特朗普硬幣似乎是一個泵送騙局

在1月18日上午02:01:33 UTC，僅通過其錢包地址識別的加密貨幣交易員（以J9TXV結尾的字母數字繩子）購買了價值110萬美元的特朗普

A crypto trader identified only by their wallet address—an alphanumeric string ending in J9tXv—purchased $1.1 million worth of TRUMP, a new cryptocurrency launched by US president Donald Trump. The trade stands out partly for its size but mostly for its timing: Trump had publicly unveiled the coin barely two minutes earlier.

一個僅通過其錢包地址確定的加密交易者（以J9TXV結尾的字母數字串）購買了價值110萬美元的特朗普，這是美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）發起的新加密貨幣。該行業的規模部分脫穎而出，但主要是因為它的時機：特朗普僅兩分鐘前就公開公開了硬幣。

In the minutes immediately after the announcement, other traders purchased similarly large amounts of TRUMP: One invested $500,000, two others $250,000 apiece, and another $50,000. Like J9tXv, their identities are concealed behind their crypto wallet addresses.

在宣布消息後的幾分鐘內，其他交易者購買了類似的特朗普：一人投資了500,000美元，另外兩個$ 250,000，另外兩個$ 50,000。像J9TXV一樣，它們的身份被隱藏在加密錢包地址後面。

As the hours passed, word spread, investors piled in, and the price of TRUMP soared. At its peak, the value of the circulating coins exceeded $14 billion. The early traders, who had made a killing, began to cash out.

隨著時間的流逝，言語傳播，投資者湧入，特朗普的價格飆升。在其高峰期，循環硬幣的價值超過140億美元。殺人的早期商人開始兌現。

On January 18, J9tXv moved their entire TRUMP stash to another wallet. The lion’s share of the coins were then diverted to yet further wallets and mostly sold. The remainder were sold the following day across nine transactions, which brought in more than $30 million. In all, the original trade returned many tens of millions of dollars in profit.

1月18日，J9TXV將他們的整個特朗普藏匿在另一個錢包中。然後將硬幣的獅子份額轉移到更多的錢包中，大部分出售。其餘的第二天出售了9筆交易，帶來了超過3000萬美元。總的來說，原始貿易返還了數千萬美元的利潤。

WIRED asked two experts in crypto forensics to analyze these early TRUMP trades. Though multiple theories might explain their striking punctuality—among them blind luck—another possibility is that the traders were warned of the launch in advance, the crypto forensics experts hypothesize. In trading any new asset, an alleged early warning would put any trader at an immense advantage, allowing them to buy in earlier and at a lower price than almost everyone else.

連線要求兩名加密貨幣學專家分析這些早期的特朗普交易。儘管多種理論可能解釋了他們驚人的守時（他們是盲目的運氣），其另一個可能是提前警告交易者，但Crypto Forensics專家假設。在交易任何新資產時，據稱的預警將使任何交易者都具有巨大的優勢，從而使他們以比其他所有人的價格更早地購買，而且價格低。

“To be that quick off the mark, it’s hard to imagine that they had no forewarning,” says Paul Sibenik, CEO at CryptoForensic Investigators, a company that investigates crypto-related cybercrime.

“要迅速地，很難想像他們沒有預警。”對與加密相關的網絡犯罪進行了Cryptofoforensic Revighter的首席執行官Paul Sibenik說。

Though new crypto coins are frequently traded in the minutes after launch, the willingness of J9tXv and others to wager such large sums on TRUMP in those early moments—when people were still trying to figure out whether the coin was legitimate—is highly irregular, says John Powers, president at the private investigation agency Hudson Intelligence.

儘管新加密硬幣經常在發布後的幾分鐘內交易，但J9TXV和其他人願意在那些早期的那一刻下注這麼大的特朗普（人們仍在試圖弄清楚硬幣是合法的），這是非常不規則的，這是高度不規則的。約翰·鮑爾斯（John Powers），私人調查機構哈德遜情報局（Hudson Intelligence）的總裁。

“Someone that has an active investment portfolio or team of people that are managing money could certainly put together a plan and make an informed decision within twelve to twenty-four hours,” alleges Powers. “But something that happens in the first 90 seconds suggests either potential advanced insider knowledge or some other possible explanation.”

鮑爾斯說：“擁有積極投資組合或管理金錢的人團隊的人當然可以製定計劃，並在十二至二十四小時內做出明智的決定。” “但是在前90秒內發生的事情表明了潛在的高級內部知識或其他可能的解釋。”

The White House press office declined to comment. A request for comment delivered to the email address listed on the TRUMP website went unanswered.

白宮新聞辦公室拒絕置評。尚未得到答复的置評請求。

TRUMP is pitched as a memecoin, a type of cryptocurrency that typically serves no purpose, promises no utility, and has no underlying business model. The price of a memecoin tends to swing violently with the caprices of the public mood.

特朗普被認為是一種模因，這是一種通常沒有目的的加密貨幣，沒有任何實用性，也沒有潛在的商業模式。紀念因素的價格往往會隨著公眾情緒的背景而劇烈的搖擺。

In the memecoin trading game, getting in early is everything. “There’s no fundamental value in any of these coins, so it’s about just being very, very early,” says Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at the blockchain analytics company Nansen, which analyzed patterns in the trading data for WIRED.

在Memecoin交易遊戲中，早期進入就是一切。區塊鏈分析公司Nansen的首席研究分析師Aurelie Barthere說：“這些硬幣中的任何一個都沒有基本價值，因此這只是非常非常早。”