鯨魚推動比特幣 12 月上漲：比特幣價格何去何從？

2024 年 12 月的比特幣價格走勢具有里程碑意義，吸引了交易員和產業分析師的觀察。

Bitcoin price enjoyed a rollercoaster ride in the final stretch of 2024, with key milestones and observations noted by traders and industry analysts. As the crypto breached crucial resistance levels and attained a new ATH, market dynamics shifted with traders and large stakeholders reacting to the changing conditions.

比特幣價格在 2024 年最後一段時間經歷了過山車之旅，交易員和行業分析師注意到了重要的里程碑和觀察結果。隨著加密貨幣突破關鍵阻力位並達到新的最高水平，市場動態隨著交易者和大型利害關係人對不斷變化的條件做出反應而改變。

Data from blockchain analytics platform Santiment and an analysis by Crypto Patel highlighted the interplay between market sentiment and technical indicators during this period.

來自區塊鏈分析平台 Santiment 的數據和 Crypto Patel 的分析強調了這段時期市場情緒和技術指標之間的相互作用。

Market Sentiment Shifts as Bitcoin Surges Past $100,000

隨著比特幣飆升至 10 萬美元以上，市場情緒發生變化

According to Santiment, discussions about Bitcoin on platforms like X, Reddit, and Telegram soared, reflecting the crypto community’s expectations and concerns.

據 Santiment 稱，X、Reddit 和 Telegram 等平台上有關比特幣的討論激增，反映了加密社群的期望和擔憂。

In late November, many traders anticipated a retracement to $90,000 as Bitcoin struggled to maintain momentum. This sentiment followed a period of heightened activity linked to what some called the “Trump Pump.”

11 月下旬，由於比特幣難以維持勢頭，許多交易員預計將回撤至 9 萬美元。這種情緒是在一段與一些人所謂的「川普泵」相關的活動加劇之後出現的。

However, to the surprise of many, Bitcoin price soared past $100k in early December. This surge triggered a wave of FOMO among retail traders. Moreover, the rally continued with Bitcoin reaching $108.3k by mid-December.

然而，令許多人驚訝的是，比特幣價格在 12 月初飆升至 10 萬美元以上。這一激增引發了零售交易者的一波「FOMO」浪潮。此外，比特幣的漲勢仍在繼續，到 12 月中旬達到 10.83 萬美元。

As speculations of a $110k target surged, many smaller traders viewed this as an opportunity to lock in profits. But Santiment's analysis suggests that retail traders' optimism often signals the possibility of market reversals, leaving larger investors to capitalize on these shifts.

隨著對 11 萬美元目標的猜測激增，許多規模較小的交易者認為這是鎖定利潤的機會。但桑蒂門特的分析表明，散戶交易者的樂觀情緒往往預示著市場逆轉的可能性，讓大投資者可以利用這些轉變。

The Role of Whales and Sharks in Bitcoin’s Movement

鯨魚和鯊魚在比特幣運動中的作用

Santiment’s data highlighted the actions of Bitcoin holders with 10 or more coins — known as whales and sharks — who continued to accumulate throughout December. These larger market participants have a history of influencing price trends by strategically buying during market downturns and selling during peaks.

Santiment 的數據突顯了擁有 10 個或更多比特幣的比特幣持有者（被稱為鯨魚和鯊魚）的行為，他們在整個 12 月繼續累積比特幣。這些較大的市場參與者有著透過在市場低迷時期策略性買入並在市場高峰時期賣出來影響價格趨勢的歷史。

The report suggests aligning strategies with these key stakeholders or adopting a contrarian approach to retail sentiment for better outcomes. While retail traders often react to short-term market conditions, whales and sharks take a longer-term view, capitalizing on the volatility in crypto markets.

該報告建議與這些主要利害關係人協調策略，或對零售情緒採取逆向方法，以獲得更好的結果。雖然零售交易者通常會對短期市場狀況做出反應，但鯨魚和鯊魚則採取更長遠的眼光，利用加密貨幣市場的波動性。

Also Read: Can VeChain (VET) Price Spike to $1 During This Bull Run?

另請閱讀：唯鏈 (VET) 價格能否在本次牛市期間飆升至 1 美元？

Technical Analysis Points to Potential Corrections

技術分析指出潛在的修正

Crypto Patel's Elliott Wave analysis provided further context to Bitcoin's December performance. Patel identified a Wave 3 top at $107k, followed by a correction near $93k, aligning with a key Fibonacci retracement level. He also highlighted $97k as a critical support level. If this level holds, Bitcoin could resume its upward trajectory toward $103k and beyond.

Crypto Patel 的艾略特波浪分析為比特幣 12 月的表現提供了進一步的背景。 Patel 確定第 3 波頂部為 107,000 美元，隨後在 93,000 美元附近進行修正，與關鍵的斐波那契回撤位保持一致。他還強調 9.7 萬美元是關鍵支撐位。如果這個水準保持不變，比特幣可能會恢復其上漲軌跡，達到 10.3 萬美元甚至更高。

However, a failure to maintain support at $97k might lead to a dip to $85k, potentially marking the end of a Wave 4 correction. Patel's analysis suggests this could set the stage for a new all-time high as the bull market continues.

然而，如果未能維持 97,000 美元的支撐位，可能會導致價格跌至 85,000 美元，這可能標誌著第 4 波修正的結束。帕特爾的分析表明，隨著牛市的繼續，這可能會為歷史新高奠定基礎。

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