標題：加密貨幣市場正在尋求恢復平衡，比特幣彈跳超過80,000美元

加密貨幣市場正在尋求重新獲得平衡，在明天的美國通貨膨脹報告之前，比特幣在81,000美元之前彈跳。

Crypto traders are beginning the new trading week focused on U.S. inflation data, with a soft reading of the consumer price index (CPI) boding well for recovery in bitcoin and broader crypto prices.

加密貨幣交易者正在開始新的交易週，重點是美國通貨膨脹數據，對消費者價格指數（CPI）的淡淡閱讀良好，可以很好地恢復比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣價格。

The crypto market is looking to regain poise, with bitcoin bouncing above $81,000 ahead of Tuesday's U.S. inflation report. Broadly speaking, the recovery from Monday night lows is led by layer-1 and layer-2 coins, with gaming tokens also rising.

加密貨幣市場正在尋求重新獲得平衡，比特幣在周二的美國通貨膨脹報告中彈跳超過81,000美元。從廣義上講，從星期一晚上的低點恢復是由第1層和第2層硬幣領導的，遊戲令牌也在上升。

The rebound comes amid indications of “peak fear” on Wall Street, a dynamic typically observed at market bottoms.

反彈出現在華爾街“高峰恐懼”的跡象之中，這是一個動態的，通常在市場底部觀察到。

Interestingly, the spread between one- and six-month futures tied to the VIX, Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge, crossed above zero on Monday, signaling a rare positive reading and reflecting expectations for greater volatility in the short-term than six months out. Volmex's Bitcoin volatility index shows a similar inversion, although that is more common in the crypto market.

有趣的是，週一，華爾街所謂的恐懼量表與VIX相關的一個月和六個月期貨之間的蔓延在周一越過零以上，這表明罕見的積極閱讀，並反映了短期內對六個月的波動性更大的期望。 Volmex的比特幣波動率指數顯示出類似的反轉，儘管這在加密貨幣市場中更為常見。

“Is the worst behind us? It’s impossible to say,” noted Ilan Solot, senior global market strategist at Marex Solutions, in an email to CoinDesk. “However, the risk-reward for entering long positions in U.S. stocks is improving. The VIX index for volatility is now significantly inverted, meaning near-term contracts are priced higher than long-term ones. This is an important sign of stress, but it can also indicate extremes in sentiment.”

“我們身後最糟糕嗎？不可能說。 “但是，進入美國股票長期職位的風險回報正在改善。 VIX的波動性指數現在已大大倒轉，這意味著近期合同的價格高於長期合同。這是壓力的重要跡象，但也可以表明情緒中的極端。”

Meanwhile, bullish positioning in the yen appears stretched, suggesting the haven currency's rally may soon lose steam, potentially providing relief to risk assets in the process.

同時，日元中的看漲位置似乎延伸了，這表明避風港的集會可能很快就會失去動力，有可能在此過程中減輕風險資產。

The Truflation U.S. Inflation Index, which offers a daily, real-time measurement of inflation based on data from over 30 sources and 13 million price points, has dropped to 1.35%, extending a decline from February's high of over 2%. This trend hints at the progress on inflation the Federal Reserve is looking for before considering rate cuts.

Truflation US通貨膨脹指數根據來自30多個來源和1300萬個價格點的數據提供了每日實時的通貨膨脹量值，已下降到1.35％，從2月的高點延長了2％以上。這種趨勢暗示了美聯儲在考慮削減稅率之前正在尋找的通貨膨脹的進展。

On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a month-over-month increase of 0.3% for February. This would be a notable deceleration from January's concerning 0.5%. A soft reading could validate traders' expectations for rapid rate cuts starting in June, possibly leading to renewed risk-on sentiment. However, it’s important to note that Chairman Jerome Powell has indicated the Fed is waiting for clarity on President Trump's policies before making its next move, suggesting that soft CPI data alone might not be enough.

週三，勞工統計局預計將顯示2月份的月份增長0.3％。這將是一月份的0.5％的顯著減速。輕柔的閱讀可以驗證交易者對6月份開始快速降低的期望，這可能會導致新的風險情緒。但是，重要的是要注意，董事長杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）表示，美聯儲在採取下一步行動之前正在等待特朗普總統的政策，這表明僅軟CPI數據可能還不夠。

On the other hand, a hotter-than-expected CPI print could derail recovery prospects, setting the stage for a deeper slide in bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Some analysts predict bitcoin could drop to $74,000.

另一方面，高於預期的CPI印刷品可能會使恢復前景脫軌，這為比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場的更深層次滑動奠定了基礎。一些分析師預測，比特幣可能會降至74,000美元。

"A bearish pattern persists on the daily timeframes, indicating a strengthening sell-off after failing to hold above the 200-day moving average. The scenario of a pullback to the $70,000 to $74,000 range still looks most probable," said Alex Kuptsikevich, senior market analyst at FxPro, in an email to CoinDesk. Stay alert!

FXPRO的高級市場分析師Alex KuptsikeVich表示：“每天的時間範圍內，每日時間範圍都存在，這表明在未能保持超過200天的移動平均線後，拋售了拋售。在FXPRO的高級市場分析師Alex Kuptsikevich表示：“回到70,000美元至74,000美元的$ 70,000至74,000美元的情況仍然看起來最可能。”保持警覺！

What to Watch

看什麼

Crypto:March 11, 9:00 a.m.: Horizen (ZEN) mainnet network upgrade to version ZEN 5.0.6 at block height 1,730,680.March 11, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. House Financial Services Committee hearing about a federal framework for stablecoins and a CBDC. Livestream link.March 11: The Bitcoin Policy Institute and Senator Cynthia Lummis co-host the invitation-only one-day "Bitcoin for America" event in Washington.March 12: Hemi (HEMI), an L2 blockchain that operates on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, has its mainnet launch.March 15: Athene Network (ATH) mainnet launch.March 15: Reploy will close its V1 RAI staking program to new users as it transitions to a fully automated revenue-sharing protocol.March 17.: CME Group launches solana SOLUSD futures.March 18: Zano (ZANO) hard fork network upgrade which activates “ETH Signature support for off-chain signing and asset operations.”March 20: Pascal hard fork network upgrade goes live on the BNB Smart Chain (BSC) mainnet.MacroMarch 11, 8:00 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) releases January industrial production data.Industrial Production MoM Est. 0.4% vs. Prev. -0.3%Industrial Production YoY Est. 2.2% vs. Prev. 1.6%March 11, 10:00 a.m.: The U.S.

加密：3月11日，上午9:00：Horizen（Zen）Mainnet網絡升級到版本ZEN 5.0.6在Block Height 1,730,680.March 11，10：00 AM：美國眾議院金融服務委員會聽取了有關StableCoins聯邦框架和CBDC的聯邦框架。直播鏈接。第11頁：比特幣政策研究所和參議員辛西婭·盧米斯（Cynthia Lummis）在華盛頓舉行的僅邀請的一日“美國比特幣”活動。向新用戶的計劃，因為它過渡到完全自動化的收入共享協議。年3月17日：CME Group啟動Solana solusd Futures。 8:00 AM：巴西地理與統計研究所（IBGE）發布一月的工業生產數據。 0.4％與上一篇。 -0.3％工業生產約埃斯特。 2.2％vs.上一條。 1.6％3月11日，上午10:00：美國