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Cryptobullet指出了典型的四年市場週期,預計它將在2025年10月或11月左右結束。
Analysts are currently tracking the crypto market to try and gauge when the next “altseason” might kick off. CryptoBullet points out that the typical four-year market cycle, to be completed around October or November of 2025, is usually completed in a year.
分析師目前正在跟踪加密貨幣市場,以嘗試衡量下一個“ Altseason”何時開始。 Cryptobullet指出,通常在一年內完成的典型的四年市場週期,即將在2025年10月或11月左右完成。
This timeline would leave about eight months for a strong move in altcoins. However, the current market shows some hesitation, especially with Ethereum and other altcoins struggling to gain momentum, raising the possibility of a delay until 2026.
這個時間表將留下大約八個月的時間,以在Altcoins進行強勁的舉動。但是,當前的市場表現出一些猶豫,尤其是在以太坊和其他山寨幣努力獲得勢頭的情況下,延遲延遲到2026年。
Expected Timeline for Altseason, and What Market Signals Suggest Otherwise?
預期的是Altseason的時間表,哪些市場信號否則建議?
Ali Martinez analyzed Bitcoin’s Altseason Indicator, highlighting a peak in Bitcoin's price at $96,715.57 on December 10, 2024. At that time, Bitcoin attracted capital inflows of $0.13 million, Ethereum $0.06 million, and stablecoins $0.10 million.
阿里·馬丁內斯(Ali Martinez)分析了比特幣的Alteason指標,重點介紹了比特幣的價格達到2024年12月10日的96,715.57美元。當時,比特幣吸引了10.13億美元的資本流入,Ethereum 0.06億美元,而Stablecoins則吸引了0.1億美元。
However, by March 16, 2025, Bitcoin's price had fallen to $82,599.04, and the capital flows had decreased significantly, with Bitcoin receiving just $0.007 million, Ethereum $0.024 million, and stablecoins $0.020 million.
但是,到2025年3月16日,比特幣的價格下跌至82,599.04美元,資本流量顯著下降,比特幣僅獲得107萬美元,以太坊0.024億美元,而Stablecoins則為0.0億美元。
The Altseason Indicator has also slid from 1 to 0.33, signaling a decline in momentum and suggesting that altseason might stall unless Bitcoin manages to recover.
Altseason指標也從1下滑到0.33,表明動量下降,表明除非比特幣設法恢復,否則Altseason可能會停滯不前。
If Bitcoin manages to climb above $90,000, it could reignite investor confidence and shift the market narrative towards a bullish outlook.
如果比特幣設法攀升到90,000美元以上,它可能會重新點燃投資者的信心,並將市場敘述轉向看漲的前景。
If Bitcoin drops below $80,000, it might indicate that the crypto market is heading for further downside, explained Martinez.
馬丁內斯解釋說,如果比特幣跌至80,000美元以下,則可能表明加密貨幣市場正在前進。
What Insights Does the Bitcoin Altseason Indicator Provide?
比特幣Altseasan指標提供哪些見解?
The total crypto market cap trended upward in mid-2024, managing to hit a peak above $2.69 trillion. A correction then pulled it back from that high.
2024年中期,加密貨幣市值呈上升趨勢,設法達到了2.69萬億美元的峰值。然後,更正將其從高高的高處拉回去。
Now, as the market tries to recover, it is encountering resistance at the previous highs, explained the analyst.
分析師解釋說,現在,隨著市場試圖恢復,它在以前的高點上遇到了阻力。
The $2.69 trillion mark now provides immediate support to the crypto market. In the short term, support is at $2.71 trillion, while a stronger demand zone lies between $2.6 trillion and $2.55 trillion.
現在,耗資2.69萬億美元的商標為加密貨幣市場提供了立即的支持。在短期內,支持為27.1萬億美元,而需求較強的區域則在2.6萬億美元至2.55萬億美元之間。
The next key resistance is at $2.74 trillion, aligning with the 50-day moving average. A more significant ceiling exists at $2.84 trillion, which is close to the 200-day moving average.
下一個關鍵阻力為2.74萬億美元,與50天的移動平均線保持一致。更重要的天花板的存在為2.84萬億美元,接近200天的移動平均線。
Key Support and Resistance Levels of Altcoins
山寨幣的關鍵支持和阻力水平
Ethereum is currently trading at $1,967.74, down 0.86% in the last 24 hours.
以太坊目前的交易價格為1,967.74美元,在過去24小時內下跌0.86%。
Avalanche is at $18.58, a 1.22% decrease, and Solana is priced at $126.61, having lost 3.02% over the same period.
雪崩的價格為18.58美元,下降了1.22%,索拉納的價格為126.61美元,同期損失了3.02%。
These declines highlight the struggles faced by altcoins to move upwards, adding to the uncertainty surrounding a potential near-term altseason.
這些下降凸顯了Altcoins在向上移動的鬥爭,這增加了潛在的近期季季的不確定性。
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