揭秘比特币九月份的下滑：综合分析

随着日历翻到九月，比特币爱好者们感受到了空气中的寒意，不是来自秋风，而是来自加密货币的摇摇欲坠。

Bitcoin began September on a downturn, sparking concerns among enthusiasts. Despite closing August around $57,000, the cryptocurrency failed to gain buying pressure, leaving traders to wonder if another "Rektember" is on the horizon. Here's a closer look at the key factors impacting Bitcoin's September journey.

比特币九月伊始就陷入低迷，引发了比特币爱好者的担忧。尽管 8 月份收盘价约为 57,000 美元，但该加密货币未能获得购买压力，让交易者怀疑另一个“Rektember”是否即将出现。以下是影响比特币九月走势的关键因素的详细分析。

Bitcoin's failure to gain momentum and break away from bearish tendencies has left the community speculating on the next move. According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, low buying pressure failed to counter persistent sell-side momentum.

比特币未能获得动力并摆脱看跌趋势，这让社区对下一步走势进行猜测。根据 Cointelegraph Markets Pro 和 TradingView 的数据，低买压未能抵消持续的卖方势头。

Any potential recovery for Bitcoin hinges on strong buyer interest. Recent observations have noted a consistent buyer around the $58K mark, providing a possible point of interest for an upward trend. However, we need to see evidence of sustained demand, especially given the minimal derivatives market interest and negative funding rates.

比特币的任何潜在复苏都取决于买家的强烈兴趣。最近的观察表明，在 58,000 美元大关附近有持续的买家，这为上涨趋势提供了可能的兴趣点。然而，我们需要看到持续需求的证据，特别是考虑到衍生品市场利率最低和负融资利率。

The Labor Day week usually brings a slowdown in U.S. markets. However, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision pending on September 18, macroeconomic indicators are in the spotlight, especially the U.S. unemployment figures. Shifts in rate expectations and job data could significantly impact Bitcoin's trajectory.

劳动节周通常会导致美国市场放缓。然而，随着美联储将于9月18日公布利率决定，宏观经济指标备受关注，尤其是美国失业数据。利率预期和就业数据的变化可能会对比特币的走势产生重大影响。

Historically, September has not been kind to Bitcoin, often closing in the red. This year seems to be following a similar trend, with early indicators suggesting a continuing downtrend. However, it's essential to maintain a long-term perspective. Bitcoin's post-halving cycles and historical performance suggest potential breakouts, hinting that October could bring a much-needed upswing.

从历史上看，9月份对比特币来说并不好，经常以亏损收盘。今年似乎也遵循了类似的趋势，早期指标显示持续下降趋势。然而，保持长远的眼光至关重要。比特币减半后的周期和历史表现表明潜在的突破，暗示十月可能会带来急需的上涨。

The Puell Multiple provides an assessment of the profitability of Bitcoin mining relative to historical averages, serving as a bellwether for market cycles. Currently positioned between the buy and sell zones, the metric suggests a cautious approach. Potential entry points may emerge as the Multiple approaches its critical historical "buy" zone.

普埃尔倍数提供了比特币挖矿相对于历史平均水平的盈利能力评估，作为市场周期的风向标。该指标目前位于买入和卖出区域之间，表明采取谨慎态度。当多重指数接近其关键的历史“买入”区域时，潜在的切入点可能会出现。

Despite the pessimistic outset, deep learning models offer a different narrative. Predictions from CryptoQuant's WaveNet model suggest a possible price increase for Bitcoin in September, countering the traditional "Rektember" narrative. Such forecasts, derived from historical and current data analysis, provide a glimmer of hope for those seeking signs of recovery.

尽管一开始很悲观，但深度学习模型提供了不同的叙述。 CryptoQuant 的 WaveNet 模型的预测表明，9 月份比特币价格可能会上涨，这与传统的“Rektember”说法相反。这些基于历史和当前数据分析得出的预测为那些寻求复苏迹象的人带来了一线希望。