特朗普硬币似乎是一个泵送骗局

在1月18日上午02:01:33 UTC，仅通过其钱包地址识别的加密货币交易员（以J9TXV结尾的字母数字绳子）购买了价值110万美元的特朗普

A crypto trader identified only by their wallet address—an alphanumeric string ending in J9tXv—purchased $1.1 million worth of TRUMP, a new cryptocurrency launched by US president Donald Trump. The trade stands out partly for its size but mostly for its timing: Trump had publicly unveiled the coin barely two minutes earlier.

一个仅通过其钱包地址确定的加密交易者（以J9TXV结尾的字母数字串）购买了价值110万美元的特朗普，这是美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）发起的新加密货币。该行业的规模部分脱颖而出，但主要是因为它的时机：特朗普仅两分钟前就公开公开了硬币。

In the minutes immediately after the announcement, other traders purchased similarly large amounts of TRUMP: One invested $500,000, two others $250,000 apiece, and another $50,000. Like J9tXv, their identities are concealed behind their crypto wallet addresses.

在宣布消息后的几分钟内，其他交易者购买了类似的特朗普：一人投资了500,000美元，另外两个$ 250,000，另外两个$ 50,000。像J9TXV一样，它们的身份被隐藏在加密钱包地址后面。

As the hours passed, word spread, investors piled in, and the price of TRUMP soared. At its peak, the value of the circulating coins exceeded $14 billion. The early traders, who had made a killing, began to cash out.

随着时间的流逝，言语传播，投资者涌入，特朗普的价格飙升。在其高峰期，循环硬币的价值超过140亿美元。杀人的早期商人开始兑现。

On January 18, J9tXv moved their entire TRUMP stash to another wallet. The lion’s share of the coins were then diverted to yet further wallets and mostly sold. The remainder were sold the following day across nine transactions, which brought in more than $30 million. In all, the original trade returned many tens of millions of dollars in profit.

1月18日，J9TXV将他们的整个特朗普藏匿在另一个钱包中。然后将硬币的狮子份额转移到更多的钱包中，大部分出售。其余的第二天出售了9笔交易，带来了超过3000万美元。总的来说，原始贸易返还了数千万美元的利润。

WIRED asked two experts in crypto forensics to analyze these early TRUMP trades. Though multiple theories might explain their striking punctuality—among them blind luck—another possibility is that the traders were warned of the launch in advance, the crypto forensics experts hypothesize. In trading any new asset, an alleged early warning would put any trader at an immense advantage, allowing them to buy in earlier and at a lower price than almost everyone else.

连线要求两名加密货币学专家分析这些早期的特朗普交易。尽管多种理论可能解释了他们惊人的守时（他们是盲目的运气），其另一个可能是提前警告交易者，但Crypto Forensics专家假设。在交易任何新资产时，据称的预警将使任何交易者都具有巨大的优势，从而使他们以比其他所有人的价格更早地购买，而且价格低。

“To be that quick off the mark, it’s hard to imagine that they had no forewarning,” says Paul Sibenik, CEO at CryptoForensic Investigators, a company that investigates crypto-related cybercrime.

“要迅速地，很难想象他们没有预警。”对与加密相关的网络犯罪进行了Cryptofoforensic Revighter的首席执行官Paul Sibenik说。

Though new crypto coins are frequently traded in the minutes after launch, the willingness of J9tXv and others to wager such large sums on TRUMP in those early moments—when people were still trying to figure out whether the coin was legitimate—is highly irregular, says John Powers, president at the private investigation agency Hudson Intelligence.

尽管新加密硬币经常在发布后的几分钟内交易，但J9TXV和其他人愿意在那些早期的那一刻下注这么大的特朗普（人们仍在试图弄清楚硬币是合法的），这是非常不规则的，这是高度不规则的。约翰·鲍尔斯（John Powers），私人调查机构哈德逊情报局（Hudson Intelligence）的总裁。

“Someone that has an active investment portfolio or team of people that are managing money could certainly put together a plan and make an informed decision within twelve to twenty-four hours,” alleges Powers. “But something that happens in the first 90 seconds suggests either potential advanced insider knowledge or some other possible explanation.”

鲍尔斯说：“拥有积极投资组合或管理金钱的人团队的人当然可以制定计划，并在十二至二十四小时内做出明智的决定。” “但是在前90秒内发生的事情表明了潜在的高级内部知识或其他可能的解释。”

The White House press office declined to comment. A request for comment delivered to the email address listed on the TRUMP website went unanswered.

白宫新闻办公室拒绝置评。尚未得到答复的置评请求。

TRUMP is pitched as a memecoin, a type of cryptocurrency that typically serves no purpose, promises no utility, and has no underlying business model. The price of a memecoin tends to swing violently with the caprices of the public mood.

特朗普被认为是一种模因，这是一种通常没有目的的加密货币，没有任何实用性，也没有潜在的商业模式。纪念因素的价格往往会随着公众情绪的背景而剧烈的摇摆。

In the memecoin trading game, getting in early is everything. “There’s no fundamental value in any of these coins, so it’s about just being very, very early,” says Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at the blockchain analytics company Nansen, which analyzed patterns in the trading data for WIRED.

在Memecoin交易游戏中，早期进入就是一切。区块链分析公司Nansen的首席研究分析师Aurelie Barthere说：“这些硬币中的任何一个都没有基本价值，因此这只是非常非常早。”