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尽管宣布二元列表的宣布最近引起了价格上涨,但链上的数据表明,虚拟协议(虚拟)面临着重大挑战。
Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) saw a 15% surge following Binance’s listing announcement, briefly reigniting bullish sentiment around the AI-linked token. However, the rally may be masking deeper concerns about the project’s fundamentals and long-term viability.
在Binance的上市公告之后,Virtuals协议(Virtuals)的涌入15%,在AI链接的令牌周围简要重新点燃了看涨情绪。但是,集会可能是掩盖了对项目基本面和长期生存能力的更深层关注。
On-chain data reveals weak user activity and declining protocol engagement, raising questions about the sustainability of the recent price move.
链上的数据揭示了用户活动疲软和协议参与度的下降,从而提出了有关最近价格转移的可持续性的问题。
Despite the recent price surge fueled by the announcement of a Binance listing, on-chain data suggests that Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) is facing significant challenges in terms of user adoption and protocol activity.
尽管宣布二元列表的宣布最近促进了价格上涨,但链上的数据表明,虚拟协议(虚拟)在用户采用和协议活动方面面临着重大挑战。
While market sentiment briefly turned bullish, the underlying metrics point to weakening fundamentals, casting doubt on the rally’s sustainability.
尽管市场情绪短暂地看涨,但基本指标表明基本面削弱了,对集会的可持续性产生了怀疑。
Data from April 10 shows that daily revenue for VIRTUAL crypto AI agents amounted to just $7,677, while the protocol itself generated only $137 on the same day—an underwhelming figure for a platform once valued at almost $5 billion in market cap.
4月10日的数据表明,虚拟加密AI代理商的每日收入仅为7,677美元,而该协议本身在同一天仅产生了137美元,这是一个曾经价值近50亿美元市值的平台的巨大数字。
This financial stagnation has not gone unnoticed. Grayscale recently removed Virtuals Protocol from its Q2 2025 “Assets Under Consideration” list, signaling a decline in institutional confidence.
这种财务停滞并未引起注意。 Grayscale最近将Virtuals协议从其Q2 2025“正在考虑的资产”列表中删除,这表明机构信心的下降。
Furthermore, on-chain analysis reveals a sharp drop in activity. Since March 16, the number of new tokens launched on the protocol has fallen dramatically to just 1 to 4 per day.
此外,链分析表明活性急剧下降。自3月16日以来,该协议上推出的新代币数量急剧下降到每天仅1到4个。
This marks a steep decline from VIRTUAL’s all-time high of 1,350 agent launches in a single day on November 30, 2024.
这标志着Virtual在2024年11月30日的一天中发射的1,350代理商的历史最高点的急剧下降。
The slowdown in token generation reflects waning interest from developers and users alike, despite the recent price-driven hype.
令牌一代的放缓反映了开发商和用户的兴趣减弱,尽管最近有价格驱动的炒作。
Altogether, these trends suggest that the current momentum around VIRTUAL may be driven more by the Binance listing news than by any real resurgence in platform usage or innovation.
总的来说,这些趋势表明,与平台使用或创新中的任何真正复兴相比,二元新闻的当前动力可能更多地由二元上市新闻驱动。
Without meaningful improvements in on-chain engagement and protocol revenue, the surge risks being short-lived—potentially setting the stage for a correction once the listing excitement fades.
没有有意义的改善链接互动和协议收入,浪涌风险是短暂的,一旦上市兴奋消失,就可以为更正奠定基础。
Momentum Builds, But Key Indicators Show Caution for VIRTUAL
动量构建,但关键指标显示虚拟的谨慎
VIRTUAL’s RSI has jumped to 64.85 from 40.55 in just 24 hours, signaling a strong uptick in buying momentum after the Binance listing news.
Virtual的RSI在短短24小时内从40.55跃升至64.85,这表明在Binance上市新闻后,购买势头的强劲增长。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator ranging from 0 to 100. Readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions, while below 30 indicates oversold territory.
相对强度指数(RSI)是一个从0到100的势头指标。读数高于70,表明条件过高,而低于30的读数表示超卖区域。
With VIRTUAL’s RSI nearing 70—but not crossing it—it shows growing strength, though it hasn’t reached overbought levels since March 24, hinting at limited follow-through behind the recent surge.
随着Virtual的RSI接近70,但没有越过它 - 它显示出越来越大的力量,尽管自3月24日以来,它没有达到过高的水平,这暗示了最近激增的后续行动有限。
The Ichimoku Cloud for VIRTUAL shows a short-term breakout attempt, but underlying resistance remains strong.
虚拟的Ichimoku云显示出短期的突破尝试,但潜在的抵抗仍然很强。
The price has just pierced into the red cloud, indicating an early test of a bearish zone that often acts as overhead resistance.
价格刚刚刺入了红云,表明对看跌区的早期测试通常是高架阻力。
The Leading Span A (green cloud boundary) is still below the Leading Span B (red boundary), confirming the cloud is bearish overall.
领先的跨度A(绿色云边界)仍低于领先的跨度B(红色边界),证实云是看跌的。
However, the upward move that pushed price into the cloud hints at potential trend reversal attempts if momentum continues.
但是,将价格推向云中的上升提示,即如果势头继续进行,潜在的趋势逆转尝试就会逆转尝试。
The Tenkan-sen (blue line) has crossed above the Kijun-sen (red line), a short-term bullish signal. But with price still within the cloud and not clearly above it, confirmation of a full trend reversal is lacking.
Tenkan-sen(蓝线)已在短期看涨信号的Kijun-sen(红线)上方越过。但是,由于价格仍在云中,并且在其上不清楚,因此缺乏完全趋势逆转的确认。
Will VIRTUAL Price Rally Continue?
虚拟价格集会会继续吗?
Binance founder CZ recently stated that only 0.05% of AI agents truly need tokens, a comment that casts doubt on the long-term utility of many AI-linked projects—including VIRTUAL.
Binance创始人CZ最近表示,只有0.05%的AI代理真正需要令牌,这一评论对许多AI链接项目的长期实用性(包括Virtual)表示怀疑。
Technically, VIRTUAL’s EMA lines still reflect bearish momentum, with short-term averages sitting below the longer-term ones.
从技术上讲,Virtual的EMA线仍然反映了看跌的动力,短期平均值位于长期的平均值。
If bullish sentiment holds, however, the token could test resistance at $0.619.
但是,如果看涨的情绪成立,代币可能以0.619美元的价格测试阻力。
A breakout from that level may open the door for moves toward $0.747, and in the case of strong follow-through, even a rise to $0.84.
从该级别的突破可能会为驶向0.747美元的搬迁而打开大门,并且在强劲的后续行动中,甚至上涨至0.84美元。
If the recent rally falters, VIRTUAL price risks falling to its immediate support near $0.516.
如果最近的集会步履蹒跚,那么虚拟价格的风险降至其即时支撑,接近0.516美元。
Losing that level could accelerate downside pressure, potentially dragging the price down to $0.411—a level that would signal a clear rejection of the current uptrend attempt.
失去该水平可能会加速下行压力,可能将价格降低到0.411美元,这一水平将明确拒绝当前的上升趋势尝试。
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