力。这只是指出比特币会放弃当前支持并在下面寻找另一个附近的概率。看涨势头的一个适当的比特币预测是，在下半年的下半场，硬币接近$ 85,000的积分。