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候选人唐纳德·特朗普和卡马拉·哈里斯之间的竞争正在升温。目前,Polymarket 的流行趋势表明特朗普很可能获胜
As the U.S presidential election draws near, the competition between candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is intensifying. According to prevailing trends on Polymarket, Trump is likely to win the 2024 elections. However, the election is still too close to call.
随着美国总统大选的临近,候选人唐纳德·特朗普和卡马拉·哈里斯之间的竞争愈演愈烈。根据 Polymarket 的流行趋势,特朗普很可能赢得 2024 年大选。然而,选举结果仍难分胜负。
PoliFi tokens show resilience
PoliFi 代币展现出韧性
Lately, Donald Trump-themed Political Finance (PoliFi) tokens have shown resilience, defying the low volatility that Bitcoin [BTC] and the broader cryptocurrency market have been experiencing. This surge in interest is a sign of the growing optimism surrounding Trump’s electoral prospects, which climbed to a two-month high on Polymarket.
最近,以唐纳德·特朗普为主题的政治金融(PoliFi)代币表现出了韧性,无视比特币 [BTC] 和更广泛的加密货币市场所经历的低波动性。这种兴趣激增表明人们对特朗普的选举前景越来越乐观,Polymarket 的选举前景攀升至两个月高点。
On 10 October, BTC slid by over 4%. The following day, it rebounded and stabilized above $60,000.
10 月 10 日,BTC 下跌超过 4%。次日反弹并稳定在6万美元上方。
Many suggest that the surge in inflation pressure in September contributed to this downturn. Major cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum [ETH] and Dogecoin [DOGE] saw large declines too, plunging by as much as 6%.
许多人认为,9 月份通胀压力的飙升是造成此次经济低迷的原因之一。以太坊 [ETH] 和狗狗币 [DOGE] 等主要加密货币也出现大幅下跌,跌幅高达 6%。
Trump-themed memecoins soared high
特朗普主题的模因币飙升
On the contrary, Trump-themed tokens, including MAGA [TRUMP], MAGA HAT [MAGA], and Doland Tremp [TREMP], showcased remarkable resilience – Each soaring by double digits this week.
相反,特朗普主题的代币,包括 MAGA [TRUMP]、MAGA HAT [MAGA] 和 Doland Tremp [TREMP],都表现出了非凡的韧性——本周每个代币都飙升了两位数。
Notably, MAGA, the largest of these tokens, surged by 55% over the week, surpassing a market cap of $200 million. MAGA HAT and TREMP recorded impressive gains of 102% and 93%, respectively, too.
值得注意的是,其中最大的代币 MAGA 本周飙升 55%,市值超过 2 亿美元。 MAGA HAT 和 TREMP 也分别取得了 102% 和 93% 的惊人涨幅。
By 11 October, the broader cryptocurrency market showed some signs of recovery though, according to CoinMarketCap. BTC gained by 0.30% at press time, while ETH and DOGE hiked by 1.24% and 2.07%, respectively, on the 24-hour charts.
据 CoinMarketCap 称,到 10 月 11 日,更广泛的加密货币市场显示出一些复苏的迹象。截至发稿,24 小时图上 BTC 上涨 0.30%,ETH 和 DOGE 分别上涨 1.24% 和 2.07%。
According to the latest update from CoinGecko, the total market cap for PolitiFi tokens hit $819 million after posting a 14.2% hike in just a day.
根据 CoinGecko 的最新更新,PolitiFi 代币的总市值在一天内上涨 14.2% 后达到 8.19 亿美元。
TRUMP surged by 14.3%, TREMP climbed by 15.5%, and MAGA rose by 19.7% within 24 hours.
24小时内,TRUMP上涨14.3%,TREMP上涨15.5%,MAGA上涨19.7%。
These three tokens emerged as the trending assets in the top PolitiFi coins by market cap. This is a sign of their significant impact on the market, as per CoinGecko.
这三种代币成为市值最高的 PolitiFi 代币中的趋势资产。根据 CoinGecko 的说法,这是它们对市场产生重大影响的标志。
Update on KAMA
卡玛更新
On the other hand, the Kamala Harris-themed memecoin, Kamala Horris [KAMA], also saw a double-digit hike of 10.4% in a day.
另一方面,以卡马拉·哈里斯为主题的模因币卡马拉·霍里斯 [KAMA] 也出现了 10.4% 的两位数涨幅。
However, it remained far behind, ranking in the 10th position and being overshadowed by nine Trump-related memecoins that dominated the market.
然而,它仍然远远落后,排在第十位,并被主导市场的九种与特朗普相关的模因币所掩盖。
This trend was not limited to memecoins either as Polymarket indicated that Trump is significantly outpacing Harris in popularity and potential support.
这种趋势也不限于模因币,因为 Polymarket 表明特朗普在受欢迎程度和潜在支持方面明显超过哈里斯。
Polymarket’s trend
综合市场的趋势
The prediction market highlighted this disparity, showcasing the ongoing momentum behind Trump-themed assets as the election race intensifies.
预测市场凸显了这种差异,展示了随着选举竞赛的加剧,特朗普主题资产背后的持续势头。
Echoing a similar sentiment was an X (formerly Twitter) user who said,
一位 X(以前称为 Twitter)用户也表达了类似的观点,他说:
However, not everyone shares this sentiment. Another user on X, classicsgroyp, raised an important point. He stated,
然而,并非所有人都认同这种观点。 X 上的另一位用户 classicsgroyp 提出了一个重要观点。他说,
“Polymarket is owned by Peter Thiel who owns JD Vance btw.”
“Polymarket 的所有者是 Peter Thiel,顺便说一句,他还拥有 JD Vance。”
The post emphasized that Polymarket’s predictions can be unreliable, as they are often influenced by Trump and his vice-presidential running mate, J.D. Vance.
该帖子强调,Polymarket 的预测可能不可靠,因为它们经常受到特朗普及其副总统竞选搭档 JD 万斯的影响。
Therefore, while current trends suggest a clear lead for Trump, the outcome remains uncertain until 5 November.
因此,虽然目前的趋势表明特朗普明显领先,但结果在 11 月 5 日之前仍不确定。
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