XRP价格预测：SEC会在2025年底之前批准XRP ETF吗？

随着比特币价格（BTC）在过去24小时内重新测试了至关重要的阻力水平，而Ripple Labs支持的XRP（XRP）逐渐转移到Bullish Momentum。

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Bitcoin (BTC) price showed little to no directional bias in the last 24 hours as BTC price retested a crucial resistance level around $98.5k. However, the flagship digital asset was trading at a price of about $97.4k with a 24-hour volatility of 0.3%.

在过去的24小时内，比特币（BTC）的价格几乎没有方向性偏差，因为BTC价格重新测试了至关重要的抵抗水平，约为$ 98.5K。但是，旗舰数字资产的交易价格约为97.4k美元，波动率为0.3％。

Meanwhile, XRP price showed a 24-hour gain of about 2.5% and was trading at a price of around $2.63 with an average 24-hour trading volume of about $4.08 billion.

同时，XRP价格的24小时增长率约为2.5％，价格约为2.63美元，平均24小时交易量约为40.8亿美元。

Crucially, XRP price has been retesting a key resistance range between $2.6 and $2.8 in the past few days. Notably, the large-cap digital asset has a fully diluted valuation of about $266 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of about $3.2 billion, which showcases a divergence between the market capitalization and trading volume.

至关重要的是，在过去几天中，XRP价格一直在重新测试2.6美元至2.8美元之间。值得注意的是，大型数字资产的估值已完全稀释，约为2660亿美元，交易量约为32亿美元，这表明了市值和交易量之间的分歧。

In the daily time frame, XRP price is displaying a possible head and shoulders (H&S) pattern coupled with a bearish divergence of the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

在每日时间范围内，XRP价格显示出可能的头部和肩膀（H＆S）模式以及相对强度指数（RSI）的看跌差异。

This technical formation indicates a bearish market structure, especially in the presence of a downtrend. However, the fear of a market reversal is palpable amid low whale activity and short-term macroeconomic uncertainty caused by the tariff war triggered by US President Donald Trump.

这种技术形成表明了看跌的市场结构，尤其是在下降趋势的情况下。但是，由于美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）引发的关税战争引起的鲸鱼活动和短期宏观经济不确定性，人们对市场逆转的恐惧是明显的。

Moreover, XRP price, against the US dollar, is retesting a crucial support/resistance level in the weekly time frame, which coincides with the 2021 all-time high (ATH). Historically, a crypto bullish resurgence is experienced amid low optimism from traders, especially after heavy liquidations.

此外，XRP价格（兑美元汇率）正在每周的时间范围内重新测试至关重要的支撑/阻力水平，这与2021年历史最高高（ATH）相吻合。从历史上看，在交易员的乐观范围内，尤其是在大量清算之后，加密看涨的复兴经历了较低的乐观情绪。

From a technical analysis standpoint, XRP price has been forming a bullish pennant flag in the past three months, after a notable breakout from a six-year triangular consolidation. Considering an Elliott Wave theory, XRP price is almost completing the second wave, which will set the stage for the third wave and coincide with price discovery.

从技术分析的角度来看，XRP价格在过去三个月中一直形成一个看涨的甲甘南旗，因为六年的三角合并突破了。考虑到Elliott Wave理论，XRP价格几乎完成了第二波，这将为第三波奠定基础，并与价格发现相吻合。

The bullish sentiment for XRP will be delayed if the altcoin consistently closes below the support level of around $2.25.

如果Altcoin始终关闭支持水平约为2.25美元的支持水平，则XRP的看涨情绪将被推迟。

Spot XRP ETF Odds Rises

SPOT XRP ETF赔率上升

As reported earlier by Coinspeaker, several fund managers, including Grayscale Investments, Bitwise, Canary Capital, and WisdomTree, have filed with the US SEC to offer a spot XRP ETF. Earlier this week, the US SEC acknowledged Bitwise spot XRP ETF in a 19b-5 filing, which increased the odds of approval ahead.

正如Coinspeaker之前报道的那样，包括灰度投资，位，金丝雀资本和WisdomTree在内的几位基金经理已向美国SEC提交了现货XRP ETF。本周早些时候，美国SEC在19b-5申请中承认了Bitwise XRP ETF，这增加了未来的批准几率。

On Thursday, the agency officially posted Grayscale’s spot XRP ETF 19b-4 filing on the Federal Register. Crucially, the US SEC now has until October 18, 2025, to either approve or deny the listing of Grayscale’s spot XRP ETF under the NYSE Arca.

周四，该机构正式发布了Grayscale的XRP ETF 19b-4在联邦公报上提交的文件。至关重要的是，美国SEC现在必须在2025年10月18日之前批准或否认在NYSE ARCA下列出了Grayscale的XRP ETF。

Following the announcement, the odds of a spot XRP ETF approval in the United States by the end of 202

宣布之后，到202年底在美国获得XRP ETF批准的几率