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XRP 最近的價格走勢顯示出持續的掙扎,特別是與比特幣相比。隨著 XRP/BTC 跌至 0.00000863,人們對其 2025 年表現能力的擔憂不斷加劇。
A glance at XRP's recent price action shows a continued struggle, especially when compared to Bitcoin. While BTC's price has seen substantial gains over the past year, XRP has lagged behind. This is evident in the XRP/BTC pair, which has dropped to 0.00000863 as of October 2024.
縱觀 XRP 最近的價格走勢,我們會發現它的持續掙扎,特別是與比特幣相比。儘管 BTC 的價格在過去一年中大幅上漲,但 XRP 卻落後了。這在 XRP/BTC 貨幣對中很明顯,截至 2024 年 10 月,XRP/BTC 貨幣對已跌至 0.00000863。
This decline in XRP/BTC is a cause for concern, considering the upcoming macroeconomic shifts that could propel Bitcoin to new heights. As the Federal Reserve pivots to cutting interest rates in 2025, an event that is widely anticipated, Bitcoin is expected to rally strongly due to its status as a non-interest-bearing asset.
考慮到即將到來的宏觀經濟變化可能將比特幣推向新的高度,XRP/BTC 的下跌令人擔憂。隨著聯準會在 2025 年降息,這是人們普遍預期的事件,比特幣由於其無息資產的地位,預計將強勁反彈。
However, XRP's legal troubles and the sell-offs by large whale investors cast a shadow over its future performance. Several bearish indicators are emerging for XRP, painting a challenging picture for the token in 2025.
然而,XRP 的法律麻煩和大型鯨魚投資者的拋售為其未來的表現蒙上了陰影。 XRP 出現了一些看跌指標,為該代幣在 2025 年描繪了一幅充滿挑戰的圖景。
Bearish Indicators Signal Trouble For XRP
看跌指標預示 XRP 出現問題
A closer examination of XRP's price movements reveals multiple bearish signals. The ongoing SEC appeal against Ripple has created uncertainty among investors, limiting any favorable buying pressure. Any unfavorable ruling in 2025 could severely impact the token's price action.
仔細檢查 XRP 的價格走勢會發現多個看跌訊號。 SEC 對 Ripple 的持續上訴給投資者帶來了不確定性,限制了任何有利的購買壓力。 2025 年任何不利的裁決都可能嚴重影響代幣的價格走勢。
Throughout the legal saga, any positive news has been met with investor enthusiasm, driving up XRP's price. However, the token has failed to sustain these gains, ultimately sliding back down due to unfavorable updates.
在整個法律事件中,任何積極消息都會引起投資者的熱情,從而推高 XRP 的價格。然而,該代幣未能維持這些漲幅,最終由於不利的更新而回落。
Another key indicator to watch is the XRP/BTC pair, which shows a significant downtrend. As of October 2024, XRP/BTC hovers around 0.00000863, reflecting XRP's underperformance against Bitcoin.
另一個值得關注的關鍵指標是 XRP/BTC 貨幣對,該貨幣對顯示出顯著的下降趨勢。截至 2024 年 10 月,XRP/BTC 徘徊在 0.00000863 左右,反映出 XRP 相對於比特幣的表現不佳。
Historically, when macroeconomic conditions shift, such as the anticipated Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin tends to dominate the market cycles. This leaves less room for other cryptocurrencies, including XRP, to make substantial gains.
從歷史上看,當宏觀經濟條件發生變化時,例如預期的聯準會降息,比特幣往往會主導市場週期。這使得包括 XRP 在內的其他加密貨幣獲得大幅收益的空間更小。
Adding to the bearish sentiment for XRP is the whale accumulation data. A recent chart shows major whales offloading XRP since August 2024. This sell-off by large investors is a signal of diminishing confidence in the token.
鯨魚累積數據加劇了 XRP 的看跌情緒。最近的一張圖表顯示,自 2024 年 8 月以來,主要鯨魚紛紛拋售 XRP。
Furthermore, both large and mid-tier XRP holders have reduced their positions, suggesting that further downside potential could be on the horizon for XRP.
此外,大型和中型 XRP 持有者都減少了頭寸,這表明 XRP 可能存在進一步下行的潛力。
In contrast, Bitcoin's clear regulatory status and market dominance make it the safer bet heading into 2025, especially given the limited time left before the next halving event.
相較之下,比特幣明確的監管地位和市場主導地位使其在進入 2025 年時成為更安全的選擇,特別是考慮到下一次減半事件之前所剩的時間有限。
Technical Pattern Adds To Bearish Cues
技術形態增添了看跌暗示
Meanwhile, the XRP USD pair has also encountered strong selling pressure, as prices refuse to move above $0.55. Compounding the bearish outlook is the token's 20-day EMA (red wave) crossing below its 100-day EMA (blue wave) to form a bearish pattern called the death cross.
與此同時,XRP 美元對也遇到了強大的拋售壓力,因為價格拒絕升至 0.55 美元以上。令看跌前景更加複雜的是,該代幣的 20 日均線(紅色波浪)低於其 100 日均線(藍色波浪),形成稱為死亡交叉的看跌模式。
In technical analysis, the death cross is considered a harbinger of bearish market conditions and, thus, a sell signal. It occurs when a short-term moving average, such as the 20-day EMA, drops below a long-term moving average, like the 100-day EMA.
在技術分析中,死亡交叉被認為是看跌市場狀況的先兆,因此也是賣出訊號。當短期移動平均線(例如 20 日 EMA)跌破長期移動平均線(例如 100 日 EMA)時,就會發生這種情況。
This pattern indicates a shift in momentum toward the bears, suggesting that further price declines could be on the horizon. Market participants often use this pattern to identify potential selling opportunities.
這種模式表明勢頭轉向空頭,表明價格可能即將進一步下跌。市場參與者經常使用這種模式來識別潛在的銷售機會。
After forming the death cross in October, XRP's price candles have formed a nearly straight line, suggesting that both bulls and bears are awaiting updates in the SEC appeal before deciding on their next move.
在 10 月形成死亡交叉後,XRP 的價格蠟燭幾乎形成了一條直線,表明多頭和空頭都在等待 SEC 上訴的最新消息,然後再決定下一步行動。
It seems that XRP will have a hard time mounting a rally as it enters 2025. However, a judgment favoring Ripple in the SEC appeal, ETF approvals, and other bullish cues could help XRP prices register impressive gains in the coming year.
進入 2025 年,XRP 似乎將很難上漲。 然而,SEC 上訴中對 Ripple 有利的判決、ETF 批准以及其他看漲訊號可能會幫助 XRP 價格在來年實現可觀的漲幅。
But with all those cues now hinging on XRP's shaky legal status, it appears that Bitcoin will likely remain the favorite among investors in 2025.
但鑑於所有這些線索現在都取決於 XRP 不穩定的法律地位,看來比特幣到 2025 年仍將是投資者的最愛。
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