在特朗普效应和潜在 XRP ETF（交易所交易基金）推出的推动下，XRP 可能在下个月内超越以太坊（ETH）成为新的山寨币领导者

Messari 分析师 Sam Ruskin 表示，在特朗普效应和潜在的 XRP ETF（交易所交易基金）推出的推动下，XRP 可能会在下个月内取代以太坊（ETH）成为新的山寨币领导者。

XRP might overtake Ethereum (ETH) to become the new altcoin leader within the next month, driven by the Trump effect and a potential XRP ETF (exchange-traded fund) launch.

在特朗普效应和潜在的 XRP ETF（交易所交易基金）推出的推动下，XRP 可能会在下个月内取代以太坊（ETH）成为新的山寨币领导者。

According to Messari analyst Sam Ruskin, the crypto could soar by 35% to 50% in the month after Trump’s inauguration.

Messari 分析师 Sam Ruskin 表示，特朗普就职后的一个月内，加密货币可能会飙升 35% 至 50%。

Ruskin predicts that XRP could become the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization after Trump enters the White House, with ETH’s market cap currently standing at $415.3 billion compared to XRP’s $187.4 billion.

Ruskin 预测，特朗普入主白宫后，XRP 可能成为市值第二大的加密货币，目前 ETH 的市值为 4153 亿美元，而 XRP 的市值为 1874 亿美元。

Several metrics suggest that Ethereum is currently overvalued, with open interest for the largest altcoin by market cap at a historical peak, despite ETH’s price being more than 30% down from its all-time high.

多项指标表明，以太坊目前估值过高，尽管 ETH 的价格较历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，但市值最大的山寨币的未平仓合约仍处于历史峰值。

Ruskin highlights that this disconnect between ETH’s open interest and price suggests low on-chain demand for the crypto.

拉斯金强调，ETH 的未平仓合约和价格之间的这种脱节表明对加密货币的链上需求较低。

Meanwhile, XRP’s open interest “is much healthier” given the crypto’s open interest shows a strong correlation with XRP’s price, the analyst noted.

与此同时，分析师指出，鉴于加密货币的未平仓合约与 XRP 的价格存在很强的相关性，XRP 的未平仓合约“更加健康”。

Trump’s inauguration could be a “buying event” considering the “bullish momentum from recent macro signals,” Ruskin added.

拉斯金补充说，考虑到“近期宏观信号的看涨势头”，特朗普的就职典礼可能是一次“买入事件”。

The analyst speculated that leading crypto industry figures such as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse might attend the event, which could bring more attention to XRP and its price.

该分析师推测，Ripple 首席执行官 Brad Garlinghouse 等加密行业领军人物可能会参加此次活动，这可能会引起人们对 XRP 及其价格的更多关注。

After Trump enters the White House, Ruskin predicts that there will be a “Senior Investor Coin Rotation” into legacy cryptos such as XRP, Hedera (HBAR), Stellar (XLM) and Cardano (ADA), similar to what was seen shortly after Trump’s election victory was confirmed.

特朗普入主白宫后，拉斯金预测，“高级投资者代币轮换”将转向 XRP、Hedera (HBAR)、Stellar (XLM) 和 Cardano (ADA) 等传统加密货币，类似于特朗普入主白宫后不久所看到的情况。选举胜利已得到确认。

Other developments that could boost XRP’s price mentioned in the post include the possible launch of an XRP ETF and new capital gains tax policies.

帖子中提到的其他可能推高 XRP 价格的进展包括可能推出 XRP ETF 和新的资本利得税政策。