|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
一些加密貨幣愛好者認為,考慮到今年加密貨幣與政治的交織程度,2024 年大選可能是影響比特幣價格的關鍵因素。
As the 2024 U.S. elections approach, bitcoin (BTC) prices could swing unpredictably, given the speculation surrounding the face-off between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Some crypto enthusiasts argue that the election could be a key factor influencing bitcoin prices, considering how intertwined crypto became with politics this year. Predictions are everywhere—even big players in finance are weighing in. To get some unique insights, our news desk turned to today’s leading generative AI chatbots to gauge what they foresee for BTC after the U.S. Election Day results. We consulted Openai’s Chatgpt versions 4, 4o, and the latest o1, Inflection AI’s Pi, Microsoft’s Co-Pilot, Google’s Gemini, Anthropic’s Claude 3 Sonnet, Venice.ai, and Mistral AI’s Le Chat.
隨著 2024 年美國大選的臨近,鑑於圍繞唐納德·特朗普和卡馬拉·哈里斯之間對峙的猜測,比特幣 (BTC) 價格可能會出現不可預測的波動。一些加密貨幣愛好者認為,考慮到今年加密貨幣與政治的交織程度,選舉可能是影響比特幣價格的關鍵因素。預測無所不在,甚至金融領域的大公司也在參與其中。預測。我們參考了 Openai 的 Chatgpt 版本 4、4o 和最新的 o1、Inflection AI 的 Pi、微軟的 Co-Pilot、Google 的 Gemini、Anthropic 的 Claude 3 Sonnet、Venice.ai 和 Mistral AI 的 Le Chat。
We handed all nine bots a straightforward prompt, ensuring each one provided a response. It should be noted that Google’s Gemini refused to answer. The prompt was:
我們向所有九個機器人提供了簡單的提示,確保每個機器人都提供了回應。值得注意的是,Google的Gemini拒絕回答。提示是:
This experiment aims to predict where bitcoin’s price will land once the 2024 U.S. election wraps up. As an expert in the world of bitcoin and crypto assets, your task is to evaluate the likelihood of bitcoin’s price under two scenarios: if former President Donald Trump clinches the victory or if Vice President Kamala Harris takes the win. Considering what you know about these two political figures, you’ll need to put forward a dollar amount estimate for each outcome. So, in your professional opinion, what’s bitcoin’s price tag if Trump wins, and what will it be if Harris secures the presidency? Bitcoin is trading for $69K at the time of writing.
該實驗旨在預測 2024 年美國大選結束後比特幣的價格將走向何方。作為比特幣和加密資產領域的專家,您的任務是評估兩種情況下比特幣價格的可能性:如果前總統唐納德·川普獲勝,或者副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯獲勝。考慮到您對這兩個政治人物的了解,您需要對每個結果提出一個金額估算。那麼,以您的專業觀點來看,如果川普獲勝,比特幣的價格是多少?截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格為 6.9 萬美元。
Here's what each chatbot had to say:
以下是每個聊天機器人必須說的話:
Inflection AI’s Pi:
Inflection AI 的 Pi:
Mistral AI’s Le Chat:
Le Chat 的 Mistral AI:
Predicting the exact price of Bitcoin, especially tied to political events, is highly speculative due to the multitude of influencing factors. However, historical trends and political stances can provide some insights. If Donald Trump wins, his pro-business and deregulatory stance might boost market confidence and potentially drive Bitcoin’s price up. Given his past association with market optimism, Bitcoin could potentially reach around $85,000. On the other hand, if Kamala Harris secures the presidency, her administration might focus more on regulation and social policies, which could introduce uncertainty in the crypto market. In this scenario, Bitcoin’s price might stabilize or see a more modest increase, potentially reaching around $75,000. These estimates are based on current market conditions and political sentiments, but actual prices could vary significantly due to other global economic factors and technological developments in the crypto space.
由於影響因素眾多,預測比特幣的確切價格,尤其是與政治事件相關的價格,具有強烈的投機性。然而,歷史趨勢和政治立場可以提供一些見解。如果唐納德·川普獲勝,他的親商業和放鬆監管的立場可能會提振市場信心,並可能推動比特幣價格上漲。鑑於他過去對市場的樂觀態度,比特幣可能會達到 85,000 美元左右。另一方面,如果卡馬拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)獲得總統職位,她的政府可能會更關注監管和社會政策,這可能會為加密貨幣市場帶來不確定性。在這種情況下,比特幣的價格可能會穩定或出現更溫和的上漲,可能達到 75,000 美元左右。這些估計是基於當前的市場狀況和政治情緒,但由於其他全球經濟因素和加密領域的技術發展,實際價格可能會大不相同。
Venice.ai:
威尼斯.ai:
Given the current political climate and market trends, I predict that if former President Donald Trump clinches the victory in the 2024 U.S. election, the price of Bitcoin could potentially rise to around $85,000 to $90,000. This is due to the anticipated pro-market policies and deregulation initiatives that Trump might implement, which could lead to increased investor confidence and an influx of capital into the crypto market.
考慮到當前的政治氣候和市場趨勢,我預測,如果前總統川普在2024年美國大選中獲勝,比特幣的價格可能會上漲至85,000美元至90,000美元左右。這是由於川普可能實施預期的親市場政策和放鬆管制舉措,這可能會導致投資者信心增強和資本湧入加密市場。
On the other hand, if Vice President Kamala Harris secures the presidency, I estimate that the price of Bitcoin could range from $75,000 to $80,000. This is because Harris’s administration might focus on regulating the crypto market, which could lead to some uncertainty among investors and potentially result in a more gradual increase in Bitcoin’s value. Additionally, a Harris presidency might bring about a more cautious approach to market deregulation, which could also contribute to a slightly more moderate price increase.
另一方面,如果副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)當選總統,我估計比特幣的價格可能在 75,000 美元到 80,000 美元之間。這是因為哈里斯政府可能會專注於監管加密貨幣市場,這可能會為投資者帶來一些不確定性,並可能導致比特幣價值更加逐步上漲。此外,哈里斯擔任總統可能會對市場放鬆管制採取更謹慎的態度,這也可能有助於稍微溫和的價格上漲。
Anthropic’s Claude 3 Sonnet:
Anthropic 的克勞德第 3 首十四行詩:
Microsoft’s Co-pilot:
微軟副駕駛:
Predicting Bitcoin’s price based on election outcomes is speculative, but here’s a take: If Donald Trump wins, his pro-crypto stance could boost Bitcoin to around $90,000. Conversely, Kamala Harris’s cautious yet supportive approach might see Bitcoin stabilize around $75,000. Both scenarios hinge on broader economic factors and market sentiment, so these are educated guesses rather than certainties.
根據選舉結果預測比特幣的價格是推測性的,但這裡有一個觀點:如果唐納德·川普獲勝,他支持加密貨幣的立場可能會將比特幣推升至 9 萬美元左右。相反,卡馬拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)謹慎但支持的態度可能會讓比特幣穩定在 75,000 美元左右。這兩種情況都取決於更廣泛的經濟因素和市場情緒,因此這些都是有根據的猜測,而不是確定性。
Openai’s Chatgpt 4o:
Openai 的 Chatgpt 4o:
If former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election, it’s plausible that bitcoin’s price could see an uptick, potentially reaching $75,000 to $80,000. Trump’s prior administration was marked by deregulation and tax cuts, often favoring businesses and investors, which could lead to positive sentiment around bitcoin and risk assets. On the other hand, if Vice President Kamala Harris clinches the presidency, a focus on tighter regulations and tax policies could lead to investor caution, pushing bitcoin to range between $60,000 and $65,000. While these predictions are speculative, market participants typically
如果前總統唐納德·川普贏得 2024 年大選,比特幣的價格可能會上漲,可能會達到 75,000 美元至 80,000 美元。川普上一屆政府的特點是放鬆管制和減稅,通常有利於企業和投資者,這可能會導致圍繞比特幣和風險資產的正面情緒。另一方面,如果副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris) 當選,對更嚴格的監管和稅收政策的關注可能會導致投資者謹慎行事,從而推動比特幣價格上漲至60,000 美元至65,000 美元之間。雖然這些預測是推測性的,但市場參與者通常
免責聲明:info@kdj.com
所提供的資訊並非交易建議。 kDJ.com對任何基於本文提供的資訊進行的投資不承擔任何責任。加密貨幣波動性較大,建議您充分研究後謹慎投資!
如果您認為本網站使用的內容侵犯了您的版權,請立即聯絡我們(info@kdj.com),我們將及時刪除。
-
- 由於衍生性商品指標保持顯著穩定,比特幣 (BTC) 價格跌至 6.7 萬美元
- 2024-10-22 07:35:01
- 10 月 21 日,比特幣 (BTC) 價格跌至 67,000 美元,抹去了前三天的漲幅。
-
- 比特幣飆升至 69,000 美元以上,然後在市場波動中回落
- 2024-10-22 07:35:01
- 週一,比特幣價格飆升至 69,000 美元以上,然後調整至撰寫本文時目前的 67,510 美元。
-
- 如何為比特幣繁榮做好準備
- 2024-10-22 07:35:01
- 比特幣可能正處於新一輪牛市的邊緣。 Adamant Research 的 Tuur Demeester 在他的出版品《如何定位》中指出
-
- Ripple 轉移 2 億 XRP,引發關於轉移目的的猜測
- 2024-10-22 07:35:01
- 今天,這家區塊鏈支付公司將價值超過 1.09 億美元的 2 億 XRP 轉移到了一個未知的錢包。