XRP 價格分析：匯款代幣會突破盤整範圍嗎？

自四天前跌至 2 美元低點以來，XRP 在圖表上取得了可觀的漲幅。事實上，山寨幣首次攀升至 2.5 美元

After hitting a low of $2 four days ago, XRP has seen some gains on the price charts. Thanks to these gains, the altcoin hit $2.5 for the first time in 2 weeks. However, at press time, XRP still trades at a price of $2.45 with gains of almost 13% over the past week.

四天前觸及 2 美元低點後，XRP 在價格圖表上出現了一些上漲。由於這些漲幅，山寨幣兩週來首次觸及 2.5 美元。然而，截至發稿時，XRP 的交易價格仍為 2.45 美元，過去一周漲幅近 13%。

Despite hitting $2.5, XRP is still struggling to break out of its consolidation range. These prevailing market conditions have left analysts talking about the altcoin’s next move.

儘管 XRP 觸及 2.5 美元，但仍難以突破盤整區間。目前的市場狀況讓分析師開始談論山寨幣的下一步行動。

According to popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, for instance, a potential pullback to $2.05 or a rally to $11 may be next, with Ali citing the $2.73 resistance level.

例如，根據受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師阿里馬丁內斯 (Ali Martinez) 的說法，接下來可能會回調至 2.05 美元或反彈至 11 美元，阿里指出了 2.73 美元的阻力位。

Assessing the market sentiment

評估市場情緒

In his analysis, Martinez observed that XRP is still consolidating within the pennant of a massive bull pennant pattern on the charts.

在他的分析中，馬丁內斯觀察到，XRP 仍在圖表上巨大的牛市三角旗模式的三角旗內盤整。

When this pattern forms, it often precedes the continuation of its previous trend. In this case, since XRP is still in a bullish pattern, the altcoin risks a pullback.

當這種形態形成時，它通常先於先前趨勢的延續。在這種情況下，由於 XRP 仍處於看漲模式，因此山寨幣有回檔的風險。

What this means is that until the $2.73 resistance is broken, a pullback to $2.05 could occur before it starts another uptrend. Therefore, the price must first flip this level or the bullish trend will be invalidated.

這意味著，在突破 2.73 美元阻力位之前，可能會回調至 2.05 美元，然後再開始另一次上升趨勢。因此，價格必須先翻轉該水平，否則看漲趨勢將失效。

On the contrary, if the altcoin breaks above the $2.73-level, it can surge to a historical high of $11.

相反，如果山寨幣突破 2.73 美元的水平，則可能飆升至 11 美元的歷史高點。

What do XRP’s charts say?

XRP 的圖表說明了什麼？

The aforementioned analysis suggested that since XRP is still stuck in a consolidation range, its next move will validate a bullish trend or invalidate it. However, when AMBCrypto looked into it, we found that XRP still has room for upside on the charts.

上述分析表明，由於 XRP 仍處於盤整區間，其下一步走勢將驗證看漲趨勢或使其無效。然而，當 AMBCrypto 進行研究時，我們發現 XRP 在圖表上仍有上漲空間。

Especially since investors are still fairly bullish across the market.

特別是因為投資人對整個市場仍然相當看好。

For starters, XRP’s MVRV ratio rose over the past week to 4.66. While these levels are relatively high, it is yet to reach 7 which would mean overbought.

首先，XRP 的 MVRV 比率在過去一周上升至 4.66。雖然這些水平相對較高，但尚未達到 7，這意味著超買。

Historically, the altcoin’s MVRV has signaled the end of an uptrend when it reaches 6.5. For example, when XRP rallied to $2.8, its MVRV was 06.50. Also, the altcoin’s MVRV hit 15 when XRP’s price was $3.11 in 2018.

從歷史上看，當山寨幣的 MVRV 達到 6.5 時，就標誌著上升趨勢的結束。例如，當 XRP 反彈至 2.8 美元時，其 MVRV 為 06.50。此外，2018 年 XRP 價格為 3.11 美元時，山寨幣的 MVRV 達到 15。

Simply put, the press time levels seemed to highlight a healthy market, with the price having some room for growth until the MVRV hits 7 at least.

簡而言之，新聞時間水準似乎凸顯了一個健康的市場，在 MVRV 至少達到 7 之前，價格還有一定的成長空間。

Finally, XRP’s investors have been bullish, as evidenced by a positive Bitmex basis ratio. When the basis ratio is positive, it means that there’s a high demand for long positions as investors are bullish and bet on the price to rise.

最後，XRP 的投資者一直看漲，Bitmex 基差比率為正就證明了這一點。當基差比率為正時，意味著對多頭部位的需求很高，因為投資者看漲並押注價格上漲。

While XRP has traded sideways over the last 2 weeks, the altcoin may be positioned for a breakout now. A breakout from this consolidation will see XRP hit $2.88. A move above this level will see the altcoin rally to a new ATH since there’s no significant resistance above. However, if this push by bulls fail, XRP will drop to $2.

儘管 XRP 在過去兩週一直橫盤整理，但該山寨幣現在可能會出現突破。如果 XRP 突破此次盤整，將觸及 2.88 美元。突破該水平將使山寨幣反彈至新的 ATH，因為上方沒有重大阻力。然而，如果多頭的推動失敗，XRP 將跌至 2 美元。