Bitcoin Falls Below $90000, Many Voices Attribute This Decline to the Recent Epic Theft Incident at the Bybit Exchange

Yesterday, the entire market encountered a chill again, with Bitcoin falling below $90,000. Many voices attribute this decline to the recent epic theft incident at the Bybit exchange.

Yesterday, the entire market encountered a chill again, with Bitcoin falling below $90,000. Many voices attribute this decline to the recent epic theft incident at the Bybit exchange. Although the exchange's efforts and various collaborations have led to a relatively proper handling of the incident, people are concerned that the stolen ETH will create significant selling pressure on the market.

In fact, whether this selling pressure actually occurs or not, this incident will certainly have a considerable impact on market sentiment. Additionally, some recently released data from the U.S. fell short of expectations, and the potential negative impacts of Trump's latest policies, among other factors, will also exert some pressure on the crypto market.

The current crypto market has become like a "startled bird," where any external or internal disturbance could lead to a market downturn.

Aside from these matters, there is another issue that has recently garnered significant attention: Pump.fun is set to launch its own AMM exchange. Once this news broke, the token of the Raydium exchange, which is heavily reliant on Solana meme coins, also faced a significant impact.

On the surface, this seems like Pump.fun doesn't want to let profits flow to outsiders; since the exchange has earned such substantial profits, why not do it myself? However, it feels more like an escalation of internal competition, where the profits from issuing meme coins are becoming increasingly thin, leading project parties to be less willing to share benefits with other collaborators in the ecosystem.

In the past, such occurrences typically happened during deep bear markets. We have seen many such examples in the Ethereum ecosystem in 2022 and 2023. Although I believe that we have been in a bear market throughout this round of trends, the fact that internal competition has started again at this stage is somewhat surprising.

This also indicates that there currently seems to be no sub-sector in the entire ecosystem that can attract external attention, hence the emergence of internal competition.

Considering all these conditions and reflecting on the various experiences we've had throughout this round of trends, one phenomenon is becoming increasingly evident: Despite Bitcoin still appearing to be the leader of the entire market and driving the trend of the crypto ecosystem, it is becoming increasingly unable to stand alone.

In the past, when the entire ecosystem faced various shocks, other coins would fall, but Bitcoin could still withstand the impact; now, Bitcoin is also struggling to bear these shocks. This increasingly clearly indicates that without the prosperity of the entire ecosystem, Bitcoin's own price level is also unstable.

For the entire ecosystem to experience a broad rise, there must be a true explosion of applications. Without technological, model, and business innovations, the advancement of the entire crypto ecosystem can only rely on Bitcoin's "digital gold" concept for support. However, this concept cannot sustain the ecosystem in the long term, nor can it support Bitcoin's price level for an extended period.

Since Bitcoin broke through $100,000 in early December last year, it has hovered around that level. Various positive news that followed has almost failed to push its price higher, but any negative news from within or outside the ecosystem could potentially drop Bitcoin's price below $100,000 at any time.

Therefore, I believe that if the crypto ecosystem does not experience another explosion in the future, even if policies like Bitcoin becoming a national reserve in the U.S. are truly implemented, the upside potential for Bitcoin in this round of trends will be very limited. If any further negative information arises from external or internal sources, Bitcoin's price may even continue to decline.

I once speculated that this round of trends might peak between March and August, but looking at it now, unless a miracle occurs within the ecosystem, otherwise, under the current circumstances, even if there is a peak, it will likely be a lackluster trend.