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XRP 最近的价格走势显示出持续的挣扎,特别是与比特币相比。随着 XRP/BTC 跌至 0.00000863,人们对其 2025 年表现能力的担忧不断加剧。
A glance at XRP's recent price action shows a continued struggle, especially when compared to Bitcoin. While BTC's price has seen substantial gains over the past year, XRP has lagged behind. This is evident in the XRP/BTC pair, which has dropped to 0.00000863 as of October 2024.
纵观 XRP 最近的价格走势,我们会发现它的持续挣扎,特别是与比特币相比。尽管 BTC 的价格在过去一年中大幅上涨,但 XRP 却落后了。这在 XRP/BTC 货币对中很明显,截至 2024 年 10 月,XRP/BTC 货币对已跌至 0.00000863。
This decline in XRP/BTC is a cause for concern, considering the upcoming macroeconomic shifts that could propel Bitcoin to new heights. As the Federal Reserve pivots to cutting interest rates in 2025, an event that is widely anticipated, Bitcoin is expected to rally strongly due to its status as a non-interest-bearing asset.
考虑到即将到来的宏观经济变化可能将比特币推向新的高度,XRP/BTC 的下跌令人担忧。随着美联储在 2025 年降息,这是人们普遍预期的事件,比特币由于其无息资产的地位,预计将强劲反弹。
However, XRP's legal troubles and the sell-offs by large whale investors cast a shadow over its future performance. Several bearish indicators are emerging for XRP, painting a challenging picture for the token in 2025.
然而,XRP 的法律麻烦和大型鲸鱼投资者的抛售为其未来的表现蒙上了阴影。 XRP 出现了一些看跌指标,为该代币在 2025 年描绘了一幅充满挑战的图景。
Bearish Indicators Signal Trouble For XRP
看跌指标预示 XRP 出现问题
A closer examination of XRP's price movements reveals multiple bearish signals. The ongoing SEC appeal against Ripple has created uncertainty among investors, limiting any favorable buying pressure. Any unfavorable ruling in 2025 could severely impact the token's price action.
仔细检查 XRP 的价格走势会发现多个看跌信号。 SEC 对 Ripple 的持续上诉给投资者带来了不确定性,限制了任何有利的购买压力。 2025 年任何不利的裁决都可能严重影响代币的价格走势。
Throughout the legal saga, any positive news has been met with investor enthusiasm, driving up XRP's price. However, the token has failed to sustain these gains, ultimately sliding back down due to unfavorable updates.
在整个法律事件中,任何积极消息都会引起投资者的热情,从而推高 XRP 的价格。然而,该代币未能维持这些涨幅,最终由于不利的更新而回落。
Another key indicator to watch is the XRP/BTC pair, which shows a significant downtrend. As of October 2024, XRP/BTC hovers around 0.00000863, reflecting XRP's underperformance against Bitcoin.
另一个值得关注的关键指标是 XRP/BTC 货币对,该货币对显示出显着的下降趋势。截至 2024 年 10 月,XRP/BTC 徘徊在 0.00000863 左右,反映出 XRP 相对于比特币的表现不佳。
Historically, when macroeconomic conditions shift, such as the anticipated Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin tends to dominate the market cycles. This leaves less room for other cryptocurrencies, including XRP, to make substantial gains.
从历史上看,当宏观经济条件发生变化时,例如预期的美联储降息,比特币往往会主导市场周期。这使得包括 XRP 在内的其他加密货币获得大幅收益的空间更小。
Adding to the bearish sentiment for XRP is the whale accumulation data. A recent chart shows major whales offloading XRP since August 2024. This sell-off by large investors is a signal of diminishing confidence in the token.
鲸鱼积累数据加剧了 XRP 的看跌情绪。最近的一张图表显示,自 2024 年 8 月以来,主要鲸鱼纷纷抛售 XRP。大型投资者的抛售表明人们对该代币的信心正在减弱。
Furthermore, both large and mid-tier XRP holders have reduced their positions, suggesting that further downside potential could be on the horizon for XRP.
此外,大型和中型 XRP 持有者都减少了头寸,这表明 XRP 可能存在进一步下行的潜力。
In contrast, Bitcoin's clear regulatory status and market dominance make it the safer bet heading into 2025, especially given the limited time left before the next halving event.
相比之下,比特币明确的监管地位和市场主导地位使其在进入 2025 年时成为更安全的选择,特别是考虑到下一次减半事件之前所剩的时间有限。
Technical Pattern Adds To Bearish Cues
技术形态增添了看跌暗示
Meanwhile, the XRP USD pair has also encountered strong selling pressure, as prices refuse to move above $0.55. Compounding the bearish outlook is the token's 20-day EMA (red wave) crossing below its 100-day EMA (blue wave) to form a bearish pattern called the death cross.
与此同时,XRP 美元对也遇到了强大的抛售压力,因为价格拒绝升至 0.55 美元以上。令看跌前景更加复杂的是,该代币的 20 日均线(红色波浪)低于其 100 日均线(蓝色波浪),形成称为死亡交叉的看跌模式。
In technical analysis, the death cross is considered a harbinger of bearish market conditions and, thus, a sell signal. It occurs when a short-term moving average, such as the 20-day EMA, drops below a long-term moving average, like the 100-day EMA.
在技术分析中,死亡交叉被认为是看跌市场状况的先兆,因此也是卖出信号。当短期移动平均线(例如 20 日 EMA)跌破长期移动平均线(例如 100 日 EMA)时,就会发生这种情况。
This pattern indicates a shift in momentum toward the bears, suggesting that further price declines could be on the horizon. Market participants often use this pattern to identify potential selling opportunities.
这种模式表明势头转向空头,表明价格可能即将进一步下跌。市场参与者经常使用这种模式来识别潜在的销售机会。
After forming the death cross in October, XRP's price candles have formed a nearly straight line, suggesting that both bulls and bears are awaiting updates in the SEC appeal before deciding on their next move.
在 10 月份形成死亡交叉后,XRP 的价格蜡烛几乎形成了一条直线,表明多头和空头都在等待 SEC 上诉的最新消息,然后再决定下一步行动。
It seems that XRP will have a hard time mounting a rally as it enters 2025. However, a judgment favoring Ripple in the SEC appeal, ETF approvals, and other bullish cues could help XRP prices register impressive gains in the coming year.
进入 2025 年,XRP 似乎将很难上涨。然而,SEC 上诉中对 Ripple 有利的判决、ETF 批准以及其他看涨信号可能会帮助 XRP 价格在来年实现可观的涨幅。
But with all those cues now hinging on XRP's shaky legal status, it appears that Bitcoin will likely remain the favorite among investors in 2025.
但鉴于所有这些线索现在都取决于 XRP 不稳定的法律地位,看来比特币到 2025 年仍将是投资者的最爱。
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