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尽管短暂的集会至3.40美元,但Altcoin仍未能够匹配比特币的势头,现在有可能采取严重的纠正。
The price of XRP continues to be pressured as traders digest mixed technical signals.
随着交易者消化混合技术信号,XRP的价格继续受到压力。
After briefly rallying to $3.40, the altcoin failed to keep pace with Bitcoin’s strong gains, now risking a steep correction.
在短暂集会至3.40美元之后,AltCoin未能与比特币的强劲增长保持同步,现在有可能采取严重的纠正。
At the time of writing, XRP trades at $2.36, reporting a 3.99% loss over the past 24 hours.
在撰写本文时,XRP的交易价格为2.36美元,在过去24小时内报告了3.99%的亏损。
Peter Brandt, a veteran technical analyst, flagged a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. In an X post, Brandt warned that XRP could fall as low as $1.07 if the $1.90 neckline gives way.
资深技术分析师彼得·布兰特(Peter Brandt)标记了看跌的头和露肩模式。在X帖子中,布兰特警告说,如果$ 1.90领先,XRP可能会低至1.07美元。
“Below $1.9, I would not want to own it. H&S projects to $1.07. Don’t shoot the messenger.”
“低于$ 1.9,我不想拥有它。H&S项目至1.07美元。不要射击使者。”
The warning comes as XRP trades 4.7% lower week-on-week, lagging peers while Bitcoin rose to $88,800.
警告是XRP每周降低4.7%,落后的同行,而比特币上涨至88,800美元。
$2.50 Remains Key as Volume Weakens
$ 2.50仍然是关键,因为音量减弱
XRP has not closed below $2 on the daily chart since breaking above it earlier this year. The $2.50 level has acted as both support and resistance over the past four months. A decisive move above this mark would strengthen the bullish case.
自从今年早些时候打破时,XRP在每日图表上没有在每日图表上关闭2美元。在过去的四个月中,$ 2.50的水平既是支持又是阻力。超出此商标的决定性举动将加强看涨案件。
However, market activity has declined. Trading volumes dropped 35% over the past week, falling from $4 billion to $2.6 billion. The decline in spot market interest has raised concerns about short-term momentum.
但是,市场活动有所下降。过去一周的交易量下降了35%,从40亿美元降至26亿美元。现货市场兴趣的下降引起了人们对短期势头的担忧。
Dom, an order flow analyst, believes XRP’s price action in the next two weeks will prove critical.
订单流分析师DOM认为,XRP在接下来的两周内的价格行动将很关键。
“We need to see clear breaks of the levels I have shown. Just be aware of the next week or two, as the price action will be telling.”
“我们需要看到我所展示的水平的明确休息。只要知道下一个或两个星期,就可以说出价格。”
Futures Spike and Technical Timing Add Fuel
期货尖峰和技术时机增加燃料
Despite spot weakness, derivative markets tell a different story. According to @ali_charts, the total capital in XRP futures contracts rose 36% in two weeks, climbing from $2.12 billion to $2.89 billion. The rise suggests rising leverage and trader interest in the altcoin’s next move.
尽管有斑点弱点,但衍生市场讲述了一个不同的故事。根据@ali_charts的数据,XRP期货合约的总资本在两周内增长了36%,从21.2亿美元攀升至28.9亿美元。崛起表明,杠杆率不断上升,交易者对Altcoin的下一步行动进行了利益。
Javon Marks, another technical trader, sees bullish potential. He noted that XRP has broken out above a falling wedge pattern, a move that previously led to a 570% surge.
另一位技术交易员Javon Marks看到了看涨的潜力。他指出,XRP已经在下降的楔形模式上爆发,此举以前导致了570%的激增。
“Prices can be ready for another substantial surge.”
“价格可以为另一个大幅增长做好准备。”
Long-Term Targets Diverge as XRP Lawsuit Ends
随着XRP诉讼的结束,长期目标差异
Bitwise, a cryptocurrency index fund manager, has projected multiple long-term XRP scenarios using the capital asset pricing model. In its “max scenario,” XRP could reach $29.32 if it captures meaningful adoption in payments and asset tokenization. This would push the token’s market cap near $2.9 trillion, rivaling Microsoft’s.
加密货币指数基金经理Bitwise已使用资本资产定价模型预测了多个长期XRP方案。在其“最大场景”中,如果XRP捕获有意义的付款和资产令牌化,则可以达到29.32美元。这将使令牌的市值接近2.9万亿美元,与微软的竞争相媲美。
A more conservative “bull scenario” sees XRP reaching $12.70, assuming moderate network growth and low regulatory resistance. In contrast, the “bear case” projects a collapse to $0.13 if adoption stalls and institutional interest fades.
假设网络增长和监管阻力较低,则更保守的“牛场”将XRP达到12.70美元。相比之下,如果收养摊位和机构利益消失,则“熊案”预计将崩溃至0.13美元。
Ripple’s ongoing legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) appears to have concluded. The company abandoned its cross-appeal, and the SEC dropped its own. However, XRP failed to rally on the news, highlighting waning market excitement around litigation updates.
Ripple与美国证券交易委员会(SEC)进行的正在进行的法律斗争似乎已经得出结论。该公司放弃了交叉销售,SEC放弃了自己的。但是,XRP未能参加新闻,突出了诉讼更新周围的市场兴奋。
Bitwise also filed for an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the U.S. last Oct. Approval could renew investor interest, though no date has been confirmed.
去年10月,Bitwise还向美国申请了XRP交易所交易基金(ETF)。批准可能会更新投资者的利息,尽管尚未确认日期。
XRP Price Action Nears Crucial Pivot
XRP价格动作接近关键的枢轴
XRP continues to consolidate below its local high of $3.40. Time-based analysis suggests the window for breakout closes soon. Historical cycles hint at explosive upside, but the current technical structure paints a more cautious picture.
XRP继续将其本地高价低于3.40美元。基于时间的分析表明,很快就会关闭突破的窗口。历史周期暗示了爆炸性的上行空间,但是当前的技术结构描绘了一个更谨慎的画面。
Investors remain focused on the $1.90 support. If that fails, Brandt’s $1.07 target may play out. Conversely, holding above $2.50 could reignite bullish sentiment as timing models align.
投资者仍然专注于1.90美元的支持。如果失败了,勃兰特的$ 1.07目标可能会出现。相反,持有$ 2.50的售价可能会重新启动看涨的情绪,因为定时模型对齐。
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