分析师说，削弱对比特币（BTC）价格的利益。

BTC过去几天一直在动荡，低至91,000美元，这在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）对加拿大，中国和墨西哥提议的贸易关税周围的地缘政治紧张局势加剧。

Bitcoin (BTC) price has been trading within a narrow range for the past few days, with support at $96,000 and resistance at $102,000. However, analysts are now suggesting that a weakening US dollar (USD) could provide a bullish catalyst for BTC.

过去几天，比特币（BTC）的价格一直在狭窄范围内，支持为96,000美元，电阻为102,000美元。但是，分析师现在暗示，美元疲软（美元）可以为BTC提供看涨的催化剂。

If the USD continues to weaken, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum for risk-on assets, including Bitcoin. Here's a closer look at the recent analysis and what it could mean for BTC's price trajectory.

如果美元继续减弱，它可能会引发包括比特币在内的风险资产的新势头。这是对最近的分析以及对BTC的价格轨迹的意义的仔细研究。

Weakening USD Poised to Boost Bitcoin Price

减弱的美元有望提高比特币价格

Bitcoin's price has experienced a remarkable surge in 2023, largely driven by institutional adoption, rising inflation, and geopolitical tensions. After hitting a record high of $120,000 in April, BTC's price encountered resistance and began to consolidate.

比特币的价格在2023年经历了巨大的涨幅，这在很大程度上是由机构采用，通货膨胀率上升和地缘政治紧张局势驱动的。在4月达到创纪录的12万美元之后，BTC的价格遇到了抵抗，并开始合并。

Recently, BTC's price dropped as low as $91,000 following news of US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico. However, a temporary halt on trade tariffs targeting Mexico and Canada helped to alleviate some selling pressure.

最近，在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）对加拿大，中国和墨西哥提议的贸易关税消息后，BTC的价格下跌了91,000美元。但是，针对墨西哥和加拿大的贸易关税暂时停止，有助于减轻一些销售压力。

As a result, Bitcoin's price recovered quickly, rebounding to $102,000 before consolidating in a tighter range between $97,000 and $99,000.

结果，比特币的价格迅速恢复，在更严格的范围内固结在97,000美元至99,000美元之间，从而回弹至102,000美元。

Despite this price consolidation, several analysts still anticipate further upside potential for risk-on assets. Bitcoin investor Lark Davis recently highlighted a crucial technical development that could be bullish for BTC.

尽管价格合并了，但几位分析师仍然预计风险资产的进一步上涨潜力。比特币投资者拉克·戴维斯（Lark Davis）最近强调了一个至关重要的技术发展，这对于BTC来说可能是看好的。

In an X post, Davis pointed out that the USD might be on the verge of a significant correction, which could bode well for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

戴维斯（Davis）在X帖子中指出，美元可能正处于重大纠正的边缘，这对于比特币和其他加密货币来说可能很好。

According to Davis, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is about to break below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has historically served as a strong support level. Davis highlighted the impact of a weaker dollar on risk assets, stating:

根据戴维斯的说法，美元指数（DXY）即将突破50天的指数移动平均水平（EMA），该指数均为50天的指数平均值（EMA），历史上一直是强大的支持水平。戴维斯（Davis）强调了较弱的美元对风险资产的影响，指出：

Dollar weakening is mega bullish for risk assets. While we just saw the biggest liquidation event in the history of crypto, Bitcoin has remained strong. If DXY continues to fall and with all bullish catalysts like the US SBR & nation-state Bitcoin FOMO, this could mark the next leg of the crypto bull market.

美元削弱是风险资产的巨型看涨。虽然我们刚刚看到加密货币历史上最大的清算活动，但比特币仍然很强大。如果DXY继续下降，并且随着美国SBR和民族国家比特币FOMO等所有看涨催化剂，这可能标志着加密牛市的下一个工作。

Fellow trader Bluntz shared a similar sentiment, suggesting that the DXY has likely “topped for the next 1-2 years,” reinforcing the idea that Bitcoin could benefit from the dollar's downward trajectory.

交易员布朗茨（Bluntz）也有类似的观点，表明DXY可能“在接下来的1 - 2年中都取得了成绩”，这加强了比特币可以从美元下降轨迹中受益的想法。

Meanwhile, data from market intelligence platform Santiment indicates that Bitcoin whales – entities holding large BTC balances – have been accumulating steadily throughout 2023 despite the recent market volatility.

同时，来自市场情报平台的数据表明，尽管最近市场波动率有最近，但在2023年，比特币鲸（拥有大BTC余额的实体）一直在稳步积累。

This contrasts with smaller traders, particularly those who entered the market in the past six months, who have been selling off their holdings. Historically, such accumulation by whales has preceded significant price rallies.

这与较小的贸易商，尤其是过去六个月进入市场的较小贸易商形成鲜明对比，他们一直在出售其股份。从历史上看，鲸鱼的这种积累之前已经进行了大量的价格集会。

However, Santiment noted that it could take weeks or even months before the effects of this trend become fully evident in Bitcoin's price action.

但是，Santames指出，在比特币的价格行动中，这种趋势的影响完全明显可能需要数周甚至几个月的时间。

Is Bitcoin Network Activity Signaling Lower Prices?

比特币网络活动信号降低了价格吗？

Despite the bullish outlook from several analysts, recent on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin network activity is at its lowest level in nearly a year, indicating potential waning interest or skepticism amid broader economic uncertainties.

尽管有几位分析师的看法，但最近的链上数据表明，比特币网络活动在将近一年的水平上处于最低水平，这表明在更广泛的经济不确定性中，潜在的兴趣或怀疑。

Moreover, crypto analyst cryptododo7 recently shared an analysis suggesting that BTC may need to fall as low as $76,000 before its next major leg up. At press time, BTC trades at $97,336, down 0.9% in the past 24 hours.

此外，加密分析师Cryptododo7最近分享了一项分析，表明BTC可能需要在下一个大型领域之前低至76,000美元。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为97,336美元，在过去24小时内下跌0.9％。