隨著地緣政治事件和市場動態衝突，噸幣（噸）面臨不穩定的立場

帕維爾·杜羅夫（Pavel Durov）於2024年8月被捕引發了托幣[ton]的重大拋售。後果，出售了超過890,000噸。

Toncoin (TON) has experienced a significant sell-off following the arrest of Pavel Durov in August 2024, with over 890,000 TON being sold. This has caused a noticeable decrease in the market price of the cryptocurrency.

2024年8月，帕維爾·杜羅夫（Pavel Durov）被捕後，托幣（Ton）（噸）出售了超過890,000噸。這導致加密貨幣的市場價格明顯下降。

Furthermore, the recent transfer of over 240,000 Toncoin to exchanges in the past week has escalated the selling pressure, indicating investor apprehension. This has led to a clear shift in Toncoin’s price trajectory, which was initially rising but now seems to be declining rapidly after these events.

此外，在過去一周中，最近將24萬噸幣轉移到交易所的轉移增加了銷售壓力，表明投資者擔心。這導致了Toncoin的價格軌蹟的明顯轉變，這最初是在上升，但在這些事件發生後，現在似乎正在迅速下降。

As these large quantities of Toncoin hit the market, the number of Toncoin held dwindled sharply, causing a noticeable dip in price. This trend suggests that TON could face further declines if the selling pressure continues. However, it could also present a buying opportunity for those betting on a market recovery.

隨著這些大量噸幣投放市場，托幣的數量急劇減少，導致價格明顯下降。這種趨勢表明，如果銷售壓力持續，噸可能會進一步下降。但是，它也可能為那些投注市場恢復的人帶來購買機會。

This precarious position also highlights the broader impacts of geopolitical events on cryptocurrency markets, especially for assets like Toncoin that are directly linked to high-profile individuals.

這種不穩定的立場還凸顯了地緣政治事件對加密貨幣市場的更廣泛影響，尤其是對於像托幣這樣的資產直接與備受矚目的人有關的資產。

Interestingly, despite the sell-off, TON’s weekly Open Interest (OI) Delta showed increased volatility accompanied by growing OI. Historically, this pattern has often signaled an upcoming price surge.

有趣的是，儘管有拋售，但Ton的每週開放利息（OI）三角洲顯示出波動性的增加，伴隨著OI的增長。從歷史上看，這種模式通常標誌著即將到來的價格上漲。

If we observe the OI Delta closely, as it climbed in mid-2024, Toncoin’s price rose sharply. Recently, on the 25th of January 2025, similar increases in OI suggested a potential reversal followed by a bullish trend soon.

如果我們仔細觀察到OI三角洲，隨著2024年中期的攀升，Toncoin的價格急劇上漲。最近，在2025年1月25日，OI的類似增長表明，潛在的逆轉，隨後很快出現了看漲的趨勢。

Hence, monitoring the OI changes alongside price action could provide crucial insights into TON’s short-term market dynamics. Liquidity and position flow will be key in determining if this continued OI trend can trigger higher prices.

因此，監控OI的變化與價格行動一起可以為Ton的短期市場動態提供關鍵的見解。流動性和位置流將是確定這種持續的OI趨勢是否觸發更高價格的關鍵。

Moreover, TON’s price hinted at a potential reversal as it gravitated towards a key support zone at $4.80. Past interactions with this zone showed resilience each time.

此外，噸的價格暗示了潛在的逆轉，因為它傾向於$ 4.80的鑰匙支持區。過去與該區域的相互作用每次都會顯示出彈性。

As TON approached this critical support area once again, it suggested a potential bounce. Past interactions with this zone have resulted in recoveries, suggesting that TON’s price may respond positively. The MACD showed convergence, hinting at upcoming positive momentum.

當Ton再次接近這個關鍵的支撐區域時，它暗示了潛在的反彈。過去與該區域的互動導致了回收率，這表明Ton的價格可能會積極回應。 MACD表現出融合，暗示了即將到來的積極動量。

If history repeats, this could mean a price increase for TON, providing a buying opportunity for investors observing these levels.

如果歷史重複，這可能意味著噸的價格上漲，為觀察這些水平的投資者提供購買機會。

Finally, TON’s address count continued to steadily increase from 105 million addresses on the 22nd of October to 139 million by the 22nd of January. This consistent growth represented a surge of over 32% in less than four months.

最終，噸的講話計數從10500萬的地址繼續穩步增長，到1月22日到1月22日的1.39億。這種一致的增長代表了不到四個月的32％以上的增長。

The rise in unique addresses likely indicated heightened activity and interest in the TON network. This could bolster market confidence and potentially support a bullish scenario for Toncoin’s price in the future. These metrics are crucial for tracking engagement and network health.

獨特地址的上升可能表明活動的活動增加和對TON網絡的興趣。這可以增強市場信心，並有可能支持將來的噸幣價格的看漲場景。這些指標對於跟踪參與和網絡健康至關重要。