鲸鱼推动比特币 12 月上涨：比特币价格走向何方？

2024 年 12 月的比特币价格走势具有里程碑意义，吸引了交易员和行业分析师的观察。

Bitcoin price enjoyed a rollercoaster ride in the final stretch of 2024, with key milestones and observations noted by traders and industry analysts. As the crypto breached crucial resistance levels and attained a new ATH, market dynamics shifted with traders and large stakeholders reacting to the changing conditions.

比特币价格在 2024 年最后一段时间经历了过山车之旅，交易员和行业分析师注意到了重要的里程碑和观察结果。随着加密货币突破关键阻力位并达到新的最高水平，市场动态随着交易者和大型利益相关者对不断变化的条件做出反应而发生变化。

Data from blockchain analytics platform Santiment and an analysis by Crypto Patel highlighted the interplay between market sentiment and technical indicators during this period.

来自区块链分析平台 Santiment 的数据和 Crypto Patel 的分析强调了这一时期市场情绪和技术指标之间的相互作用。

Market Sentiment Shifts as Bitcoin Surges Past $100,000

随着比特币飙升至 10 万美元以上，市场情绪发生变化

According to Santiment, discussions about Bitcoin on platforms like X, Reddit, and Telegram soared, reflecting the crypto community’s expectations and concerns.

据 Santiment 称，X、Reddit 和 Telegram 等平台上有关比特币的讨论激增，反映了加密社区的期望和担忧。

In late November, many traders anticipated a retracement to $90,000 as Bitcoin struggled to maintain momentum. This sentiment followed a period of heightened activity linked to what some called the “Trump Pump.”

11 月下旬，由于比特币难以维持势头，许多交易员预计将回撤至 90,000 美元。这种情绪是在一段与一些人所谓的“特朗普泵”相关的活动加剧之后出现的。

However, to the surprise of many, Bitcoin price soared past $100k in early December. This surge triggered a wave of FOMO among retail traders. Moreover, the rally continued with Bitcoin reaching $108.3k by mid-December.

然而，令许多人惊讶的是，比特币价格在 12 月初飙升至 10 万美元以上。这一激增引发了零售交易者的一波“FOMO”浪潮。此外，比特币的涨势仍在继续，到 12 月中旬达到 10.83 万美元。

As speculations of a $110k target surged, many smaller traders viewed this as an opportunity to lock in profits. But Santiment's analysis suggests that retail traders' optimism often signals the possibility of market reversals, leaving larger investors to capitalize on these shifts.

随着 11 万美元目标的猜测激增，许多规模较小的交易者认为这是锁定利润的机会。但桑蒂门特的分析表明，散户交易者的乐观情绪往往预示着市场逆转的可能性，从而让大投资者可以利用这些转变。

The Role of Whales and Sharks in Bitcoin’s Movement

鲸鱼和鲨鱼在比特币运动中的作用

Santiment’s data highlighted the actions of Bitcoin holders with 10 or more coins — known as whales and sharks — who continued to accumulate throughout December. These larger market participants have a history of influencing price trends by strategically buying during market downturns and selling during peaks.

Santiment 的数据突显了拥有 10 个或更多比特币的比特币持有者（被称为鲸鱼和鲨鱼）的行为，他们在整个 12 月继续积累比特币。这些较大的市场参与者有着通过在市场低迷时期战略性买入并在市场高峰时期卖出来影响价格趋势的历史。

The report suggests aligning strategies with these key stakeholders or adopting a contrarian approach to retail sentiment for better outcomes. While retail traders often react to short-term market conditions, whales and sharks take a longer-term view, capitalizing on the volatility in crypto markets.

该报告建议与这些主要利益相关者协调战略，或者对零售情绪采取逆向方法，以获得更好的结果。虽然零售交易者通常会对短期市场状况做出反应，但鲸鱼和鲨鱼则采取更长远的眼光，利用加密货币市场的波动性。

Also Read: Can VeChain (VET) Price Spike to $1 During This Bull Run?

另请阅读：在这次牛市期间，唯链 (VET) 价格能否飙升至 1 美元？

Technical Analysis Points to Potential Corrections

技术分析指出潜在的修正

Crypto Patel's Elliott Wave analysis provided further context to Bitcoin's December performance. Patel identified a Wave 3 top at $107k, followed by a correction near $93k, aligning with a key Fibonacci retracement level. He also highlighted $97k as a critical support level. If this level holds, Bitcoin could resume its upward trajectory toward $103k and beyond.

Crypto Patel 的艾略特波浪分析为比特币 12 月的表现提供了进一步的背景。 Patel 确定第 3 波顶部为 107,000 美元，随后在 93,000 美元附近进行修正，与关键的斐波那契回撤位保持一致。他还强调 9.7 万美元是关键支撑位。如果这个水平保持不变，比特币可能会恢复其上涨轨迹，达到 10.3 万美元甚至更高。

However, a failure to maintain support at $97k might lead to a dip to $85k, potentially marking the end of a Wave 4 correction. Patel's analysis suggests this could set the stage for a new all-time high as the bull market continues.

然而，如果未能维持 97,000 美元的支撑位，可能会导致价格跌至 85,000 美元，这可能标志着第 4 波修正的结束。帕特尔的分析表明，随着牛市的继续，这可能会为历史新高奠定基础。

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