随着地缘政治事件和市场动态冲突，吨币（吨）面临不稳定的立场

帕维尔·杜罗夫（Pavel Durov）于2024年8月被捕引发了托币[ton]的重大抛售。后果，出售了超过890,000吨。

Toncoin (TON) has experienced a significant sell-off following the arrest of Pavel Durov in August 2024, with over 890,000 TON being sold. This has caused a noticeable decrease in the market price of the cryptocurrency.

2024年8月，帕维尔·杜罗夫（Pavel Durov）被捕后，托币（Ton）（吨）出售了超过890,000吨。这导致加密货币的市场价格明显下降。

Furthermore, the recent transfer of over 240,000 Toncoin to exchanges in the past week has escalated the selling pressure, indicating investor apprehension. This has led to a clear shift in Toncoin’s price trajectory, which was initially rising but now seems to be declining rapidly after these events.

此外，在过去一周中，最近将24万吨币转移到交易所的转移增加了销售压力，表明投资者担心。这导致了Toncoin的价格轨迹的明显转变，这最初是在上升，但在这些事件发生后，现在似乎正在迅速下降。

As these large quantities of Toncoin hit the market, the number of Toncoin held dwindled sharply, causing a noticeable dip in price. This trend suggests that TON could face further declines if the selling pressure continues. However, it could also present a buying opportunity for those betting on a market recovery.

随着这些大量吨币投放市场，托币的数量急剧减少，导致价格明显下降。这种趋势表明，如果销售压力持续，吨可能会进一步下降。但是，它也可能为那些投注市场恢复的人带来购买机会。

This precarious position also highlights the broader impacts of geopolitical events on cryptocurrency markets, especially for assets like Toncoin that are directly linked to high-profile individuals.

这种不稳定的立场还凸显了地缘政治事件对加密货币市场的更广泛影响，尤其是对于像托币这样的资产直接与备受瞩目的人有关的资产。

Interestingly, despite the sell-off, TON’s weekly Open Interest (OI) Delta showed increased volatility accompanied by growing OI. Historically, this pattern has often signaled an upcoming price surge.

有趣的是，尽管有抛售，但Ton的每周开放利息（OI）三角洲显示出波动性的增加，伴随着OI的增长。从历史上看，这种模式通常标志着即将到来的价格上涨。

If we observe the OI Delta closely, as it climbed in mid-2024, Toncoin’s price rose sharply. Recently, on the 25th of January 2025, similar increases in OI suggested a potential reversal followed by a bullish trend soon.

如果我们仔细观察到OI三角洲，随着2024年中期的攀升，Toncoin的价格急剧上涨。最近，在2025年1月25日，OI的类似增长表明，潜在的逆转，随后很快出现了看涨的趋势。

Hence, monitoring the OI changes alongside price action could provide crucial insights into TON’s short-term market dynamics. Liquidity and position flow will be key in determining if this continued OI trend can trigger higher prices.

因此，监控OI的变化与价格行动一起可以为Ton的短期市场动态提供关键的见解。流动性和位置流将是确定这种持续的OI趋势是否触发更高价格的关键。

Moreover, TON’s price hinted at a potential reversal as it gravitated towards a key support zone at $4.80. Past interactions with this zone showed resilience each time.

此外，吨的价格暗示了潜在的逆转，因为它倾向于$ 4.80的钥匙支持区。过去与该区域的相互作用每次都会显示出弹性。

As TON approached this critical support area once again, it suggested a potential bounce. Past interactions with this zone have resulted in recoveries, suggesting that TON’s price may respond positively. The MACD showed convergence, hinting at upcoming positive momentum.

当Ton再次接近这个关键的支撑区域时，它暗示了潜在的反弹。过去与该区域的互动导致了回收率，这表明Ton的价格可能会积极回应。 MACD表现出融合，暗示了即将到来的积极动量。

If history repeats, this could mean a price increase for TON, providing a buying opportunity for investors observing these levels.

如果历史重复，这可能意味着吨的价格上涨，为观察这些水平的投资者提供购买机会。

Finally, TON’s address count continued to steadily increase from 105 million addresses on the 22nd of October to 139 million by the 22nd of January. This consistent growth represented a surge of over 32% in less than four months.

最终，吨的讲话计数从10500万的地址继续稳步增长，到1月22日到1月22日的1.39亿。这种一致的增长代表了不到四个月的32％以上的增长。

The rise in unique addresses likely indicated heightened activity and interest in the TON network. This could bolster market confidence and potentially support a bullish scenario for Toncoin’s price in the future. These metrics are crucial for tracking engagement and network health.

独特地址的上升可能表明活动的活动增加和对TON网络的兴趣。这可以增强市场信心，并有可能支持将来的吨币价格的看涨场景。这些指标对于跟踪参与和网络健康至关重要。