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七月底,唐纳德·特朗普在田纳西州纳什维尔举行的加密会议上对欢呼的人群说:“永远不要出售你的比特币。”
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has unveiled a plan to create a state bitcoin reserve if elected, adding to a growing list of proposals from candidates to integrate crypto into U.S. government coffers.
共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普公布了一项计划,如果当选,将创建一个国家比特币储备,这为候选人将加密货币纳入美国政府金库的提案清单增添了更多内容。
At a crypto convention in Nashville, Tennessee in late July, Trump told a cheering crowd, “Never sell your bitcoin.”
7 月下旬,在田纳西州纳什维尔举行的加密货币大会上,特朗普对欢呼的人群说:“永远不要出售你的比特币。”
His speech marked the latest overture in a bid to court crypto-focused voters ahead of November’s election, offering a bevy of campaign promises. Among them: a plan for a state bitcoin reserve.
他的演讲标志着在 11 月大选前吸引关注加密货币的选民的最新举措,并提出了一系列竞选承诺。其中:国家比特币储备计划。
“If elected, it will be the policy of my administration to keep 100% of all the bitcoin the U.S. government currently holds or acquires into the future,” Trump said, adding the funds would serve as the “core of the strategic national bitcoin stockpile.”
特朗普表示:“如果当选,我的政府的政策将是将美国政府目前持有或收购的所有比特币 100% 保留到未来。”他补充说,这些资金将作为“国家比特币战略储备的核心” ”。
Indeed, Trump isn’t the only one with such a proposal. U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis has introduced legislation that would see the U.S. government purchase one million bitcoin, around 5% of total supply, while independent candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr has suggested a government stockpile of four million bitcoin.
事实上,特朗普并不是唯一提出此类提议的人。美国参议员辛西娅·卢米斯 (Cynthia Lummis) 提出立法,要求美国政府购买 100 万比特币,约占总供应量的 5%,而独立候选人小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪 (Robert F Kennedy Jr) 建议政府储备 400 万比特币。
A strategic reserve would be one use for the massive amount of bitcoin held by the U.S. government. The jury’s out on what it would be used for, whether it’s feasible, or if it’s even welcome for the broader crypto market, though.
战略储备将是美国政府持有的大量比特币的用途之一。不过,对于它的用途、是否可行,或者是否受到更广泛的加密货币市场的欢迎,目前还没有定论。
The U.S. government holds a bumper cache of crypto: around $11.1 billion worth which includes 203,239 bitcoin tokens, according to data firm Arkham Intelligence. The pile came from criminal seizures, including from online marketplace Silk Road, which was shut down in 2013, the firm said.
根据数据公司 Arkham Intelligence 的数据,美国政府拥有大量加密货币:价值约 111 亿美元,其中包括 203,239 个比特币代币。该公司表示,这批货物来自刑事查获,其中包括 2013 年被关闭的在线市场 Silk Road。
At current levels, the U.S. holds about 1% of overall global bitcoin supply – which stands at about 19.7 million tokens, according to Blockchain.com. Bitcoin’s total supply is capped at 21 million coins.
根据 Blockchain.com 的数据,按照目前的水平,美国持有全球比特币供应量的 1% 左右,即约 1970 万枚代币。比特币的总供应量上限为 2100 万枚。
To compare against big non-state investors, Michael Saylor’s Microstrategy holds about 226,500 bitcoin tokens, as per second-quarter results. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust hold 344,070 and 240,140 tokens respectively, according to data site BitcoinTreasuries.
根据第二季度的业绩,与大型非国有投资者相比,Michael Saylor 的 Microstrategy 持有约 226,500 个比特币代币。根据数据网站 BitcoinTreasuries 的数据,贝莱德的 iShares 比特币信托和灰度比特币信托分别持有 344,070 和 240,140 枚代币。
A government bitcoin stockpile could shore up bitcoin’s price.
政府的比特币库存可能会支撑比特币的价格。
“It would have a positive impact on price. It would have to because we’ve never had such a limited supply commodity, albeit digital, assume a new state of a reserve asset,” said Mark Connors, head of global macro at Onramp Bitcoin.
“这将对价格产生积极影响。必须这样做,因为我们从来没有让供应如此有限的商品(尽管是数字商品)呈现出储备资产的新状态。”Onramp Bitcoin 全球宏观主管马克·康纳斯 (Mark Connors) 表示。
Yet such a reserve also means fewer tokens for crypto investors to trade with and could leave them exposed if the government ever sold part of its reserves.
然而,这样的储备也意味着加密投资者可以交易的代币减少,如果政府出售部分储备,可能会让他们面临风险。
“RFK talked about having 19% of bitcoin, the same amount of the gold supply – I can’t imagine a single bitcoiner would be happy about that,” Connors added.
“RFK 谈到拥有 19% 的比特币,与黄金供应量相同——我无法想象有哪个比特币持有者会对此感到高兴,”Connors 补充道。
Governments besides the United States also boast bumper hoards of bitcoin, with BitcoinTreasuries reporting China is the second largest government holder, with 190,000 coins.
除美国外,各国政府也拥有大量比特币,据 BitcoinTreasuries 报道,中国是第二大政府持有者,拥有 19 万枚比特币。
‘A LOT TO FIGURE OUT’
“还有很多事情需要弄清楚”
While the prospect of a national bitcoin reserve is uncertain, crypto watchers are nonetheless pondering what form it could take.
尽管国家比特币储备的前景尚不确定,但加密货币观察人士仍在思考它可能采取什么形式。
Connors suggested the Federal Reserve could manage the reserves for the Treasury Department, as it does with gold. On the other hand, the stockpile could be more akin to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, where both the president and Congress have varying amounts of control, according to Frank Kelly, senior political strategist at asset manager DWS Group.
康纳斯建议美联储可以像管理黄金一样管理财政部的储备。另一方面,资产管理公司 DWS 集团高级政治策略师 Frank Kelly 表示,库存可能更类似于战略石油储备,总统和国会都拥有不同程度的控制权。
“There’s a lot to parse and figure out there,” Kelly said.
“有很多东西需要解析和弄清楚,”凯利说。
There’s also an irony that jars with many true bitcoin believers: the digital asset intended to be decentralized and free of government control becoming part of a state reserve.
还有一个讽刺之处让许多真正的比特币信徒感到不舒服:这种数字资产原本打算去中心化且不受政府控制,但却成为国家储备的一部分。
Regardless of what happens with a bitcoin stockpile, many market players are happy enough to see crypto becoming a significant campaign talking point.
无论比特币库存发生什么情况,许多市场参与者都很高兴看到加密货币成为一个重要的竞选话题。
“There’s a general view in the industry that both parties are paying much more attention to digital assets,” said Raoul Mewawalla, CEO of Mawson Infrastructure Group, which operates data centers for bitcoin mining.
“业界普遍认为双方都更加关注数字资产,”运营比特币挖矿数据中心的 Mawson 基础设施集团首席执行官拉乌尔·梅瓦瓦拉 (Raoul Mewawalla) 表示。
“The expectation is that will continue post November.”
“预计这种情况将在 11 月之后持续下去。”
(Reporting by Lisa Mattackal and Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Pravin Char)
(丽莎·马塔卡尔和梅德哈·辛格在班加罗尔报道;普拉文·查尔编辑)
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