标题：加密货币市场正在寻求恢复平衡，比特币弹跳超过80,000美元

加密货币市场正在寻求重新获得平衡，在明天的美国通货膨胀报告之前，比特币在81,000美元之前弹跳。

Crypto traders are beginning the new trading week focused on U.S. inflation data, with a soft reading of the consumer price index (CPI) boding well for recovery in bitcoin and broader crypto prices.

加密货币交易者正在开始新的交易周，重点是美国通货膨胀数据，对消费者价格指数（CPI）的淡淡阅读良好，可以很好地恢复比特币和更广泛的加密货币价格。

The crypto market is looking to regain poise, with bitcoin bouncing above $81,000 ahead of Tuesday's U.S. inflation report. Broadly speaking, the recovery from Monday night lows is led by layer-1 and layer-2 coins, with gaming tokens also rising.

加密货币市场正在寻求重新获得平衡，比特币在周二的美国通货膨胀报告中弹跳超过81,000美元。从广义上讲，从星期一晚上的低点恢复是由第1层和第2层硬币领导的，游戏令牌也在上升。

The rebound comes amid indications of “peak fear” on Wall Street, a dynamic typically observed at market bottoms.

反弹出现在华尔街“高峰恐惧”的迹象之中，这是一个动态的，通常在市场底部观察到。

Interestingly, the spread between one- and six-month futures tied to the VIX, Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge, crossed above zero on Monday, signaling a rare positive reading and reflecting expectations for greater volatility in the short-term than six months out. Volmex's Bitcoin volatility index shows a similar inversion, although that is more common in the crypto market.

有趣的是，周一，华尔街所谓的恐惧量表与VIX相关的一个月和六个月期货之间的蔓延在周一越过零以上，这表明罕见的积极阅读，并反映了短期内对六个月的波动性更大的期望。 Volmex的比特币波动率指数显示出类似的反转，尽管这在加密货币市场中更为常见。

“Is the worst behind us? It’s impossible to say,” noted Ilan Solot, senior global market strategist at Marex Solutions, in an email to CoinDesk. “However, the risk-reward for entering long positions in U.S. stocks is improving. The VIX index for volatility is now significantly inverted, meaning near-term contracts are priced higher than long-term ones. This is an important sign of stress, but it can also indicate extremes in sentiment.”

“我们身后最糟糕吗？不可能说。 “但是，进入美国股票长期职位的风险回报正在改善。 VIX的波动性指数现在已大大倒转，这意味着近期合同的价格高于长期合同。这是压力的重要迹象，但也可以表明情绪中的极端。”

Meanwhile, bullish positioning in the yen appears stretched, suggesting the haven currency's rally may soon lose steam, potentially providing relief to risk assets in the process.

同时，日元中的看涨位置似乎延伸了，这表明避风港的集会可能很快就会失去动力，有可能在此过程中减轻风险资产。

The Truflation U.S. Inflation Index, which offers a daily, real-time measurement of inflation based on data from over 30 sources and 13 million price points, has dropped to 1.35%, extending a decline from February's high of over 2%. This trend hints at the progress on inflation the Federal Reserve is looking for before considering rate cuts.

Truflation US通货膨胀指数根据来自30多个来源和1300万个价格点的数据提供了每日实时的通货膨胀量值，已下降到1.35％，从2月的高点延长了2％以上。这种趋势暗示了美联储在考虑削减税率之前正在寻找的通货膨胀的进展。

On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a month-over-month increase of 0.3% for February. This would be a notable deceleration from January's concerning 0.5%. A soft reading could validate traders' expectations for rapid rate cuts starting in June, possibly leading to renewed risk-on sentiment. However, it’s important to note that Chairman Jerome Powell has indicated the Fed is waiting for clarity on President Trump's policies before making its next move, suggesting that soft CPI data alone might not be enough.

周三，劳工统计局预计将显示2月份的月份增长0.3％。这将是一月份的0.5％的显着减速。轻柔的阅读可以验证交易者对6月份开始快速降低的期望，这可能会导致新的风险情绪。但是，重要的是要注意，董事长杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）表示，美联储在采取下一步行动之前正在等待特朗普总统的政策，这表明仅软CPI数据可能还不够。

On the other hand, a hotter-than-expected CPI print could derail recovery prospects, setting the stage for a deeper slide in bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Some analysts predict bitcoin could drop to $74,000.

另一方面，高于预期的CPI印刷品可能会使恢复前景脱轨，这为比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场的更深层次滑动奠定了基础。一些分析师预测，比特币可能会降至74,000美元。

"A bearish pattern persists on the daily timeframes, indicating a strengthening sell-off after failing to hold above the 200-day moving average. The scenario of a pullback to the $70,000 to $74,000 range still looks most probable," said Alex Kuptsikevich, senior market analyst at FxPro, in an email to CoinDesk. Stay alert!

FXPRO的高级市场分析师Alex KuptsikeVich表示：“每天的时间范围内，每日时间范围都存在，这表明在未能保持超过200天的移动平均线后，抛售了抛售。在FXPRO的高级市场分析师Alex Kuptsikevich表示：“回到70,000美元至74,000美元的$ 70,000至74,000美元的情况仍然看起来最可能。”保持警觉！

What to Watch

看什么

Crypto:March 11, 9:00 a.m.: Horizen (ZEN) mainnet network upgrade to version ZEN 5.0.6 at block height 1,730,680.March 11, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. House Financial Services Committee hearing about a federal framework for stablecoins and a CBDC. Livestream link.March 11: The Bitcoin Policy Institute and Senator Cynthia Lummis co-host the invitation-only one-day "Bitcoin for America" event in Washington.March 12: Hemi (HEMI), an L2 blockchain that operates on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, has its mainnet launch.March 15: Athene Network (ATH) mainnet launch.March 15: Reploy will close its V1 RAI staking program to new users as it transitions to a fully automated revenue-sharing protocol.March 17.: CME Group launches solana SOLUSD futures.March 18: Zano (ZANO) hard fork network upgrade which activates “ETH Signature support for off-chain signing and asset operations.”March 20: Pascal hard fork network upgrade goes live on the BNB Smart Chain (BSC) mainnet.MacroMarch 11, 8:00 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) releases January industrial production data.Industrial Production MoM Est. 0.4% vs. Prev. -0.3%Industrial Production YoY Est. 2.2% vs. Prev. 1.6%March 11, 10:00 a.m.: The U.S.

加密：3月11日，上午9:00：Horizen（Zen）Mainnet网络升级到版本ZEN 5.0.6在Block Height 1,730,680.March 11，10：00 AM：美国众议院金融服务委员会听取了有关StableCoins联邦框架和CBDC的联邦框架。直播链接。第11页：比特币政策研究所和参议员辛西娅·卢米斯（Cynthia Lummis）在华盛顿举行的仅邀请的一日“美国比特币”活动。向新用户的计划，因为它过渡到完全自动化的收入共享协议。年3月17日：CME Group启动Solana solusd Futures。 8:00 AM：巴西地理与统计研究所（IBGE）发布一月的工业生产数据。 0.4％与上一篇。 -0.3％工业生产约埃斯特。 2.2％vs.上一条。 1.6％3月11日，上午10:00：美国