XRP 价格预测：Ripple 能否突破 2.9 美元阻力位并力争在 2023 年创下历史新高？

Ripple XRP 经历了大幅飙升，周四上涨了 7%，延续了元旦庆祝活动期间开始的势头。

After experiencing a 12% surge on Wednesday, XRP’s price rally continued on Thursday with a 7% rise, continuing the momentum that began during the New Year’s Day celebrations. This rally has caught the attention of investors, with long-term holders (LTH) displaying strong accumulation patterns, potentially signaling that XRP could break past the $2.9 resistance level and aim for a new all-time high.

在经历了周三 12% 的飙升之后，XRP 的价格周四继续上涨，上涨了 7%，延续了元旦庆祝活动期间开始的势头。这次反弹引起了投资者的注意，长期持有者（LTH）表现出强劲的积累模式，这可能表明 XRP 可能突破 2.9 美元的阻力位，并瞄准新的历史高点。

XRP On-Chain Activity Shows Dominance of Long-Term Holders, Buying Pressure at Top Exchanges

XRP 链上活动显示长期持有者占主导地位，顶级交易所面临购买压力

A wave of profit-taking occurred on Wednesday as investors booked over $1 billion in realized profits — the highest level since December 16. According to data from Santiment, this profit-taking trend was driven by investors who had held XRP for the past 90 days, as indicated by a sharp spike in the Dormant Circulation (90d) metric. This behavior suggests that short-term holders are cashing in on their gains, but the LTHs are taking a different route.

周三出现一波获利了结浪潮，投资者已实现利润超过 10 亿美元，为 12 月 16 日以来的最高水平。根据 Santiment 的数据，这种获利了结趋势是由过去 90 天持有 XRP 的投资者推动的，如休眠循环 (90d) 指标中的急剧峰值所示。这种行为表明短期持有者正在兑现他们的收益，但 LTH 却采取了不同的路线。

LTHs have been accumulating XRP, absorbing the sell-pressure from these short-term investors, as reflected by an increase in the Mean Coin Age metric. This metric, which measures the average time XRP tokens have stayed in their current address, shows that accumulation is currently outweighing distribution.

LTH 一直在积累 XRP，吸收这些短期投资者的抛售压力，正如平均币龄指标的增长所反映的那样。该指标衡量 XRP 代币在当前地址停留的平均时间，表明当前积累超过了分配。

This trend is also supported by XRP’s net flow and volume across top crypto exchanges. Binance, OKX, Bitstamp, and Bybit have all shown net outflows, signaling that buying pressure is dominant. The only exchange with net inflows was Coinbase, which adds further weight to the notion that investors are holding rather than selling XRP.

这一趋势也得到了 XRP 在顶级加密货币交易所的净流量和交易量的支持。 Binance、OKX、Bitstamp和Bybit均出现净流出，表明购买压力占主导地位。唯一出现净流入的交易所是 Coinbase，这进一步强化了投资者持有而不是出售 XRP 的观点。

XRP Breaks Out of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern, Eyes $2.9 Resistance

XRP 突破对称三角形形态，关注 2.9 美元阻力位

XRP’s price action is continuing to build on its bullish momentum, with the cryptocurrency breaking out of a symmetrical triangle pattern on Thursday. This technical formation typically signals that a breakout could lead to a strong move in one direction. Following the breakout, XRP is now eyeing the $2.9 resistance level, a key barrier that could pave the way for further gains if breached.

XRP 的价格走势继续建立在看涨势头的基础上，该加密货币在周四突破了对称三角形模式。这种技术形态通常表明突破可能会导致朝一个方向的强劲走势。突破后，XRP 现在关注 2.9 美元的阻力位，这是一个关键障碍，如果突破，可能为进一步上涨铺平道路。

This rally could strengthen if XRP experiences a slight downturn and subsequently bounces off the triangle’s upper boundary line, which would act as support. On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above its neutral level, signaling that bullish momentum remains dominant. However, the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) is in the oversold region, suggesting that a potential correction might be on the horizon.

如果 XRP 经历小幅下跌并随后从作为支撑的三角形上边界线反弹，那么这种反弹可能会加强。日线图上，相对强弱指数（RSI）高于中性水平，表明看涨势头仍然占主导地位。然而，随机振荡器（Stoch）处于超卖区域，表明潜在的修正可能即将到来。

SEC Appeal Deadline Looms: Pro-Crypto Chair Paul Atkins Could Influence XRP’s Future

美国证券交易委员会上诉截止日期临近：支持加密货币的主席保罗·阿特金斯可能会影响 XRP 的未来

The ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues to be a significant factor in XRP’s price movements. However, with Paul Atkins, a pro-crypto figure, potentially set to assume the role of SEC Chair on January 20, analysts speculate that the agency may not pursue its appeal against Judge Analisa Torres’s ruling in the case. This development would be a positive catalyst for Ripple, as the SEC faces a January 15 deadline to file the opening brief for its appeal.

Ripple 与美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 之间正在进行的法律斗争仍然是 XRP 价格走势的一个重要因素。然而，由于支持加密货币的保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 可能将于 1 月 20 日出任 SEC 主席，分析师推测该机构可能不会针对法官阿娜丽莎·托雷斯 (Analisa Torres) 对此案的裁决提出上诉。这一进展将成为 Ripple 的积极催化剂，因为 SEC 面临 1 月 15 日提交上诉开庭简报的最后期限。

What’s Next for XRP? Breaking $2.9 or Correcting Toward $1.35

XRP 的下一步是什么？突破 2.9 美元或修正至 1.35 美元

For now, XRP is firmly in a bullish position, with accumulation from LTHs helping to sustain upward momentum. If XRP continues to rise and manages to breach the $2.9 resistance level, it could pave the way for even higher prices. However, if the market turns and XRP closes below the triangle’s lower boundary line and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), it could invalidate the bullish thesis and send the price toward the $1.35 level.

目前，XRP 坚定地处于看涨位置，LTH 的积累有助于维持上涨势头。如果 XRP 继续上涨并成功突破 2.9 美元的阻力位，则可能为更高的价格铺平道路。然而，如果市场转向并且 XRP 收盘价低于三角形的下边界线和 50 天简单移动平均线 (SMA)，则可能会使看涨论点失效并将价格推向 1.35 美元的水平。

As long as buying pressure remains dominant and the broader market sentiment stays positive, XRP’s prospects look promising in the short to medium term. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on the $2.9 resistance level, as a breakout here could set the stage for a new rally in 2025.

只要购买压力仍然占主导地位并且更广泛的市场情绪保持积极，XRP 的中短期前景就充满希望。交易者和投资者应密切关注 2.9 美元的阻力位，因为突破此处可能为 2025 年的新一轮反弹奠定基础。