分析師艾倫桑塔納 (Alan Santana) 警告說，TOTAL2 顯示下降通道內的三重頂形態

TradingView 分析師 Alan Santana 發布了特別關注 TOTAL2 的報告，該報告顯示了除比特幣之外的所有加密貨幣的總市值

Cryptocurrency market analysis firm TradingView has recently issued a warning regarding the growing bearish wave in the altcoin market, with a particular focus on the TOTAL2 index, which tracks the market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin.

加密貨幣市場分析公司 TradingView 最近就山寨幣市場日益增長的看跌浪潮發出警告，特別關注 TOTAL2 指數，該指數跟踪除比特幣外的所有加密貨幣的市值。

According to analyst Alan Santana, a triple top pattern has emerged within a strong descending channel, bolstering a bearish outlook. He highlighted that many of the public short positions have already achieved their targets, potentially setting the stage for a large market flush.

分析師艾倫桑塔納 (Alan Santana) 表示，在強勁的下降通道內出現了三重頂形態，支撐了看跌前景。他強調，許多公開空頭部位已經實現了目標，這可能為大規模市場上漲奠定基礎。

Santana's analysis delves into the psychology of the altcoin market, specifically highlighting a common pitfall during market downtrends. Many traders and investors initially remain in a state of denial, hoping for a quick market recovery.

桑塔納的分析深入研究了山寨幣市場的心理，特別強調了市場下跌趨勢期間的常見陷阱。許多交易員和投資者最初仍處於否認狀態，希望市場能迅速復甦。

“It is happening, but somehow we can get the impression that all is fine and prices will recover the next day, while the index and cryptocurrency have been moving down since March 2024,” the analysis reads.

分析稱：“這種情況正在發生，但不知何故，我們可以得到這樣的印象：一切都很好，價格將在第二天恢復，​​而指數和加密貨幣自 2024 年 3 月以來一直在下跌。”

This denial can delay appropriate market responses, ultimately leaving traders vulnerable by the time the extent of the bearish trend is fully realized.

這種否認可能會延遲適當的市場反應，最終讓交易者在看跌趨勢的程度完全實現時變得脆弱。

Santana points out that traders typically embrace the reality of the declining market momentum too late in the game. He highlights the paradoxical nature of market psychology, where traders tend to hope for an upward reversal during price drops and fear a rapid crash when prices rise.

桑塔納指出，交易者通常在接受市場動能下滑的現實時為時已晚。他強調了市場心理的矛盾本質，即交易者往往希望價格下跌時向上逆轉，而擔心價格上漲時迅速崩盤。

This psychological contradiction continues to cloud judgment, especially considering the present market has been on a steady decline since early 2024.

這種心理矛盾繼續影響判斷，特別是考慮到目前市場自 2024 年初以來一直在穩步下滑。

The analysis also touches upon the possibility of a rapid market crash, considering the extended period of consolidation—often observed before a significant market movement. Given the lengthy build-up of the bearish trend, he suggests that the final crash of 2024 may occur swiftly.

該分析還涉及市場快速崩盤的可能性，考慮到通常在重大市場波動之前觀察到的長期盤整期。鑑於看跌趨勢的長期積累，他認為 2024 年的最終崩盤可能很快就會發生。

“The good news is that it will be fast when it happens because it has been in the making for so long,” Santana adds, preparing traders for a substantial market downturn.

桑塔納補充說：「好消息是，這種情況發生的速度會很快，因為它已經醞釀了很長時間了。」這讓交易者為市場大幅低迷做好了準備。

In contrast to this bearish outlook, a previous analysis by CNF highlighted a more optimistic scenario. Another prominent analyst anticipated a bullish Cup and Handle pattern, which could indicate an altcoin surge in the fourth quarter (Q4) of this year.

與這種悲觀前景相反，CNF 先前的分析強調了更樂觀的情況。另一位著名分析師預計將出現看漲的 Cup and Handle 模式，這可能表明山寨幣將在今年第四季 (Q4) 飆升。

Moreover, the rising crypto dominance and whale accumulation suggest the potential for a major TOTAL2 breakout in the near future.

此外，加密貨幣主導地位的不斷上升和鯨魚的累積表明，TOTAL2 在不久的將來有可能出現重大突破。