XRP 價格預測：Ripple 能否突破 2.9 美元阻力位並力爭在 2023 年創下歷史新高？

Ripple XRP 經歷了大幅飆升，週四上漲了 7%，延續了元旦慶祝活動期間開始的勢頭。

After experiencing a 12% surge on Wednesday, XRP’s price rally continued on Thursday with a 7% rise, continuing the momentum that began during the New Year’s Day celebrations. This rally has caught the attention of investors, with long-term holders (LTH) displaying strong accumulation patterns, potentially signaling that XRP could break past the $2.9 resistance level and aim for a new all-time high.

在經歷了周三 12% 的飆升之後，XRP 的價格週四繼續上漲，上漲了 7%，延續了元旦慶祝活動期間開始的勢頭。這次反彈引起了投資者的注意，長期持有者（LTH）表現出強勁的積累模式，這可能表明 XRP 可能突破 2.9 美元的阻力位，並瞄準新的歷史高點。

XRP On-Chain Activity Shows Dominance of Long-Term Holders, Buying Pressure at Top Exchanges

XRP 鏈上活動顯示長期持有者占主導地位，頂級交易所面臨購買壓力

A wave of profit-taking occurred on Wednesday as investors booked over $1 billion in realized profits — the highest level since December 16. According to data from Santiment, this profit-taking trend was driven by investors who had held XRP for the past 90 days, as indicated by a sharp spike in the Dormant Circulation (90d) metric. This behavior suggests that short-term holders are cashing in on their gains, but the LTHs are taking a different route.

週三出現一波獲利了結浪潮，投資者已實現利潤超過10 億美元，為12 月16 日以來的最高水平。者推動的，如休眠循環 (90d) 指標中的急劇峰值所示。這種行為表明短期持有者正在兌現他們的收益，但 LTH 採取了不同的路線。

LTHs have been accumulating XRP, absorbing the sell-pressure from these short-term investors, as reflected by an increase in the Mean Coin Age metric. This metric, which measures the average time XRP tokens have stayed in their current address, shows that accumulation is currently outweighing distribution.

LTH 一直在累積 XRP，吸收這些短期投資者的拋售壓力，正如平均幣齡指標的成長所反映的那樣。該指標衡量 XRP 代幣在當前地址停留的平均時間，表明當前累積超過了分配。

This trend is also supported by XRP’s net flow and volume across top crypto exchanges. Binance, OKX, Bitstamp, and Bybit have all shown net outflows, signaling that buying pressure is dominant. The only exchange with net inflows was Coinbase, which adds further weight to the notion that investors are holding rather than selling XRP.

這一趨勢也得到了 XRP 在頂級加密貨幣交易所的淨流量和交易量的支持。 Binance、OKX、Bitstamp和Bybit均出現淨流出，顯示購買壓力占主導地位。唯一出現淨流入的交易所是 Coinbase，這進一步強化了投資者持有而不是出售 XRP 的觀點。

XRP Breaks Out of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern, Eyes $2.9 Resistance

XRP 突破對稱三角形型態，關注 2.9 美元阻力位

XRP’s price action is continuing to build on its bullish momentum, with the cryptocurrency breaking out of a symmetrical triangle pattern on Thursday. This technical formation typically signals that a breakout could lead to a strong move in one direction. Following the breakout, XRP is now eyeing the $2.9 resistance level, a key barrier that could pave the way for further gains if breached.

XRP 的價格走勢繼續建立在看漲勢頭的基礎上，該加密貨幣在周四突破了對稱三角形模式。這種技術形態通常表明突破可能會導致朝一個方向的強勁走勢。突破後，XRP 現在關注 2.9 美元的阻力位，這是一個關鍵障礙，如果突破，可能為進一步上漲鋪平道路。

This rally could strengthen if XRP experiences a slight downturn and subsequently bounces off the triangle’s upper boundary line, which would act as support. On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above its neutral level, signaling that bullish momentum remains dominant. However, the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) is in the oversold region, suggesting that a potential correction might be on the horizon.

如果 XRP 經歷小幅下跌並隨後從作為支撐的三角形上邊界線反彈，那麼這種反彈可能會加強。日線圖上，相對強弱指數（RSI）高於中性水平，顯示看漲動能仍占主導地位。然而，隨機振盪器（Stoch）處於超賣區域，表明潛在的修正可能即將到來。

SEC Appeal Deadline Looms: Pro-Crypto Chair Paul Atkins Could Influence XRP’s Future

美國證券交易委員會上訴截止日期臨近：支持加密貨幣的主席保羅·阿特金斯可能會影響 XRP 的未來

The ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues to be a significant factor in XRP’s price movements. However, with Paul Atkins, a pro-crypto figure, potentially set to assume the role of SEC Chair on January 20, analysts speculate that the agency may not pursue its appeal against Judge Analisa Torres’s ruling in the case. This development would be a positive catalyst for Ripple, as the SEC faces a January 15 deadline to file the opening brief for its appeal.

Ripple 與美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 之間正在進行的法律鬥爭仍然是 XRP 價格走勢的一個重要因素。然而，由於支持加密貨幣的保羅·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins) 可能將於1 月20 日出任SEC 主席，分析師推測該機構可能不會針對法官阿娜麗莎·托雷斯(Analisa Torres) 對此案的裁決提出上訴。這項進展將成為 Ripple 的積極催化劑，因為 SEC 面臨 1 月 15 日提交上訴開庭簡報的最後期限。

What’s Next for XRP? Breaking $2.9 or Correcting Toward $1.35

XRP 的下一步是什麼？突破 2.9 美元或修正至 1.35 美元

For now, XRP is firmly in a bullish position, with accumulation from LTHs helping to sustain upward momentum. If XRP continues to rise and manages to breach the $2.9 resistance level, it could pave the way for even higher prices. However, if the market turns and XRP closes below the triangle’s lower boundary line and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), it could invalidate the bullish thesis and send the price toward the $1.35 level.

目前，XRP 堅定地處於看漲位置，LTH 的累積有助於維持上漲勢頭。如果 XRP 繼續上漲並成功突破 2.9 美元的阻力位，則可能為更高的價格鋪平道路。然而，如果市場轉向且 XRP 收盤價低於三角形的下邊界線和 50 天簡單移動平均線 (SMA)，則可能會使看漲論點失效並將價格推向 1.35 美元的水平。

As long as buying pressure remains dominant and the broader market sentiment stays positive, XRP’s prospects look promising in the short to medium term. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on the $2.9 resistance level, as a breakout here could set the stage for a new rally in 2025.

只要購買壓力仍然占主導地位並且更廣泛的市場情緒保持積極，XRP 的中短期前景就充滿希望。交易者和投資者應密切關注 2.9 美元的阻力位，因為突破此處可能為 2025 年的新一輪反彈奠定基礎。