XRP努力保持关键支持水平，因为更广泛的市场下跌会加剧

Ripple最近确认其将RLUSD Stablecoin整合到波纹支付中的计划被更广泛的加密货币市场所掩盖了

Ripple’s recent confirmation of its plans to integrate the RLUSD stablecoin into Ripple Payments has been overshadowed by the broader cryptocurrency market downturn. As XRP struggles to maintain key support levels, traders and investors are closely monitoring whether the token can hold above $2 or risk a deeper decline.

Ripple最近确认其将RLUSD Stablecoin整合到波纹支付中的计划已被更广泛的加密货币市场低迷所掩盖。随着XRP努力维持关键支持水平，交易者和投资者正在密切监视代币是否可以持有2美元以上或可能会更深入下降。

XRP’s Recent Price Drop and Liquidations

XRP最近的价格下跌和清算

Over the past 24 hours, XRP experienced a 4% decline, leading to $18 million in futures liquidations. Among these liquidations, $11 million were long positions, while $7 million were shorts. The imbalance suggests that bullish traders were caught off guard as price action failed to hold key levels.

在过去的24小时内，XRP下降了4％，导致了1800万美元的期货清算。在这些清算中，有1100万美元的职位是长位，而700万美元是短裤。不平衡表明，由于价格行动未能保持关键水平，看涨的商人措手不及。

Additionally, the market-wide impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs has accelerated losses across the cryptocurrency sector.

此外，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布互惠关税的市场影响促进了整个加密货币部门的损失。

As a result, the $2 support level has become a critical line in the sand for XRP traders. If this level, along with the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), is breached, the token could sink further toward the $1.50 support zone.

结果，$ 2的支持水平已成为XRP交易者沙子中的关键路线。如果此水平以及200天简单的移动平均线（SMA）被违反，则令牌可能会进一步朝着$ 1.50的支撑区下沉。

On-Chain Metrics Signal Mixed Sentiment

链上指标信号混合情绪

XRP’s on-chain indicators present conflicting signals, making price predictions challenging. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has dipped below its 200-day moving average—a historically bearish signal that suggests XRP may still be overvalued relative to investor costs.

XRP的链链指标呈现出冲突的信号，使价格预测具有挑战性。实现价值（MVRV）比率的市场价值已降至其200天移动平均水平低于其200天的移动平均水平，这是历史上看跌信号，表明XRP相对于投资者的成本可能仍被高估。

However, despite this bearish indicator, whale accumulation has increased, suggesting that large investors are positioning for a potential long-term rise.

然而，尽管有看跌的指标，但鲸鱼的积累仍增加了，这表明大型投资者正在定位潜在的长期增长。

Historically, whale accumulation has preceded price rebounds, indicating a possible divergence between short-term price action and long-term investor sentiment.

从历史上看，鲸鱼的积累先于价格篮板，表明短期价格行动与长期投资者情绪之间可能存在差异。

At present, XRP’s market value is trading below its realized value, which is often interpreted as a bearish signal. This trend typically leads to periods of consolidation or further price corrections. However, market dynamics remain highly fluid, and external factors—such as regulatory developments, macroeconomic trends, and investor sentiment—will continue to play a significant role in XRP’s trajectory.

目前，XRP的市场价值交易低于其实现价值，通常被解释为看跌信号。这种趋势通常会导致合并期间或进一步的价格更正。但是，市场动态仍然很流畅，外部因素（例如监管发展，宏观经济趋势和投资者情绪）将继续在XRP的轨迹中发挥重要作用。

Potential Market Scenarios for XRP

XRP的潜在市场情况

Given XRP’s current price structure, traders should consider the following scenarios:

鉴于XRP当前的价格结构，交易者应考虑以下情况：

If the price breaks out of the lower timeframe chart's support zone and sinks below $1.50, it could trigger even greater liquidations and a steeper decline toward the $1 level. This scenario unfolds if the market fails to react to new lows.On the other hand, if the bulls manage to defend the $2 support, it could set the stage for a potential recovery toward the 50-day SMA at $2.50. This scenario hinges on a collective effort by bullish traders to maintain the current price trend.

如果价格从较低的时间表的支撑区中断出来，并下降到1.50美元以下，则可能会触发更大的清算和更大的下降到1美元的水平。如果市场无法对新的低点做出反应，则这种情况将会发生。另一方面，如果公牛设法捍卫2美元的支持，它可能会为50天SMA的潜在恢复奠定基础，为2.50美元。这种情况取决于看涨贸易商以保持当前价格趋势的集体努力。

Market Sentiment and Investor Outlook

市场情绪和投资者前景

Despite short-term bearish signals, some investors remain optimistic about XRP’s long-term potential, particularly given Ripple’s ongoing expansion into real-world payment solutions.

尽管短期看跌信号，但一些投资者仍然对XRP的长期潜力保持乐观，尤其是考虑到Ripple的持续扩展到现实世界中的支付解决方案。

However, even the most bullish expectations could be undermined if XRP enters a high-volatility zone due to a breakdown below its current support.

但是，如果XRP由于低于目前的支持而进入高挥发性区域，即使是最看涨的期望也可能会受到破坏。

As the market already anticipates this possibility, the key question remains whether bullish investors have the tenacity and capital to prevent a steep decline.

正如市场已经预见到这种可能性的那样，关键问题是看涨投资者是否具有防止大幅下降的坚韧和资本。

XRP finds itself at a critical juncture, with its $2 support level serving as a make-or-break moment for traders. While whale accumulation signals confidence in XRP’s long-term potential, short-term bearish indicators and external market forces suggest increased caution is warranted. Whether XRP can withstand the ongoing market volatility or succumb to further downside remains to be seen, making this a crucial moment for traders and investors alike.

XRP发现自己处于关键时刻，其2美元的支持水平是交易者的制造时刻。尽管鲸鱼的积累表明对XRP的长期潜力的信心，但短期看跌指标和外部市场力量表明有必要增加谨慎。 XRP是否可以承受正在进行的市场波动率还是屈服于进一步的缺点，这对于交易者和投资者来说都是至关重要的时刻。