XRP（XRP）价格会在2025年达到6美元吗？

加密货币投资者如今有很多庆祝活动。在过去的一年中，许多最受欢迎的硬币的价格飙升，XRP（XRP 4.94％）

Cryptocurrency investors have a lot to celebrate these days. Prices of many of the most popular coins have surged over the past year, and the XRP (XRP 4.94%) cryptocurrency, sometimes called Ripple, is no exception. Its price soared 234% in 2024, but will the good times continue.

加密货币投资者如今有很多庆祝活动。在过去的一年中，许多最受欢迎的硬币的价格飙升，XRP（XRP 4.94％）加密货币（有时称为Ripple）也不例外。它的价格在2024年飙升了234％，但美好时光会继续下去。

Back-to-back years of such strong gains would be exceptional, so how likely is it that the XRP coin could more than double from its current price and reach $6 in 2025? I think the debut of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holding XRP later this year and the crypto-friendly regulatory environment that the Trump administration is creating could help lift its price higher. However, there are also reasons to be skeptical that a $6 XRP price is realistic.

如此强劲的收益的背靠背几年将是非凡的，那么XRP硬币的可能性超过目前的价格并在2025年达到6美元的可能性？我认为，今年晚些时候持有XRP的现货交易所交易基金（ETF）的首次亮相以及特朗普政府正在创造的对加密友好的监管环境可以帮助提高其价格。但是，也有理由怀疑6美元的XRP价格是现实的。

Image source: Getty Images.

图像来源：盖蒂图像。

XRP ETFs could launch this year

XRP ETF今年可以推出

The launch of an XRP exchange-traded fund would be the most important bullish catalyst for XRP's price this year. ETFs give investors an easier way to own cryptocurrencies.

XRP交易所交易基金的推出将是今年XRP价格最重要的看涨催化剂。 ETF为投资者提供了一种拥有加密货币的简便方法。

You can quickly buy and sell ETFs through standard brokerage accounts. This makes them especially beneficial for investors who may want to invest in cryptocurrencies but don't want to go through the hassle of opening a dedicated crypto wallet or owning the actual coins.

您可以通过标准经纪帐户快速购买和出售ETF。这使他们对可能想投资加密货币但不想经历打开专用的加密钱包或拥有实际硬币的麻烦的投资者特别有益。

The launch of several Bitcoin ETFs early last year was momentous for the cryptocurrency. At this time last year -- just before those ETFs launched -- Bitcoin's price was around $46,100 -- compared to its current price of about $87,000.

去年年初的几个比特币ETF的推出对于加密货币来说是重要的。去年的这个时候 - 就在这些ETF推出之前，比特币的价格约为46,100美元，而目前的价格约为87,000美元。

Grayscale and a handful of other financial institutions have already filed applications with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch spot XRP ETFs. Those applications are currently under review, and a decision could come by October. If they're approved, investors who may have wanted to own XRP -- but who didn't want to buy the crypto through the usual methods -- could flock to the ETF.

灰度和少数其他金融机构已经向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提出申请，以启动现场XRP ETF。这些申请目前正在审查中，并且可以在10月之前做出决定。如果他们获得批准，可能想拥有XRP的投资者 - 但不想通过通常的方法购买加密货币的投资者可能会涌向ETF。

JPMorgan estimates that investors could pour between $3 billion and $8 billion into XRP ETFs in their first year alone. Such a surge of new money into XRP would certainly benefit the coin's price, though it's uncertain by how much.

摩根大通估计，仅在第一年，投资者就会将30亿至80亿美元倒入XRP ETF中。 XRP的这种新资金激增肯定会使硬币的价格受益，尽管这尚不确定多少。

A friendly regulatory environment for crypto

加密的友好监管环境

Regulation is always a significant factor in any investment, but it has been particularly important for cryptocurrencies. Previous leaders of regulatory agencies viewed crypto with skepticism, but President Trump has shown that under his administration, Washington will take a more crypto-friendly regulatory approach.

法规始终是任何投资的重​​要因素，但对于加密货币而言，这一点尤其重要。监管机构的先前领导人对持怀疑态度看过加密货币，但特朗普总统表明，在他的政府下，华盛顿将采取一种更友好的加密友好法规方法。

Credit: CC0 Public Domain

学分：CC0公共领域

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the "Trump effect" has already been felt by his company. "We signed more U.S. deals in the last six weeks of 2024 than the previous six months," Garlinghouse said in early January.

Ripple首席执行官Brad Garlinghouse表示，他的公司已经感受到了“特朗普效应”。加林豪斯在1月初说：“在2024年的最后六周，我们签署了更多的美国交易。”

While many cryptocurrencies saw their prices rise after Trump was elected, it's worth mentioning that the optimism can easily fade. For example, Bitcoin's price recently fell to a three-month low.

尽管许多加密货币在特朗普当选后的价格上涨，但值得一提的是乐观主义很容易消失。例如，比特币的价格最近下跌了三个月。

Still, Trump has set up a "crypto czar," appointed pro-crypto individuals to key positions in his administration, and directed the SEC to reverse its stance on having banks and financial institutions treat cryptocurrencies as liabilities on their balance sheets -- all moves that have naturally fueled optimism about the general outlook for crypto.

尽管如此，特朗普还是建立了一个“加密沙皇”，任命了亲克莱托普个人在其政府中的关键立场，并指示SEC扭转其对拥有银行和金融机构的立场，将其视为其资产负债表的责任 - 所有行动都对Crypto的一般展望充满了乐观。

Will XRP reach $6 in 2025?

XRP在2025年会达到$ 6吗？

Even if XRP benefits from some substantial catalysts, it's unrealistic to think it'll reach $6 this year. XRP is volatile even by cryptocurrency standards, and it would have to more than double from its current price (as of Feb. 25) to reach $6 per coin.

即使XRP受益于一些实质性的催化剂，认为今年将达到6美元是不现实的。 XRP即使是加密货币标准，XRP也是波动的，它的价格将比目前的价格（截至2月25日）达到一倍以上，达到每枚硬币6美元。

Also, while the economy looks strong, a few concerning signs have appeared. In February, consumer confidence fell to its lowest level since 2021, and Trump's threats of international tariffs have some economists concerned that rising inflation will rear its ugly head again.

另外，尽管经济看起来很强，但出现了一些有关迹象的信息。 2月，消费者的信心降至2021年以来的最低水平，特朗普对国际关税的威胁使一些经济学家担心通货膨胀率上升将再次抬高其丑陋的头脑。

If the U.S. economy slows even mildly, I think it's likely that some of the euphoria surrounding cryptocurrencies will fade, leaving XRP far short of $6 per coin.

如果美国的经济略微减慢，我认为围绕加密货币的一些欣喜可能会消失，而XRP的每一枚硬币却低于6美元。