XRP 价格分析：汇款代币会突破盘整范围吗？

自四天前跌至 2 美元低点以来，XRP 在图表上取得了可观的涨幅。事实上，山寨币首次攀升至 2.5 美元

After hitting a low of $2 four days ago, XRP has seen some gains on the price charts. Thanks to these gains, the altcoin hit $2.5 for the first time in 2 weeks. However, at press time, XRP still trades at a price of $2.45 with gains of almost 13% over the past week.

四天前触及 2 美元低点后，XRP 在价格图表上出现了一些上涨。由于这些涨幅，山寨币两周来首次触及 2.5 美元。然而，截至发稿时，XRP 的交易价格仍为 2.45 美元，过去一周涨幅近 13%。

Despite hitting $2.5, XRP is still struggling to break out of its consolidation range. These prevailing market conditions have left analysts talking about the altcoin’s next move.

尽管 XRP 触及 2.5 美元，但仍难以突破盘整区间。当前的市场状况让分析师开始谈论山寨币的下一步行动。

According to popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, for instance, a potential pullback to $2.05 or a rally to $11 may be next, with Ali citing the $2.73 resistance level.

例如，根据受欢迎的加密货币分析师阿里·马丁内斯 (Ali Martinez) 的说法，接下来可能会回调至 2.05 美元或反弹至 11 美元，阿里指出了 2.73 美元的阻力位。

Assessing the market sentiment

评估市场情绪

In his analysis, Martinez observed that XRP is still consolidating within the pennant of a massive bull pennant pattern on the charts.

在他的分析中，马丁内斯观察到，XRP 仍在图表上巨大的牛市三角旗模式的三角旗内盘整。

When this pattern forms, it often precedes the continuation of its previous trend. In this case, since XRP is still in a bullish pattern, the altcoin risks a pullback.

当这种形态形成时，它通常先于先前趋势的延续。在这种情况下，由于 XRP 仍处于看涨模式，因此山寨币有回调的风险。

What this means is that until the $2.73 resistance is broken, a pullback to $2.05 could occur before it starts another uptrend. Therefore, the price must first flip this level or the bullish trend will be invalidated.

这意味着，在突破 2.73 美元阻力位之前，可能会回调至 2.05 美元，然后再开始另一次上升趋势。因此，价格必须首先翻转该水平，否则看涨趋势将失效。

On the contrary, if the altcoin breaks above the $2.73-level, it can surge to a historical high of $11.

相反，如果山寨币突破 2.73 美元的水平，则可能飙升至 11 美元的历史高位。

What do XRP’s charts say?

XRP 的图表说明了什么？

The aforementioned analysis suggested that since XRP is still stuck in a consolidation range, its next move will validate a bullish trend or invalidate it. However, when AMBCrypto looked into it, we found that XRP still has room for upside on the charts.

上述分析表明，由于 XRP 仍处于盘整区间，其下一步走势将验证看涨趋势或使其无效。然而，当 AMBCrypto 进行研究时，我们发现 XRP 在图表上仍有上涨空间。

Especially since investors are still fairly bullish across the market.

特别是因为投资者对整个市场仍然相当看好。

For starters, XRP’s MVRV ratio rose over the past week to 4.66. While these levels are relatively high, it is yet to reach 7 which would mean overbought.

首先，XRP 的 MVRV 比率在过去一周上升至 4.66。虽然这些水平相对较高，但尚未达到 7，这意味着超买。

Historically, the altcoin’s MVRV has signaled the end of an uptrend when it reaches 6.5. For example, when XRP rallied to $2.8, its MVRV was 06.50. Also, the altcoin’s MVRV hit 15 when XRP’s price was $3.11 in 2018.

从历史上看，当山寨币的 MVRV 达到 6.5 时，就标志着上升趋势的结束。例如，当 XRP 反弹至 2.8 美元时，其 MVRV 为 06.50。此外，2018 年 XRP 价格为 3.11 美元时，山寨币的 MVRV 达到 15。

Simply put, the press time levels seemed to highlight a healthy market, with the price having some room for growth until the MVRV hits 7 at least.

简而言之，新闻时间水平似乎凸显了一个健康的市场，在 MVRV 至少达到 7 之前，价格还有一定的增长空间。

Finally, XRP’s investors have been bullish, as evidenced by a positive Bitmex basis ratio. When the basis ratio is positive, it means that there’s a high demand for long positions as investors are bullish and bet on the price to rise.

最后，XRP 的投资者一直看涨，Bitmex 基差比率为正就证明了这一点。当基差比率为正时，意味着对多头头寸的需求很高，因为投资者看涨并押注价格上涨。

While XRP has traded sideways over the last 2 weeks, the altcoin may be positioned for a breakout now. A breakout from this consolidation will see XRP hit $2.88. A move above this level will see the altcoin rally to a new ATH since there’s no significant resistance above. However, if this push by bulls fail, XRP will drop to $2.

尽管 XRP 在过去两周一直横盘整理，但该山寨币现在可能会出现突破。如果 XRP 突破此次盘整，将触及 2.88 美元。突破该水平将使山寨币反弹至新的 ATH，因为上方没有重大阻力。然而，如果多头的推动失败，XRP 将跌至 2 美元。