分析师艾伦·桑塔纳 (Alan Santana) 警告说，TOTAL2 显示下降通道内的三重顶形态

TradingView 分析师 Alan Santana 发布了特别关注 TOTAL2 的报告，该报告显示了除比特币之外的所有加密货币的总市值

Cryptocurrency market analysis firm TradingView has recently issued a warning regarding the growing bearish wave in the altcoin market, with a particular focus on the TOTAL2 index, which tracks the market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin.

加密货币市场分析公司 TradingView 最近就山寨币市场日益增长的看跌浪潮发出警告，特别关注 TOTAL2 指数，该指数跟踪除比特币外的所有加密货币的市值。

According to analyst Alan Santana, a triple top pattern has emerged within a strong descending channel, bolstering a bearish outlook. He highlighted that many of the public short positions have already achieved their targets, potentially setting the stage for a large market flush.

分析师艾伦·桑塔纳 (Alan Santana) 表示，在强劲的下降通道内出现了三重顶形态，支撑了看跌前景。他强调，许多公开空头头寸已经实现了目标，这可能为大规模市场上涨奠定基础。

Santana's analysis delves into the psychology of the altcoin market, specifically highlighting a common pitfall during market downtrends. Many traders and investors initially remain in a state of denial, hoping for a quick market recovery.

桑塔纳的分析深入研究了山寨币市场的心理，特别强调了市场下跌趋势期间的常见陷阱。许多交易员和投资者最初仍处于否认状态，希望市场能够迅速复苏。

“It is happening, but somehow we can get the impression that all is fine and prices will recover the next day, while the index and cryptocurrency have been moving down since March 2024,” the analysis reads.

分析称：“这种情况正在发生，但不知何故，我们可以得到这样的印象：一切都很好，价格将在第二天恢复，而指数和加密货币自 2024 年 3 月以来一直在下跌。”

This denial can delay appropriate market responses, ultimately leaving traders vulnerable by the time the extent of the bearish trend is fully realized.

这种否认可能会延迟适当的市场反应，最终让交易者在看跌趋势的程度完全实现时变得脆弱。

Santana points out that traders typically embrace the reality of the declining market momentum too late in the game. He highlights the paradoxical nature of market psychology, where traders tend to hope for an upward reversal during price drops and fear a rapid crash when prices rise.

桑塔纳指出，交易者通常在接受市场势头下滑的现实时为时已晚。他强调了市场心理的矛盾本质，即交易者往往希望价格下跌时出现向上逆转，而担心价格上涨时迅速崩盘。

This psychological contradiction continues to cloud judgment, especially considering the present market has been on a steady decline since early 2024.

这种心理矛盾继续影响判断，特别是考虑到目前市场自 2024 年初以来一直在稳步下滑。

The analysis also touches upon the possibility of a rapid market crash, considering the extended period of consolidation—often observed before a significant market movement. Given the lengthy build-up of the bearish trend, he suggests that the final crash of 2024 may occur swiftly.

该分析还涉及市场快速崩盘的可能性，考虑到通常在重大市场波动之前观察到的长期盘整期。鉴于看跌趋势的长期积累，他认为 2024 年的最终崩盘可能很快就会发生。

“The good news is that it will be fast when it happens because it has been in the making for so long,” Santana adds, preparing traders for a substantial market downturn.

桑塔纳补充道：“好消息是，这种情况发生的速度会很快，因为它已经酝酿了很长时间了。”这让交易者为市场大幅低迷做好了准备。

In contrast to this bearish outlook, a previous analysis by CNF highlighted a more optimistic scenario. Another prominent analyst anticipated a bullish Cup and Handle pattern, which could indicate an altcoin surge in the fourth quarter (Q4) of this year.

与这种悲观前景相反，CNF 之前的分析强调了更为乐观的情况。另一位著名分析师预计将出现看涨的 Cup and Handle 模式，这可能表明山寨币将在今年第四季度 (Q4) 飙升。

Moreover, the rising crypto dominance and whale accumulation suggest the potential for a major TOTAL2 breakout in the near future.

此外，加密货币主导地位的不断上升和鲸鱼的积累表明，TOTAL2 在不久的将来有可能出现重大突破。