VanEck 预测，通过采用比特币作为战略储备，到 2050 年美国可以将其国债减少 36%

这一想法与参议员 Cynthia Lummis 的比特币法案一致，该法案建议美国在五年内积累 100 万个比特币

Asset management giant VanEck has proposed an intriguing plan to help reduce the United States' national debt. According to VanEck, adopting Bitcoin as a strategic reserve could significantly lower the debt by 2050. This idea aligns with Senator Cynthia Lummis's Bitcoin bill, which proposes that the U.S. government accumulate 1 million Bitcoins within five years to ease the financial burden on future generations.

资产管理巨头 VanEck 提出了一项有趣的计划，以帮助减少美国的国债。 VanEck 表示，采用比特币作为战略储备可以在 2050 年之前显着降低债务。这一想法与参议员 Cynthia Lummis 的比特币法案一致，该法案建议美国政府在五年内积累 100 万比特币，以减轻子孙后代的经济负担。

VanEck's analysis suggests that if the U.S. debt continues to grow at an annual rate of 5%, and Bitcoin appreciates at an annual rate of 25%, then by 2049, Bitcoin investments could reduce U.S. national debt by a staggering $42 trillion. At that point, Bitcoin's value could reach $42 million per coin, making it a major player in the global financial system.

VanEck 的分析表明，如果美国债务继续以每年 5% 的速度增长，而比特币以每年 25% 的速度升值，那么到 2049 年，比特币投资可能会减少美国国债高达 42 万亿美元。届时，比特币的价值可能达到每枚 4200 万美元，使其成为全球金融体系的主要参与者。

The firm also forecasts that Bitcoin could represent 18% of the world's total financial assets by 2049, assuming global assets grow from $900 trillion to nearly $3,000 trillion over the next 25 years. This could position Bitcoin as a central asset in the global economy.

该公司还预测，假设全球资产在未来 25 年内从 900 万亿美元增长到近 3000 万亿美元，到 2049 年，比特币可能占全球金融资产总额的 18%。这可能会将比特币定位为全球经济的核心资产。

Mathew Sigel, VanEck's head of research, believes that Bitcoin could transform global finance. He envisions Bitcoin becoming a key settlement currency for international trade, offering countries an alternative to the U.S. dollar, especially for nations under U.S. sanctions.

VanEck 研究主管马修·西格尔 (Mathew Sigel) 认为，比特币可以改变全球金融。他预计比特币将成为国际贸易的主要结算货币，为各国提供美元的替代品，特别是对于受到美国制裁的国家。

To help kickstart the plan, VanEck suggests several policy changes, including halting the sale of Bitcoin from U.S. asset forfeiture reserves and using the U.S. Exchange Stabilization Fund to begin purchasing Bitcoin. They also recommend revaluing gold certificates to current market prices, which could boost the reserve.

为了帮助启动该计划，VanEck 建议进行几项政策调整，包括停止从美国资产没收储备中出售比特币，以及使用美国外汇稳定基金开始购买比特币。他们还建议将黄金证书重新估价到当前的市场价格，这可能会增加储备。

While the proposal has garnered attention, some experts are skeptical. Venture capitalist Nic Carter questioned whether such a reserve would truly benefit the U.S. dollar, while economist Peter Schiff proposed an alternative idea: the creation of a new U.S. digital currency, USAcoin, capped at 21 million coins.

尽管该提案引起了关注，但一些专家对此表示怀疑。风险投资家 Nic Carter 质疑这样的储备是否真正有利于美元，而经济学家 Peter Schiff 则提出了另一种想法：创建一种新的美国数字货币 USAcoin，上限为 2100 万枚。