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艾达(Ada)在3月2日宣布战略加密保护区宣布一项战略性加密保护区的巨大提升,高涨100%,最终达到1.17美元。
Key Takeaways:
关键要点:
* ADA saw a massive boost from Donald Trump’s announcement of a strategic crypto reserve on March 2, soaring over 100% and culminating with a high of $1.17.
*艾达(Ada)在3月2日宣布宣布战略加密储备的宣布,飙升100%,最终以1.17美元的高潮达到高潮,这一巨大提升。
* However, the price has fallen, invalidating a portion of the increase. This has increased worries that the surge occurred because of short-term hype around the announcement and is not sustainable.
*但是,价格下跌,使一部分上升的一部分无效。这增加了人们对宣布的短期炒作而发生激增的担忧,并且是不可持续的。
* Let’s examine the charts and see what lies ahead.
*让我们检查图表,看看未来的内容。
Cardano’s Long-Term Range
Cardano的长期范围
The weekly chart shows that ADA has traded between $0.80 and $1.20 since it first broke out in November 2024.
每周图表显示,自2024年11月首次爆发以来,ADA的交易在0.80至1.20美元之间。
The price seemingly broke down from the range in February (black circle) but has bounced since, creating a higher low near the end of the month. This took the ADA price to the range high, creating a lower high (red icons).
价格似乎是从2月份的范围(黑色圆圈)中断出来的,但此后就弹跳起来,在月底附近产生了更高的低点。这使ADA价格达到了高范围,从而产生了较低的高(红色图标)。
Currently, ADA trades in the middle of the range. A positive development is that ADA broke out from a descending resistance trend line and could validate it as support. If that is the case, an eventual breakout will be expected.
目前,ADA在该范围的中间进行交易。一个积极的发展是,艾达(Ada)从下降的抵抗趋势线中爆发出来,并可以将其验证为支持。如果是这种情况,则最终会发生突破。
However, technical indicators are undecided. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is falling even though it is above 50. The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) made a bearish cross but is still positive.
但是,技术指标尚未确定。即使超过50,相对强度指数(RSI)也下降了。移动平均值收敛/发散(MACD)呈现看跌杂交,但仍然是正的。
So, the weekly time frame readings are insufficient to predict whether the ADA price will break out.
因此,每周的时间范围读数不足以预测ADA价格是否会爆发。
Failed ADA Price Breakout?
ADA价格突破失败?
The daily time frame also offers a mixed reading. The decline since the cycle high is contained inside a descending parallel channel, a sign suggesting the drop is corrective.
每日时间框架还提供了混合阅读。由于高循环在下降的平行通道内部包含的下降,因此表明下降是纠正的标志。
The channel contained an A-B-C correction (red) in which waves A and C were the same length, further supporting this possibility.
该通道包含ABC校正(红色),其中波A和C的长度相同,进一步支持了这种可能性。
This scenario seemed confirmed when the price broke out from the channel on March 2, sparked by a bullish divergence in the daily RSI and MACD (orange).
当每日RSI和MACD(Orange)中的看涨差异引发了这种情况,这种情况似乎证实了这种情况在3月2日从频道爆发时得到了证实。
However, ADA failed to break out from the $1.15 resistance area, and the crypto fell back into the channel. While the bounce at the midline (green icon) is a positive sign, the price must leave the channel again for the trend to be bullish.
但是,艾达(Ada)未能从1.15美元的电阻区域爆发,加密货币又回到了频道。尽管中线的反弹(绿色图标)是一个积极的信号,但价格必须再次离开频道才能使趋势看涨。
If that happens, the Cardano price could make another attempt at breaking out above the range high.
如果发生这种情况,Cardano价格可能会再次尝试爆发高于范围的高度。
Another bearish sign is the overlap between the high of the original bounce and the March. 4 low. If the recovery was a five-wave upward movement, Elliott wave rules state that wave four cannot drop into wave one territory.
另一个看跌的标志是原始弹跳和游行之间的重叠。 4低。如果恢复是五波向上的运动,埃利奥特波浪规则说,波浪四个将无法落入波浪。
Since ADA has done that, it points to the increase being an A-B-C correction instead. If this is the case, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance at $0.95 will reject the ADA price and trigger a decline. As outlined previously, a breakout from the channel would be a bullish sign pointing to higher prices.
自ADA这样做以来,它指出增加是ABC校正。如果是这种情况,则为0.618的斐波那契反回阻力(0.95美元)将拒绝ADA价格并触发下降。如前所述,该频道的突破将是一个看涨的标志,指出价格更高。
Short-Lived Breakout
短暂的突破
Donald Trump’s announcement of a strategic crypto reserve caused the ADA price to double. However, ADA failed to maintain the increase and has fallen back into its corrective channel.
唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)宣布战略加密保护区,使ADA价格提高了一倍。但是,ADA未能维持增加,并落入其纠正渠道。
The trend cannot be considered bullish until ADA moves outside this pattern.
直到ADA移动到这种模式之外,趋势才被视为看涨。
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