分析師說，削弱對比特幣（BTC）價格的利益。

BTC過去幾天一直在動盪，低至91,000美元，這在美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）對加拿大，中國和墨西哥提議的貿易關稅周圍的地緣政治緊張局勢加劇。

Bitcoin (BTC) price has been trading within a narrow range for the past few days, with support at $96,000 and resistance at $102,000. However, analysts are now suggesting that a weakening US dollar (USD) could provide a bullish catalyst for BTC.

在過去的幾天裡，比特幣（BTC）價格一直在狹窄範圍內，支持為96,000美元，電阻為102,000美元。但是，分析師現在暗示，美元疲軟（美元）可以為BTC提供看漲的催化劑。

If the USD continues to weaken, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum for risk-on assets, including Bitcoin. Here's a closer look at the recent analysis and what it could mean for BTC's price trajectory.

如果美元繼續減弱，它可能會引發包括比特幣在內的風險資產的新勢頭。這是對最近的分析以及對BTC的價格軌蹟的意義的仔細研究。

Weakening USD Poised to Boost Bitcoin Price

減弱的美元有望提高比特幣價格

Bitcoin's price has experienced a remarkable surge in 2023, largely driven by institutional adoption, rising inflation, and geopolitical tensions. After hitting a record high of $120,000 in April, BTC's price encountered resistance and began to consolidate.

比特幣的價格在2023年經歷了巨大的漲幅，這在很大程度上是由機構採用，通貨膨脹率上升和地緣政治緊張局勢驅動的。在4月達到創紀錄的12萬美元之後，BTC的價格遇到了抵抗，並開始合併。

Recently, BTC's price dropped as low as $91,000 following news of US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico. However, a temporary halt on trade tariffs targeting Mexico and Canada helped to alleviate some selling pressure.

最近，在美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）對加拿大，中國和墨西哥提議的貿易關稅消息後，BTC的價格下跌了91,000美元。但是，針對墨西哥和加拿大的貿易關稅暫時停止，有助於減輕一些銷售壓力。

As a result, Bitcoin's price recovered quickly, rebounding to $102,000 before consolidating in a tighter range between $97,000 and $99,000.

結果，比特幣的價格迅速恢復，在更嚴格的範圍內固結在97,000美元至99,000美元之間，從而回彈至102,000美元。

Despite this price consolidation, several analysts still anticipate further upside potential for risk-on assets. Bitcoin investor Lark Davis recently highlighted a crucial technical development that could be bullish for BTC.

儘管價格合併了，但幾位分析師仍然預計風險資產的進一步上漲潛力。比特幣投資者拉克·戴維斯（Lark Davis）最近強調了一個至關重要的技術發展，這對於BTC來說可能是看好的。

In an X post, Davis pointed out that the USD might be on the verge of a significant correction, which could bode well for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

戴維斯（Davis）在X帖子中指出，美元可能正處於重大糾正的邊緣，這對於比特幣和其他加密貨幣來說可能很好。

According to Davis, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is about to break below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has historically served as a strong support level. Davis highlighted the impact of a weaker dollar on risk assets, stating:

根據戴維斯的說法，美元指數（DXY）即將突破50天的指數移動平均水平（EMA），該指數均為50天的指數平均值（EMA），歷史上一直是強大的支持水平。戴維斯（Davis）強調了較弱的美元對風險資產的影響，指出：

Dollar weakening is mega bullish for risk assets. While we just saw the biggest liquidation event in the history of crypto, Bitcoin has remained strong. If DXY continues to fall and with all bullish catalysts like the US SBR & nation-state Bitcoin FOMO, this could mark the next leg of the crypto bull market.

美元削弱是風險資產的巨型看漲。雖然我們剛剛看到加密貨幣歷史上最大的清算活動，但比特幣仍然很強大。如果DXY繼續下降，並且隨著美國SBR和民族國家比特幣FOMO等所有看漲催化劑，這可能標誌著加密牛市的下一個工作。

Fellow trader Bluntz shared a similar sentiment, suggesting that the DXY has likely “topped for the next 1-2 years,” reinforcing the idea that Bitcoin could benefit from the dollar's downward trajectory.

交易員布朗茨（Bluntz）也有類似的觀點，表明DXY可能“在接下來的1 - 2年中都取得了成績”，這加強了比特幣可以從美元下降軌跡中受益的想法。

Meanwhile, data from market intelligence platform Santiment indicates that Bitcoin whales – entities holding large BTC balances – have been accumulating steadily throughout 2023 despite the recent market volatility.

同時，來自市場情報平台的數據表明，儘管最近市場波動率有最近，但在2023年，比特幣鯨（擁有大BTC餘額的實體）一直在穩步積累。

This contrasts with smaller traders, particularly those who entered the market in the past six months, who have been selling off their holdings. Historically, such accumulation by whales has preceded significant price rallies.

這與較小的貿易商，尤其是過去六個月進入市場的較小貿易商形成鮮明對比，他們一直在出售其股份。從歷史上看，鯨魚的這種積累之前已經進行了大量的價格集會。

However, Santiment noted that it could take weeks or even months before the effects of this trend become fully evident in Bitcoin's price action.

但是，Santames指出，在比特幣的價格行動中，這種趨勢的影響完全明顯可能需要數週甚至幾個月的時間。

Is Bitcoin Network Activity Signaling Lower Prices?

比特幣網絡活動信號降低了價格嗎？

Despite the bullish outlook from several analysts, recent on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin network activity is at its lowest level in nearly a year, indicating potential waning interest or skepticism amid broader economic uncertainties.

儘管有幾位分析師的看法，但最近的鏈上數據表明，比特幣網絡活動在將近一年的水平上處於最低水平，這表明在更廣泛的經濟不確定性中，潛在的興趣或懷疑。

Moreover, crypto analyst cryptododo7 recently shared an analysis suggesting that BTC may need to fall as low as $76,000 before its next major leg up. At press time, BTC trades at $97,336, down 0.9% in the past 24 hours.

此外，加密分析師Cryptododo7最近分享了一項分析，表明BTC可能需要在下一個大型領域之前低至76,000美元。發稿時，BTC的交易價格為97,336美元，在過去24小時內下跌0.9％。