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对于包括加密货币在内的金融市场来说,周三可能是关键的一天,因为唐纳德·特朗普总统有望宣布宣布全面的相互关税
President Donald Trump is set to announce sweeping reciprocal tariffs on Wednesday, which could have a pivotal impact on financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.
总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)将于周三宣布全面的相互关税,这可能会对包括加密货币在内的金融市场产生关键影响。
The president’s announcement follows his recent complaints about the U.S. being "rapidly liberated" by its trading partners. In particular, Trump has focused on China, which he claims is engaging in unfair trade practices.
总统的宣布是在他最近的投诉中关于美国贸易伙伴“迅速解放”的投诉。特别是,特朗普专注于中国,他声称这正在从事不公平的贸易做法。
However, recent signs of downtrend exhaustion in the ether (ETH) market suggest that the crypto market may be less sensitive to the tariffs than some anticipate.
但是,最近在以太(ETH)市场中降低衰竭的迹象表明,加密货币市场对关税的敏感性可能不如某些人预期。
Indeed, ETH may even begin to outlag bitcoin (BTC) if the tariffs announced on Wednesday are more measured than expected.
确实,如果周三宣布的关税比预期的要高,ETH甚至可能开始超出比特币(BTC)。
Seller fatigue at March lows, potential double bottom
卖方疲劳在三月低点,潜在的双底
Ether has been lagging behind bitcoin by a large margin throughout the two-year bull crypto market cycle. But, with the impending threat of Trump tariffs and broader market risk aversion, even BTC sustained a 50% loss from December highs.
在整个为期两年的公牛加密市场周期中,Ether一直落后于比特币。但是,随着特朗普关税和更广泛的市场风险规避的威胁,即使是BTC也从12月高点开始损失了50%。
As a result of the selling pressure, bitcoin slid to lows of $3,800 last week, dragging ether down with it. However, the bears failed to break the 16-month low of $1,755 hit on March 11.
由于销售压力,比特币上周滑到了3,800美元的低点,并将其拖下来。但是,熊队未能在3月11日打破1,755美元的1,755美元低点。
This resilience is the first sign of seller fatigue or, more precisely, downtrend exhaustion.
这种弹性是卖方疲劳的第一个迹象,或者更确切地说是降低了衰竭。
From the lows of $1,755, prices recovered to $1,880 by Monday, testing the neckline of a potential double bottom. A breakout above the $2,104 resistance would confirm the bullish formation, paving the way for a rally towards $2,400. That level is the next resistance according to the measured move method from the 2018 lows.
从1,755美元的低点开始,到周一,价格恢复到了1,880美元,测试了潜在的双重底层的领口。超过$ 2,104的电阻的突破将确认看涨的形态,为集会铺平道路2,400美元。根据2018年低点的测量移动方法,该水平是下一个电阻。
The double bottom is a chart pattern that occurs when an asset trades to the same low on two separate occasions before reversing higher. It is a bullish pattern that signals that the sellers are becoming exhausted and that the buyers are returning.
双底部是一个图表模式,当资产在两次不同的情况下交易到相同的低点时,就会发生图表模式。这是一种看涨的模式,表明卖方正在筋疲力尽,买家正在返回。
In the case of ether, the first low was hit on March 11, and the second low was hit last week. The neckline of the double bottom is at $2,104, and the measured move from the 2018 lows places the next resistance at $2,400.
以Ether为例,第一个低点于3月11日被击中,第二个低点在上周受到打击。双底部的领口为$ 2,104,从2018年的低谷中衡量的移动将下一个阻力定为2,400美元。
A breakout above the $2,104 resistance would confirm the bullish double bottom pattern, which could open the door for a rally towards $2,400. However, a breakdown below the $1,755 support could negate the bullish signals and lead to further weakness in ether.
超过$ 2,104的电阻的突破将确认看涨的双重底部图案,这可能会打开涨势的大门,直达2,400美元。但是,低于$ 1,755的支持的细分可能会否定看涨信号,并导致以太的进一步弱点。
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