When May the Trump Bump Rally Peak?

When Trump won the U.S. presidential elections in November, the stock rally, known as the Trump bump, ensued. Tesla (TSLA) is the most-followed auto manufacturer whose stock price nearly doubled. TSLA stock rose from below $250 to as high as $488.54.

The stock market rally, also known as the Trump bump, has been closely followed by many investors. Several stocks have performed exceptionally well during this period. Among them, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has been a standout performer, nearly doubling in value. The stock price rose from below $250 to reach a high of $488.54.

Cryptocurrency markets have also seen a strong rally. Both Ethereum (NYSE:ETH-USD) and Bitcoin (NYSE:BTC-USD) have rallied significantly. Another stock that has enjoyed a stock price double is Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN). However, some cryptos, such as LIF3, have traded lower.

As we look ahead, some stocks, such as Mara stock (NASDAQ:MARA), are at risk of giving back their gains. The stock price formed a “double top” at around $27 and closed at $18.44 on December 27. Similarly, Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT) stock peaked at $18.75 and closed the week below $11.

The volatility in the markets is suggesting that traders should be asking when the Trump bump rally may peak.

The stock bump rally may lose momentum after the inauguration on Jan. 20. As Trump takes office, the party will begin introducing policies and legislation. This contrasts with the current period, which is marked by policy threats that have not yet been implemented. For instance, tariffs against Canada caused the Canadian dollar (NYSEARCA:FXC) to trade nearly 2.5% lower over the past month.

Mexico’s (NYSEARCA:EWW) stock market also performed poorly. The iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (NYSEARCA:EWW) continued to trade lower in a downtrend. In Europe, the Euro (NYSEARCA:FXE) dropped, while Japan’s Yen Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:FXY) also fell.

After pricing in the worst-case scenario, those ETFs may be due for a relief rally.