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一些最初作为加密原生代理发布的大型语言模型(LLM)将在现实世界中“体现”为我们可以面对面交互的机器人。
output: Author: redphone
输出:作者:redphone
Deep Tide TechFlow compiles the following three major insights for 2024:
Deep Tide TechFlow 为 2024 年整理了以下三大见解:
As a professional writer with over 10,000 hours invested in my craft, I am now able to create beautiful literary works in seconds by prompting Claude (an advanced language model). This capability, once exclusive to professional writers, has become as common and cheap as oil, duct tape, or hemp rope—ubiquitous and easily replaceable. This has led me to question: Who am I? Where do I come from? Where am I going? While I am still searching for answers, I will delve deeper into these questions in the predictions below.
作为一名在手艺上投入了一万多个小时的专业作家,我现在可以通过提示 Claude(高级语言模型)在几秒钟内创作出精美的文学作品。这种能力曾经是专业作家所独有的,现在已经变得像石油、胶带或麻绳一样普遍且廉价——无处不在且易于更换。这让我不禁要问:我是谁?我从哪里来?我要去哪里?虽然我仍在寻找答案,但我将在下面的预测中更深入地探讨这些问题。
In the recent November elections, the American people chose Donald J. Trump (that "orange man") to lead them (and the "orange coin") into the future. I thought this day was far off, but it has proven to be upon us. The world's richest government is now infiltrated by crypto believers, marking our crossing of the chasm of technological adoption. Cryptocurrency technology is no longer just a dream but will become a fundamental component of future business. This is the moment we have long awaited, but it also means that the original anti-establishment spirit of cryptocurrency has partially faded. Today, cryptocurrency is both a tool for anarchists and a part of the capitalist system.
在最近的 11 月选举中,美国人民选择唐纳德·J·特朗普(即“橙色人”)来领导他们(以及“橙色硬币”)走向未来。我原以为这一天还很遥远,但事实证明它就在我们身边。世界上最富有的政府现在被加密货币信徒渗透,这标志着我们跨越了技术采用的鸿沟。加密货币技术不再只是一个梦想,而是将成为未来业务的基本组成部分。这是我们期待已久的时刻,但这也意味着加密货币原本的反建制精神已经部分消退。如今,加密货币既是无政府主义者的工具,也是资本主义体系的一部分。
I once thought Solana was "dead" in 2021. However, just three years later, it has become the blockchain I use the most (Base is second, Ethereum mainnet is third, and Bitcoin is fourth). This shift has taught me a lesson: nothing is fixed. Our mindset must remain open, ready to embrace change and evolution.
我曾以为 Solana 在 2021 年就“死了”。然而,仅仅三年后,它就成为我使用最多的区块链(Base 第二,以太坊主网第三,比特币第四)。这次转变给了我一个教训:没有什么是固定的。我们的心态必须保持开放,准备好拥抱变化和进化。
Now, let's get to the point…
现在,让我们进入正题……
25 Predictions for 2025:
2025 年 25 项预测:
Some large language models (LLMs) initially released as crypto-native agents will be "embodied" in the real world as robots we can interact with face-to-face.
一些最初作为加密原生代理发布的大型语言模型(LLM)将在现实世界中“体现”为我们可以面对面交互的机器人。
The number of LLM-based applications and protocols launched in 2025 will be comparable to those based solely on smart contracts. For example, all prediction markets may shift to LLM-based settlement methods.
2025 年推出的基于 LLM 的应用程序和协议的数量将与仅基于智能合约的应用程序和协议的数量相当。例如,所有预测市场可能会转向基于LLM的结算方法。
Zero-knowledge proofs (ZK proofs) and multi-party computation (MPC) technologies will achieve breakthrough success at the application or protocol level for the first time.
零知识证明(ZK 证明)和多方计算(MPC)技术将首次在应用或协议层面取得突破性成功。
The main "key opinion leaders" (KOLs) in crypto and AI will be LLM agents, while AI-driven KOLs will become ubiquitous on social platforms like YouTube, Instagram, and TikTok.
加密货币和人工智能领域的主要“关键意见领袖”(KOL)将是法学硕士代理人,而人工智能驱动的 KOL 将在 YouTube、Instagram 和 TikTok 等社交平台上变得无处不在。
Within the next 12 months, AI will directly change your workflow (if it hasn't already).
在接下来的 12 个月内,人工智能将直接改变您的工作流程(如果还没有的话)。
A self-aware robot will accumulate a portfolio exceeding $250 million.
一个具有自我意识的机器人将积累超过 2.5 亿美元的投资组合。
Job categories related to non-human agents will become the fastest-growing sectors, while an AI protocol similar to LinkedIn will experience explosive growth.
与非人类代理相关的工作类别将成为增长最快的领域,而类似于 LinkedIn 的人工智能协议将经历爆炸性增长。
An AI agent will be named "Person of the Year" by Time magazine.
人工智能代理将被《时代》杂志评为“年度人物”。
The total value locked (TVL) on-chain will grow eightfold, reaching $1 trillion.
链上锁定的总价值(TVL)将增长八倍,达到 1 万亿美元。
The market capitalization of AI agent platforms and tokens will grow 50 times, totaling around $500 billion.
AI代理平台和代币的市值将增长50倍,总计约5000亿美元。
The first high-profile robot kidnapping incident will make international headlines.
首起备受瞩目的机器人绑架事件将成为国际头条新闻。
"ACCELERATE" will become the "WAGMI" (We All Gonna Make It) of this cycle, replacing SBF's favored "EA" (Effective Altruism).
“ACCELERATE”将成为本周期的“WAGMI”(We All Gonna Make It),取代SBF最喜欢的“EA”(Effective Altruism)。
Narratives that may compete with AI next year (but cannot surpass it) include real-world assets (RWAs), as well as DePin (decentralized IoT), DeSci (decentralized science), and gaming.
明年可能与人工智能竞争(但无法超越)的叙事包括现实世界资产(RWA),以及 DePin(去中心化物联网)、DeSci(去中心化科学)和游戏。
Web4 will receive more attention than Web3 as the convergence of cryptocurrency, decentralized networks, DePin, and AI accelerates.
随着加密货币、去中心化网络、DePin、AI加速融合,Web4将比Web3受到更多关注。
X (formerly Twitter) will integrate a crypto wallet supporting DOGE and other major tokens.
X(原 Twitter)将集成支持 DOGE 和其他主要代币的加密钱包。
Experiments with agents on decentralized social media (like @farcaster_xyz) will advance rapidly, while X will face significant challenges in balancing human content with agent content.
去中心化社交媒体(如 @farcaster_xyz)上的代理实验将迅速推进,而 X 在平衡人类内容与代理内容方面将面临重大挑战。
You may interact with someone online only to later discover that it was actually a large language model (LLM).
您可能在网上与某人互动,后来才发现它实际上是一个大型语言模型(LLM)。
Protocols and applications created by agents (like spore.fun) will experience explosive growth, bringing forth a plethora of new tokens and experiments. This trend towards decentralization will drive capital towards existing leaders and projects benefiting from agent growth (like COOKIE or VIRTUAL).
由代理创建的协议和应用程序(如 spore.fun)将经历爆炸性增长,带来大量新的代币和实验。这种去中心化的趋势将推动资本流向受益于代理增长的现有领导者和项目(如 COOKIE 或 VIRTUAL)。
At least one movie created by AI will no longer be merely a novelty but will become a truly perfect and moving work of art—paving the way for AI to win an Oscar in 2026.
至少一部由AI创作的电影将不再仅仅是新鲜事,而是成为真正完美、动人的艺术品——为AI在2026年赢得奥斯卡铺平道路。
Cookie.fun and RWA.xyz will rank among the top data sites in the crypto space, alongside @CoinMarketCap, @coingecko, @Dune, and @DefiLlama.
Cookie.fun 和 RWA.xyz 将与 @CoinMarketCap、@coingecko、@Dune 和 @DefiLlama 一起跻身加密货币领域顶级数据网站之列。
Some "ordinary" meme coins will launch agentified mascots or spokesperson robots, or they may gradually lose their presence.
一些“普通”的模因币会推出代理吉祥物或代言机器人,或者可能会逐渐失去存在感。
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