2025 年山寨幣季節預測：XRP、DOGE、Solana 引領潮流，市值超過 $10B

該預測表明，受類似於歷史性事件之前觀察到的模式的技術指標的推動，當前估值將增長五倍

This projection indicates a fivefold increase from current valuations, driven by technical indicators resembling patterns observed before the historic 2021 bull run. If the pattern plays out, a historic alt season could be around the corner, as highlighted by crypto analyst Sensi in the chart below on X.

這項預測表明，在類似於 2021 年歷史性牛市之前觀察到的技術指標的推動下，估值將比當前估值增加五倍。如果這種模式出現，歷史性的山寨幣季節可能即將到來，正如加密貨幣分析師 Sensi 在 X 的下圖中所強調的那樣。

Market data highlights the growing readiness for this shift. Currently, the combined valuation of cryptocurrencies, excluding Bitcoin, hovers near $1.6 trillion. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s December 2024 volatility, ranging between $90,000 and $110,000, is seen as laying a solid groundwork for a significant altcoin rally. 2025 Price predictions for altcoins suggest a bullish Q1.

市場數據突顯出人們對這一轉變的準備日益增強。目前，不包括比特幣的加密貨幣總估值徘徊在 1.6 兆美元附近。同時，比特幣 2024 年 12 月的波動範圍在 9 萬美元到 11 萬美元之間，被視為為山寨幣的大幅上漲奠定了堅實的基礎。 2025 年山寨幣的價格預測顯示第一季看漲。

In December, the alt season index, which tracks altcoin performance relative to Bitcoin, dropped to 47 from an earlier peak of 88, according to Blockchaincenter. Simultaneously, Bitcoin dominance stabilized at 56%, signaling a potential transition from Bitcoin-led market movements to a phase dominated by altcoins.

根據 Blockchaincenter 的數據，12 月，追蹤山寨幣相對於比特幣表現的山寨幣季節指數從先前的峰值 88 跌至 47。同時，比特幣的主導地位穩定在 56%，這表明比特幣主導的市場走勢可能會轉變為山寨幣主導的階段。

XRP, DOGE, Solana Leads the Charge

XRP、DOGE、Solana 引領潮流

As January 2025 kicks off, optimism is driving significant upward momentum. Ripple's XRP, for instance, has surged 14% in recent sessions, while Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and Avalanche (AVAX) have also posted gains between 5% and 9%. This wave of activity suggests that the altcoin correction phase might be behind us.

隨著 2025 年 1 月的到來，樂觀情緒正在推動顯著的上升勢頭。例如，Ripple 的 XRP 在最近幾個交易日飆升了 14%，而 Solana (SOL)、Dogecoin (DOGE)、Cardano (ADA) 和 Avalanche (AVAX) 也上漲了 5% 至 9%。這波活動顯示山寨幣修正階段可能已經過去。

“On top of this, institutional adoption is expected to reach unparalleled levels,” noted a recent Steno Research report, which predicted Bitcoin and Ethereum hitting $150,000 and $8,000, respectively, by year-end. This forecast is underpinned by declining interest rates, improved liquidity, and a more favorable regulatory climate for cryptocurrencies.

Steno Research 最近的一份報告指出：「除此之外，機構採用率預計將達到無與倫比的水平。」該報告預測，到年底，比特幣和以太坊的價格將分別達到 15 萬美元和 8,000 美元。這項預測的基礎是利率下降、流動性改善以及加密貨幣更有利的監管環境。

The 2025 altcoin season could be “undeniably unique” due to the prolonged influence of Bitcoin spot ETFs—a feature absent in prior bull runs. As Bitcoin dominance stabilizes, altcoins are expected to outperforme, heralding a new era for the market.

由於比特幣現貨 ETF 的長期影響，2025 年山寨幣季節可能「無可否認是獨一無二的」——這是之前牛市中所沒有的特徵。隨著比特幣主導地位的穩定，山寨幣預計將跑贏大盤，預示著市場的新時代。

AI Meme Tokens Surpass $10B Market Cap

AI Meme 代幣市值突破 10B 美元

The market cap of AI Meme tokens has now reached new heights, surging 25.2% over the last 24 hours and hitting $10.38 billion, with a trading volume of approximately $2.70 billion.

AI Meme 代幣的市值現已達到新高，在過去 24 小時內飆升 25.2%，達到 103.8 億美元，交易量約為 27 億美元。

As we move forward, several key events are expected to influence the market direction, including token unlocks, the Solana ETF approval deadline, and the rise of AI-driven tokens like ai16z. These milestones will continue to shape the market narrative and potentially amplify the momentum already in play.

隨著我們的前進，預計幾個關鍵事件將影響市場方向，包括代幣解鎖、Solana ETF 批准截止日期以及 ai16z 等人工智慧驅動代幣的崛起。這些里程碑將繼續塑造市場敘事，並有可能放大現有的動力。

Altcoins are now entering a critical phase. While Bitcoin’s dominance remains a crucial metric, the anticipated recovery in the alt season index hints at a forthcoming shift. Analysts argue that a stable Bitcoin price, combined with waning dominance, is often the precursor to a robust altcoin market surge.

山寨幣現在正進入一個關鍵階段。雖然比特幣的主導地位仍然是關鍵指標，但山寨季指數的預期復甦暗示著即將發生的轉變。分析師認為，穩定的比特幣價格加上主導地位的減弱往往是山寨幣市場強勁飆升的前兆。