Vaneck揭露了估计战略比特币储备对美国债务的潜在影响

2025年2月21日，投资管理公司Vaneck发布了一种工具，旨在估算战略比特币的潜在影响

VanEck's research provides insights into the potential role of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in alleviating U.S. debt. Here are some key points:

Vaneck的研究提供了有关战略比特币储备在减轻美国债务中潜在作用的见解。这是一些要点：

- The research assumes that the U.S. Treasury will acquire one million bitcoins over five years and hold them for two decades.

- 研究假设美国财政部将在五年内收购一百万个比特币，并将其保留二十年。

- During this period, the bitcoins held by the treasury could only be utilized to offset the national debt, as per the proposed legislation.

- 根据拟议的立法，在此期间，财政部持有的比特币只能被用来抵消国债。

- VanEck's findings from December 2024 indicate that the U.S. is projected to compile one million bitcoins by 2049.

- Vaneck从2024年12月开始的发现表明，预计美国将在2049年汇编一百万个比特币。

- The estimated total value of these bitcoins would reach $21 trillion, which could help reduce approximately 18% of the national debt, anticipated to be around $116 trillion by 2029, as per VanEck's analysis.

- 根据Vaneck的分析，这些比特币的估计总价值将达到21万亿美元，这可能有助于减少国民债务的约18％，预计到2029年约为116万亿美元。

- These estimates are contingent on specific average compound growth rates of U.S. debt and Bitcoin prices.

- 这些估计值取决于美国债务和比特币价格的特定平均复合增长率。

- VanEck’s researchers predict that the national debt will increase by 5% annually, rising from the current valuation of $36 trillion to $116 trillion by 2049.

- Vaneck的研究人员预测，国家债务每年将增加5％，从目前的36万亿美元估值到2049年的116万亿美元。

- VanEck also forecasts that Bitcoin’s value will grow on average by 25% annually, escalating from nearly $100,000 to $21 billion per coin by 2049 when federal restrictions on selling Bitcoin are lifted.

- Vaneck还预测，比特币的价值平均每年增长25％，到2049年，当联邦销售比特币限制时，比特币的价值将从近100,000美元升级到每枚硬币的210亿美元。

- The government might acquire more than one million bitcoins, potentially obtaining extras through seizures, donations, and other avenues.

- 政府可能会收购超过一百万个比特币，可能通过癫痫发作，捐赠和其他途径获得额外的比特币。

- Overall, VanEck's research suggests that the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is unlikely to completely resolve U.S. debt issues in the immediate future, aligning with Lummis’s statement from July 2024, where she emphasized debt reduction rather than complete eradication.

- 总体而言，Vaneck的研究表明，战略性比特币储备在不久的将来不太可能完全解决美国的债务问题，这与Lummis从2024年7月起的声明保持一致，她强调降低债务而不是完全消除。

- To fully eliminate the national debt (assuming the growth rates hold true), the government would need to secure over five million bitcoins.

- 为了充分消除国家债务（假设增长率成立），政府将需要确保超过500万比特币。