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在积极购买 $USUAL 代币后,预计 2025 年 1 月 7 日后价格将大幅下跌至 0.80 美元。
The price of the $USUAL token is expected to rise sharply until January 7, 2025, driven by strong demand and a limited supply of the token in the market. However, after this date, the token price is predicted to drop significantly, potentially reaching $0.80 or lower.
在市场强劲需求和有限代币供应的推动下,$USUAL 代币的价格预计将大幅上涨,直至 2025 年 1 月 7 日。然而,在此日期之后,代币价格预计将大幅下跌,可能达到 0.80 美元或更低。
This drastic price decline is mainly attributed to the following factors:
价格大幅下跌主要归因于以下因素:
1. High token supply on the market:
1. 市场上代币供应量高:
The project team's daily sales of 2.7 million tokens put constant pressure on the market, increasing the total supply. This makes it harder for the price to rise steadily. If demand doesn't outpace this supply, the price will inevitably drop.
项目团队每日销售270万枚代币,对市场持续施压,供应总量不断增加。这使得价格稳定上涨变得更加困难。如果需求不超过供应,价格将不可避免地下降。
2. Speculative nature of the growth before January 7, 2025:
2. 2025年1月7日之前增长的投机性质:
Most buyers in this period are buying the token because they expect an upcoming event to be good for the project (e.g., news, a partnership, or an exchange listing). Usually, once the event is over, speculative interest goes down, which reduces demand for the token.
这一时期的大多数买家购买代币是因为他们期望即将发生的事件对项目有利(例如新闻、合作伙伴关系或交易所上市)。通常,一旦活动结束,投机兴趣就会下降,从而减少对代币的需求。
3. Decrease in demand after the speculative wave subsides:
3、投机浪潮消退后需求减少:
During the active buying phase before January 7, the main buyers are speculators, not long-term investors. When the price starts going down, speculators sell their assets, which makes the price drop even faster.
在1月7日之前的活跃买盘阶段,主要买家是投机者,而不是长期投资者。当价格开始下跌时,投机者会出售资产,这使得价格下跌得更快。
4. Psychological pressure:
4、心理压力:
Key support levels, like $1.00, are very important psychologically for market participants. If these levels are broken, many traders will activate their stop-loss orders, which will speed up the price decrease.
1.00 美元等关键支撑位对于市场参与者来说在心理上非常重要。如果这些水平被突破,许多交易者将激活止损单,这将加速价格下跌。
5. Overemphasis on short-term project goals:
5. 过分强调短期项目目标:
If the project team only focuses on raising capital through token sales and doesn't show a long-term development strategy, it can make investors lose confidence in the project.
如果项目团队只专注于通过代币销售筹集资金,而没有展现长期发展战略,可能会让投资者对项目失去信心。
Predicted Dynamics:
预测动态:
Until January 7, 2025: Active price growth driven by speculative demand.
直到 2025 年 1 月 7 日:投机需求推动价格活跃增长。
After January 7, 2025: Massive capital outflow due to decreased interest in the token and sell pressure from the team.
2025 年 1 月 7 日之后:由于代币兴趣下降和团队抛售压力,大量资本外流。
This will likely result in the price dropping to $0.80 or lower unless the team changes its sales policy or generates consistent interest in the token by providing real value to its holders.
这可能会导致价格跌至 0.80 美元或更低,除非团队改变其销售政策或通过向其持有者提供实际价值来产生对代币的持续兴趣。
Recommendation:
推荐:
Investors should be careful, think about the long-term potential of the USUAL token, and take into account the high risk of losing capital after January 7, 2025.
投资者应谨慎行事,考虑USUAL代币的长期潜力,并考虑到2025年1月7日之后损失资金的高风险。
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