Vaneck揭露了估計戰略比特幣儲備對美國債務的潛在影響

2025年2月21日，投資管理公司Vaneck發布了一種工具，旨在估算戰略比特幣的潛在影響

VanEck's research provides insights into the potential role of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in alleviating U.S. debt. Here are some key points:

Vaneck的研究提供了有關戰略比特幣儲備在減輕美國債務中潛在作用的見解。這是一些要點：

- The research assumes that the U.S. Treasury will acquire one million bitcoins over five years and hold them for two decades.

- 研究假設美國財政部將在五年內收購一百萬個比特幣，並將其保留二十年。

- During this period, the bitcoins held by the treasury could only be utilized to offset the national debt, as per the proposed legislation.

- 根據擬議的立法，在此期間，財政部持有的比特幣只能被用來抵消國債。

- VanEck's findings from December 2024 indicate that the U.S. is projected to compile one million bitcoins by 2049.

- Vaneck從2024年12月開始的發現表明，預計美國將在2049年彙編一百萬個比特幣。

- The estimated total value of these bitcoins would reach $21 trillion, which could help reduce approximately 18% of the national debt, anticipated to be around $116 trillion by 2029, as per VanEck's analysis.

- 根據Vaneck的分析，這些比特幣的估計總價值將達到21萬億美元，這可能有助於減少國民債務的約18％，預計到2029年約為116萬億美元。

- These estimates are contingent on specific average compound growth rates of U.S. debt and Bitcoin prices.

- 這些估計值取決於美國債務和比特幣價格的特定平均複合增長率。

- VanEck’s researchers predict that the national debt will increase by 5% annually, rising from the current valuation of $36 trillion to $116 trillion by 2049.

- Vaneck的研究人員預測，國家債務每年將增加5％，從目前的36萬億美元估值到2049年的116萬億美元。

- VanEck also forecasts that Bitcoin’s value will grow on average by 25% annually, escalating from nearly $100,000 to $21 billion per coin by 2049 when federal restrictions on selling Bitcoin are lifted.

- Vaneck還預測，比特幣的價值平均每年增長25％，到2049年，當聯邦銷售比特幣限制時，比特幣的價值將從近100,000美元升級到每枚硬幣的210億美元。

- The government might acquire more than one million bitcoins, potentially obtaining extras through seizures, donations, and other avenues.

- 政府可能會收購超過一百萬個比特幣，可能通過癲癇發作，捐贈和其他途徑獲得額外的比特幣。

- Overall, VanEck's research suggests that the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is unlikely to completely resolve U.S. debt issues in the immediate future, aligning with Lummis’s statement from July 2024, where she emphasized debt reduction rather than complete eradication.

- 總體而言，Vaneck的研究表明，戰略性比特幣儲備在不久的將來不太可能完全解決美國的債務問題，這與Lummis從2024年7月起的聲明保持一致，她強調降低債務而不是完全消除。

- To fully eliminate the national debt (assuming the growth rates hold true), the government would need to secure over five million bitcoins.

- 為了充分消除國家債務（假設增長率成立），政府將需要確保超過500萬比特幣。