吨币面对销售压力，但积累上升

自2024年8月以来，Telegram创始人Pavel Durov在法国被捕以来，Toncoin面临着巨大的销售压力。曾经交易的代币曾接近6.80美元，在过去的六个月中急剧下降了30％。

Toncoin has faced selling pressure since August 2024, following the arrest of Telegram founder Pavel Durov in France. The token, which once traded near $6.80, has seen a sharp decline of 30% over the past six months.

自2024年8月以来，托金币在法国被捕创始人帕维尔·杜罗夫（Pavel Durov）被捕后面临销售压力。曾经交易的代币曾接近6.80美元，在过去的六个月中急剧下降了30％。

French authorities arrested Durov at Le Bourget airport near Paris, linking Telegram to illegal activities, including drug trafficking and child abuse material distribution. Though released from custody, Durov remains under formal investigation and cannot leave France. His legal issues have directly impacted Toncoin, triggering uncertainty among investors.

法国当局在巴黎附近的勒布尔特机场逮捕了杜罗夫，将电报与非法活动联系起来，包括贩毒和虐待儿童材料分配。尽管被释放，但杜罗夫仍在正式调查中，不能离开法国。他的法律问题直接影响了托币，引发了投资者的不确定性。

Despite the turbulence, Toncoin still holds a 128% yearly gain, demonstrating resilience in a volatile market. However, traders remain cautious as regulatory scrutiny over Telegram could further affect the token’s performance. The uncertainty surrounding Durov’s case continues to influence market sentiment, creating both risks and opportunities.

尽管有动荡，但托币仍保持128％的年收益，这表明在动荡的市场中的韧性。但是，交易者仍然谨慎，因为对电报的监管审查可能会进一步影响令牌的表现。杜罗夫案的不确定性继续影响市场情绪，既带来风险和机遇。

Since Durov’s arrest, investors have offloaded over 890,000 Toncoin, leading to a 29% drop in market capitalization. Toncoin, currently ranked 14th among cryptocurrencies, now trades around $4.80 with a market cap of $12.06 billion.

自杜罗夫（Durov）被捕以来，投资者已将超过890,000吨的托币卸载，导致市值下降了29％。目前在加密货币中排名第14位，现在的市值为120.6亿美元。

Despite persistent selling, the accumulation/distribution indicator points to increasing accumulation since November, shortly after Donald Trump’s election victory. Traders remain divided on whether Toncoin has reached its bottom or if further losses are ahead. While some see the token as oversold, others anticipate additional downside due to lingering uncertainty. The mixed signals from market indicators keep investors on edge as they await clarity on regulatory developments.

尽管持续销售，但自11月以来，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）大选胜利后不久，积累/分销指标表明积累越来越高。贸易商在吨币是否达到其最底层或是否进一步损失方面仍然存在分歧。虽然有些人将令牌视为超卖，但其他人则预计由于不确定性持续而导致额外的缺点。市场指标的混合信号使投资者在等待监管发展时保持优势。

Toncoin (TON) technical analysis

吨币（TON）技术分析

TON's 4-hour chart shows a clear descending trend, with lower highs and lower lows defining its movement. The $4.82 level has emerged as strong support, with price stabilization hinting at a potential reversal. If Toncoin climbs above $4.90 and sustains gains beyond $5.00, it could rally toward $5.30.

Ton的4小时图表显示出明显的下降趋势，高低降低和较低的低点定义了其运动。 $ 4.82的水平已成为强大的支持，价格稳定暗示了潜在的逆转。如果吨币攀升到4.90美元以上，并保持超过5.00美元以上的收益，则可能会涨到5.30美元。

However, a close below $4.80 with high selling volume could drive the price lower, potentially testing the $4.60 or $4.00 levels. The daily chart shows Toncoin hovering near the lower Bollinger Band since early January 2025, signaling oversold conditions. While this could attract buyers, the downward trend of the lower Bollinger Band warns traders against premature long positions.

但是，低于$ 4.80的售价低于售价高的售价可能会降低价格，并可能测试$ 4.60或4.00美元的水平。每日图表显示，自2025年1月上旬以来，汤币徘徊在下Bollinger乐队附近，这标志着超售条件。尽管这可能会吸引买家，但下鲍林乐队的下降趋势警告交易者过早的头寸。

Toncoin remains at a critical juncture as investors weigh legal uncertainties against technical signals. The market's next move depends on whether accumulation gains momentum or selling pressure intensifies.

随着投资者权衡法律不确定性与技术信号的权衡，Toncoin仍然处于关键关键时刻。市场的下一步行动取决于积累的增长还是销售压力会加剧。