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调查显示商业活动稳定,缓解了对即将到来的经济衰退的担忧,标准普尔 500 指数和蓝筹道琼斯指数在前一交易日收于历史新高
Wall Street's main indexes were set to open largely unchanged on Tuesday as investors awaited more cues on the Federal Reserve's next policy move, while commodity stocks got a boost after China unveiled its biggest stimulus since the pandemic.
由于投资者等待美联储下一步政策举措的更多线索,华尔街主要股指周二开盘基本持平,而在中国推出自大流行以来最大规模的刺激措施后,大宗商品股受到提振。
The S&P 500 and the blue-chip Dow closed at record highs in the previous session after a survey signaling steady business activity soothed concerns of an imminent recession, and as a number of policymakers supported further policy easing by the Fed.
标准普尔 500 指数和蓝筹道琼斯指数在前一交易日收于历史新高,此前一项调查显示商业活动稳定,缓解了人们对即将到来的经济衰退的担忧,并且许多政策制定者支持美联储进一步放松政策。
Yields on longer-dated Treasury bonds rose as traders priced in a greater likelihood of the economy achieving growth with low inflation and unemployment.
由于交易员认为经济在低通胀和失业率的情况下实现增长的可能性更大,长期国债收益率上升。
However, with the benchmark index's valuations high above long-term averages and clarity still lacking about the size of the Fed's next move, some investors stayed away from big bids.
然而,由于基准指数的估值高于长期平均水平,且美联储下一步行动规模仍缺乏明确性,一些投资者放弃了大举买入。
"Everybody is waiting for the next shoe to drop. We had a good rally last week on the Fed news, but we are still in this holding pattern," said Kim Forrest, chief investment officer at Bokeh Capital Partners in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡 Bokeh Capital Partners 首席投资官金·福雷斯特 (Kim Forrest) 表示:“每个人都在等待下一只鞋子落下。上周美联储消息推动我们出现了良好的反弹,但我们仍处于持有模式。”
"Between now and the time the Fed meets, we'll have a couple of jobs reports. They've told us unemployment now is the thing that's driving rate cut decisions. The soft landing is when unemployment doesn't start skyrocketing."
“从现在到美联储开会期间,我们将发布几份就业报告。他们告诉我们,现在的失业率是推动降息决定的因素。软着陆是指失业率不再开始飙升。”
At 8:35 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 35 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 1.5 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 15.25 points, or 0.08%.
截至美国东部时间上午 8:35,道指 E-mini 指数上涨 35 点,涨幅 0.08%,标准普尔 500 E-mini 指数上涨 1.5 点,涨幅 0.03%,纳斯达克 100 E-mini 指数上涨 15.25 点,涨幅 0.08%。
The Fed's decision to commence its policy easing cycle last week sparked a market rally that has propped up Wall Street's main indexes for monthly gains and set on track to defy the historical trend of losses on average in September.
美联储上周决定开始其政策宽松周期,引发市场反弹,支撑华尔街主要股指月度上涨,并有望打破 9 月份平均下跌的历史趋势。
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman's remarks are in focus on the day. She had voted for a 25 basis point rate reduction on signs of persistent price pressures, as opposed to the larger 50 bps rate cut the central bank delivered in the previous week.
美联储理事米歇尔·鲍曼的言论成为当天的焦点。由于价格压力持续存在的迹象,她投票支持降息 25 个基点,而不是上周央行大幅降息 50 个基点。
Traders are now pricing in the Fed's November decision to be a coin toss, with bets neither strongly favoring a 50 bps nor a 25 bps reduction, as per the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
根据 CME 集团的 FedWatch 工具,交易员目前将美联储 11 月的决定定价为抛硬币,既不强烈支持降息 50 个基点,也不强烈支持降息 25 个基点。
"The market is pricing in a 50-50 chance of 25 or 50 basis points (rate cut) at the next meeting. That seems a bit aggressive to me. I think it will be 25 (basis points),’’ Forrest added.
“市场预计下次会议上降息 25 或 50 个基点(降息)的可能性为 50-50。这对我来说似乎有点激进。我认为降息将是 25 个基点,”Forrest 补充道。
On the data front, a survey by the Conference Board, due at 10:00 a.m. ET, is expected to show consumer confidence improved in September from the previous month. Still, the main focus will be weekly jobless claims and personal consumption expenditure data, expected later in the week.
在数据方面,世界大型企业联合会将于美国东部时间上午 10:00 进行的一项调查预计将显示 9 月份消费者信心较上月有所改善。不过,主要焦点将是预计本周晚些时候公布的每周失业救济金申请和个人消费支出数据。
Among top premarket movers, U.S.-listed shares of Chinese firms such as Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) rose 5.4%, PDD Holdings (NYSE:PDD) added 4.6%, and Li Auto advanced 8% after the world's second-largest economy unveiled its biggest stimulus since the pandemic to pull the economy out of its deflationary funk.
在盘前涨幅最大的股票中,阿里巴巴 (NYSE:BABA) 等在美国上市的中国公司股价上涨 5.4%,PDD Holdings (NYSE:PDD) 上涨 4.6%,在全球第二大经济体公布其经济数据后,理想汽车 (Li Auto) 上涨 8%。这是自疫情大流行以来最大规模的刺激措施,旨在使经济摆脱通货紧缩的恐慌。
The upbeat mood also lifted copper and lithium miners. Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) added 4.8%, Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO) rose 4.5%, Albemarle (NYSE:ALB) advanced 4.3%, and Arcadium (NYSE:ALTM) climbed 2.8%.
乐观情绪也提振了铜矿和锂矿商。 Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) 上涨 4.8%,Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO) 上涨 4.5%,Albemarle (NYSE:ALB) 上涨 4.3%,Arcadium (NYSE:ALTM) 上涨 2.8%。
Oil companies Chevron (NYSE:CVX) added 1%, SLB (NYSE:SLB) rose 1.6%, and Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) gained 1.5%, tracking a 2% jump in crude prices.
石油公司雪佛龙 (NYSE:CVX) 上涨 1%,SLB (NYSE:SLB) 上涨 1.6%,西方石油公司 (NYSE:OXY) 上涨 1.5%,跟随原油价格上涨 2%。
Visa (NYSE:V) lost 2.1% after a report showed the U.S. Department of Justice plans to file a lawsuit against the payments network operator, alleging that it illegally monopolized the country's debit card market.
Visa (NYSE:V) 下跌 2.1%,此前有报道显示美国司法部计划对这家支付网络运营商提起诉讼,指控其非法垄断该国借记卡市场。
Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) rose 1.9% after Piper Sandler upgraded the software company to "overweight" from "neutral".
Piper Sandler 将软件公司 Salesforce 从“中性”上调至“增持”后,该公司股价上涨 1.9%。
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