Bitcoin Faces Potential Correction as Market Remains Overleveraged Despite Recent Dip

Bitcoin's recent price correction, which saw a 6% drop between November 13 and 15, has sparked discussions about whether it could face a deeper crash.

Bitcoin’s recent price correction, sparked by a 6% drop between November 13 and 15, has fueled speculation about a possible deeper crash.

Following Bitcoin’s surge past its previous all-time high of $73,880, the cryptocurrency reached new peaks above $91,000. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin has maintained a higher high and higher low pattern on daily charts, indicating sustained bullish momentum as long as it remains above the $85,000 zone.

Bitcoin’s recent price action has formed higher highs and higher lows on the hourly chart, remaining above key moving averages (50-day, 100-day, and 200-day) and signaling bullish momentum since November 5.

According to analyst Bluntz, the current pullback to $87,000 may be the last low before Bitcoin aims for $100,000. A liquidity sweep near $85,500 could solidify support, paving the way for continued upward momentum.

However, if Bitcoin fails to close above $85,000 daily, it could face difficulties, as evidenced by the increasing risk of a deeper correction due to overleveraged positions in the futures market.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki-Young Ju highlighted on November 13 that the estimated futures leverage ratio for Bitcoin/USDT pairs has reached a record high of 270%, exceeding its previous peak in May 2024.

To further assess the leverage risk, Bitcoin’s open interest levels have also reached all-time highs, indicating a substantial volume of leveraged positions. Moreover, given that historical trading activity above $73,884 spans less than 10 days, the thin spot order book support and resistance complicate price stability within this range.

According to CoinGlass data, a key liquidation zone lies around $85,750, where over $127 million in leveraged positions could be liquidated. This makes a liquidity sweep of the $85,000 level likely, potentially setting the stage for a price rebound if buyers enter the market. However, the thin market conditions and high leverage remain critical concerns that could amplify volatility.

Bitcoin’s bullish momentum depends on holding above $85,000, while overleveraged markets and thin support above $73,880 increase the risk of a deeper correction. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin stabilizes or continues to decline.