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艾達(Ada)在3月2日宣布戰略加密保護區宣布一項戰略性加密保護區的巨大提升,高漲100%,最終達到1.17美元。
Key Takeaways:
關鍵要點:
* ADA saw a massive boost from Donald Trump’s announcement of a strategic crypto reserve on March 2, soaring over 100% and culminating with a high of $1.17.
*艾達(Ada)在3月2日宣布宣布戰略加密儲備的宣布,飆升100%,最終以1.17美元的高潮達到高潮,這一巨大提升。
* However, the price has fallen, invalidating a portion of the increase. This has increased worries that the surge occurred because of short-term hype around the announcement and is not sustainable.
*但是,價格下跌,使一部分上升的一部分無效。這增加了人們對宣布的短期炒作而發生激增的擔憂,並且是不可持續的。
* Let’s examine the charts and see what lies ahead.
*讓我們檢查圖表,看看未來的內容。
Cardano’s Long-Term Range
Cardano的長期範圍
The weekly chart shows that ADA has traded between $0.80 and $1.20 since it first broke out in November 2024.
每週圖表顯示,自2024年11月首次爆發以來,ADA的交易在0.80至1.20美元之間。
The price seemingly broke down from the range in February (black circle) but has bounced since, creating a higher low near the end of the month. This took the ADA price to the range high, creating a lower high (red icons).
價格似乎是從2月份的範圍(黑色圓圈)中斷出來的,但此後就彈跳起來,在月底附近產生了更高的低點。這使ADA價格達到了高範圍,從而產生了較低的高(紅色圖標)。
Currently, ADA trades in the middle of the range. A positive development is that ADA broke out from a descending resistance trend line and could validate it as support. If that is the case, an eventual breakout will be expected.
目前,ADA在該範圍的中間進行交易。一個積極的發展是,艾達(Ada)從下降的抵抗趨勢線中爆發出來,並可以將其驗證為支持。如果是這種情況,則最終會發生突破。
However, technical indicators are undecided. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is falling even though it is above 50. The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) made a bearish cross but is still positive.
但是,技術指標尚未確定。即使超過50,相對強度指數(RSI)也下降了。移動平均值收斂/發散(MACD)呈現看跌雜交,但仍然是正的。
So, the weekly time frame readings are insufficient to predict whether the ADA price will break out.
因此,每週的時間範圍讀數不足以預測ADA價格是否會爆發。
Failed ADA Price Breakout?
ADA價格突破失敗?
The daily time frame also offers a mixed reading. The decline since the cycle high is contained inside a descending parallel channel, a sign suggesting the drop is corrective.
每日時間框架還提供了混合閱讀。由於高循環在下降的平行通道內部包含的下降,因此表明下降是糾正的標誌。
The channel contained an A-B-C correction (red) in which waves A and C were the same length, further supporting this possibility.
該通道包含ABC校正(紅色),其中波A和C的長度相同,進一步支持了這種可能性。
This scenario seemed confirmed when the price broke out from the channel on March 2, sparked by a bullish divergence in the daily RSI and MACD (orange).
當每日RSI和MACD(Orange)中的看漲差異引發了這種情況,這種情況似乎證實了這種情況在3月2日從頻道爆發時得到了證實。
However, ADA failed to break out from the $1.15 resistance area, and the crypto fell back into the channel. While the bounce at the midline (green icon) is a positive sign, the price must leave the channel again for the trend to be bullish.
但是,艾達(Ada)未能從1.15美元的電阻區域爆發,加密貨幣又回到了頻道。儘管中線的反彈(綠色圖標)是一個積極的信號,但價格必須再次離開頻道才能使趨勢看漲。
If that happens, the Cardano price could make another attempt at breaking out above the range high.
如果發生這種情況,Cardano價格可能會再次嘗試爆發高於範圍的高度。
Another bearish sign is the overlap between the high of the original bounce and the March. 4 low. If the recovery was a five-wave upward movement, Elliott wave rules state that wave four cannot drop into wave one territory.
另一個看跌的標誌是原始彈跳和遊行之間的重疊。 4低。如果恢復是五波向上的運動,埃利奧特波浪規則說,波浪四個將無法落入波浪。
Since ADA has done that, it points to the increase being an A-B-C correction instead. If this is the case, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance at $0.95 will reject the ADA price and trigger a decline. As outlined previously, a breakout from the channel would be a bullish sign pointing to higher prices.
自ADA這樣做以來,它指出增加是ABC校正。如果是這種情況,則為0.618的斐波那契反回阻力(0.95美元)將拒絕ADA價格並觸發下降。如前所述,該頻道的突破將是一個看漲的標誌,指出價格更高。
Short-Lived Breakout
短暫的突破
Donald Trump’s announcement of a strategic crypto reserve caused the ADA price to double. However, ADA failed to maintain the increase and has fallen back into its corrective channel.
唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)宣布戰略加密保護區,使ADA價格提高了一倍。但是,ADA未能維持增加,並落入其糾正渠道。
The trend cannot be considered bullish until ADA moves outside this pattern.
直到ADA移動到這種模式之外,趨勢才被視為看漲。
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