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Cryptobullet指出了典型的四年市场周期,预计它将在2025年10月或11月左右结束。
Analysts are currently tracking the crypto market to try and gauge when the next “altseason” might kick off. CryptoBullet points out that the typical four-year market cycle, to be completed around October or November of 2025, is usually completed in a year.
分析师目前正在跟踪加密货币市场,以尝试衡量下一个“ Altseason”何时开始。 Cryptobullet指出,通常在一年内完成的典型的四年市场周期,即将在2025年10月或11月左右完成。
This timeline would leave about eight months for a strong move in altcoins. However, the current market shows some hesitation, especially with Ethereum and other altcoins struggling to gain momentum, raising the possibility of a delay until 2026.
这个时间表将留下大约八个月的时间,以在Altcoins进行强劲的举动。但是,当前的市场表现出一些犹豫,尤其是在以太坊和其他山寨币努力获得势头的情况下,延迟延迟到2026年。
Expected Timeline for Altseason, and What Market Signals Suggest Otherwise?
预期的是Altseason的时间表,哪些市场信号否则建议?
Ali Martinez analyzed Bitcoin’s Altseason Indicator, highlighting a peak in Bitcoin's price at $96,715.57 on December 10, 2024. At that time, Bitcoin attracted capital inflows of $0.13 million, Ethereum $0.06 million, and stablecoins $0.10 million.
阿里·马丁内斯(Ali Martinez)分析了比特币的Alteason指标,重点介绍了比特币的价格达到2024年12月10日的96,715.57美元。当时,比特币吸引了10.13亿美元的资本流入,Ethereum 0.06亿美元,而Stablecoins则吸引了0.1亿美元。
However, by March 16, 2025, Bitcoin's price had fallen to $82,599.04, and the capital flows had decreased significantly, with Bitcoin receiving just $0.007 million, Ethereum $0.024 million, and stablecoins $0.020 million.
但是,到2025年3月16日,比特币的价格下跌至82,599.04美元,资本流量显着下降,比特币仅获得107万美元,以太坊0.024亿美元,而Stablecoins则为0.0亿美元。
The Altseason Indicator has also slid from 1 to 0.33, signaling a decline in momentum and suggesting that altseason might stall unless Bitcoin manages to recover.
Altseason指标也从1下滑到0.33,表明动量下降,表明除非比特币设法恢复,否则Altseason可能会停滞不前。
If Bitcoin manages to climb above $90,000, it could reignite investor confidence and shift the market narrative towards a bullish outlook.
如果比特币设法攀升到90,000美元以上,它可能会重新点燃投资者的信心,并将市场叙述转向看涨的前景。
If Bitcoin drops below $80,000, it might indicate that the crypto market is heading for further downside, explained Martinez.
马丁内斯解释说,如果比特币跌至80,000美元以下,则可能表明加密货币市场正在前进。
What Insights Does the Bitcoin Altseason Indicator Provide?
比特币Altseasan指标提供哪些见解?
The total crypto market cap trended upward in mid-2024, managing to hit a peak above $2.69 trillion. A correction then pulled it back from that high.
2024年中期,加密货币市值呈上升趋势,设法达到了2.69万亿美元的峰值。然后,更正将其从高高的高处拉回去。
Now, as the market tries to recover, it is encountering resistance at the previous highs, explained the analyst.
分析师解释说,现在,随着市场试图恢复,它在以前的高点上遇到了阻力。
The $2.69 trillion mark now provides immediate support to the crypto market. In the short term, support is at $2.71 trillion, while a stronger demand zone lies between $2.6 trillion and $2.55 trillion.
现在,耗资2.69万亿美元的商标为加密货币市场提供了立即的支持。在短期内,支持为27.1万亿美元,而需求较强的区域则在2.6万亿美元至2.55万亿美元之间。
The next key resistance is at $2.74 trillion, aligning with the 50-day moving average. A more significant ceiling exists at $2.84 trillion, which is close to the 200-day moving average.
下一个关键阻力为2.74万亿美元,与50天的移动平均线保持一致。更重要的天花板的存在为2.84万亿美元,接近200天的移动平均线。
Key Support and Resistance Levels of Altcoins
山寨币的关键支持和阻力水平
Ethereum is currently trading at $1,967.74, down 0.86% in the last 24 hours.
以太坊目前的交易价格为1,967.74美元,在过去24小时内下跌0.86%。
Avalanche is at $18.58, a 1.22% decrease, and Solana is priced at $126.61, having lost 3.02% over the same period.
雪崩的价格为18.58美元,下降了1.22%,索拉纳的价格为126.61美元,同期损失了3.02%。
These declines highlight the struggles faced by altcoins to move upwards, adding to the uncertainty surrounding a potential near-term altseason.
这些下降凸显了Altcoins在向上移动的斗争,这增加了潜在的近期季季的不确定性。
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