是时候出售狗狗吗？加密资深人士警告70％的门票价格崩溃

在最近的市场崩溃中，总督价格损失了很大，因为它损失了17％以上，现在的交易价格约为0.21美元。

Time to Sell Dogecoin? Crypto Veteran Warns of 70% DOGE Price Crash

是时候出售狗狗吗？加密资深人士警告70％的门票价格崩溃

The DOGE price took a large hit during the recent market crash as it lost over 15% and is now trading around $0.22.

在最近的市场崩溃中，总督的价格受到了很大的打击，因为它损失了15％以上，现在的交易价格约为0.22美元。

Crypto veteran Ali Martinez posted a couple of viral DOGE charts in which he highlighted some concerning technical analysis and on-chain metrics that suggest the altcoin could be setting up for a steeper correction.

加密资深人士阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）发布了几个病毒式的大门图表，其中他强调了一些有关技术分析和链链指标，这些指标表明Altcoin可能正在设置更陡峭的校正。

Technical Analysis Signals Potential Downside

技术分析信号潜在的缺点

Martinez’s chart analysis shows Dogecoin’s long-term price movements within an ascending channel starting around 2015. DOGE maintained this channel with regular rallies and corrections until 2021, when it experienced a massive parabolic run-up, breaking well above the channel to above $0.70 before retracing significantly.

马丁内斯（Martinez）的图表分析显示，狗狗币（Dogecoin显著地。

After the 2021 peak, DOGE fell heavily, dropping back into the channel and entering a lengthy sideways accumulation phase between $0.05 and $0.10. Over recent months, DOGE broke out from this accumulation zone and rallied towards $0.50, but has since faced strong resistance and is now pulling back.

在2021年的峰值之后，总督跌倒了，倒入频道，进入0.05美元至0.10美元之间的长时间侧向累积阶段。近几个月来，Doge从这个累积区爆发了，并向0.50美元集会，但此后一直面临着强烈的抵抗力，现在正在退缩。

The Fibonacci retracement levels on Martinez’s chart are particularly concerning. DOGE recently broke below the key 0.786 level (approximately $0.1978), which previously acted as resistance and support. Breaking below this level suggests increased downside risk. If the decline continues, DOGE could fall to the 0.618 level (around $0.0958), a historically important retracement level.

马丁内斯图表上的斐波那契回答水平尤其令人担忧。 Doge最近打破了密钥0.786水平（约合0.1978美元），该水平以前是电阻和支持。突破此水平表明下行风险增加。如果下降幅度继续下降，Doge可能会降至0.618水平（约合0.0958美元），这是历史上重要的回答水平。

If #Dogecoin $DOGE drops below $0.19, the probability of a deeper correction toward $0.060 significantly increases! pic. bật kiên thức trong hình ảnh

如果#DogeCoin $ Doge下跌低于$ 0.19，则更深入校正的可能性将大大增加！图片。 bậtKiênthứctronghìnhảnh

In a worst-case scenario, DOGE might retrace to the 0.5 level (approximately $0.0316), which coincides with major accumulation periods before the 2021 run. Though unlikely in the near term, a full retracement could take DOGE back to the deep support at the 0.236 level (about $0.0059).

在最坏的情况下，Doge可能会回落到0.5级（约合0.0316美元），这与2021年运行前的主要积累期相吻合。尽管在短期内不太可能，但完整的回答可能会使Doge以0.236的水平（约合0.0059美元）恢复到深层支撑。

The ascending parallel channel structure indicates an overall long-term uptrend, though price moves between its bands. The black horizontal support zone around $0.13 is critical, as it aligns with previous higher lows and structural support. Higher Fibonacci extensions show potential resistance areas at $0.50, $1.00, $4.10, $10.04, and $36.32 if DOGE were to resume an uptrend.

尽管价格在其频段之间移动，但升到平行的通道结构表明总体上升趋势。黑色的水平支撑区约为$ 0.13，因为它与以前的较高低点和结构支撑相符，因此至关重要。如果Doge恢复上升趋势，则较高的斐波那契扩展显示潜在的阻力区域为0.50美元，1.00美元，4.10美元，10.04美元和$ 36.32。

Martinez warns that if DOGE falls below $0.19, the probability of a deep correction to $0.06 becomes more significant. This aligns with technical analysis, as $0.19 corresponds to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, and losing it opens the door for lower retracement targets. The next key support region would be between $0.07 and $0.06, which aligns with historical accumulation phases.

马丁内斯警告说，如果Doge低于$ 0.19，则深入更正至0.06美元的可能性将变得更加重要。这与技术分析保持一致，因为$ 0.19对应于0.786的斐波那契水平，而失去的则为较低的回撤目标打开了大门。下一个关键支持区域将在0.07美元至0.06美元之间，这与历史累积阶段保持一致。

Read Also: 3 Best Altcoins to Buy the Dip As Bitcoin Crashes Below $90K - Hint: Not XRP

另请阅读：3个最佳山寨币以低于$ 90k的比特币崩溃 - 提示：不是XRP

Dogecoin Network Activity Shows Alarming Decline

Dogecoin网络活动显示令人震惊的下降

The on-chain metrics in Martinez’s analysis add another layer of concern. On November 21, 2024, DOGE had 1,292,770 new addresses and was trading at $0.3868. This high level of network activity coincided with a relatively strong price level. The total number of active addresses at this point was around 2.66 million.

马丁内斯分析中的链链指标增加了另一层关注。 2024年11月21日，总督有1,292,770个新地址，交易价格为0.3868美元。这种高水平的网络活动与价格水平相对较高。目前，活动地址的总数约为266万。

#Dogecoin $DOGE network activity has declined by 95%, dropping from 2.66 million active addresses in November to just 130,282 today! pic. bật kiên thức trong hình ảnh

#DogeCoin $ Doge网络活动下降了95％，从11月的266万个活动地址下降到今天的130,282！图片。 bậtKiênthứctronghìnhảnh

From December 2024 to February 2025, the number of active addresses steadily declined. By February 23, 2025, the number of new addresses had plummeted to just 30,815. The total number of active addresses dropped to 130,282, marking a 95% decline from November.

从2024年12月到2025年2月，活动地址的数量稳步下降。到2025年2月23日，新地址的数量仅下降到30,815。主动地址的总数下降到130,282，比11月份下降了95％。

DOGE’s price followed a downward trend but did not crash as dramatically as the active addresses. On February 23, 2025, DOGE was trading at $0.2433, down from its November levels but not in complete collapse.

Doge的价格遵循下降趋势，但没有像主动地址那样巨大的崩溃。 2025年2月23日，Doge的交易价格为0.2433美元，低于11月的水平，但没有完全崩溃。

The drop from 2.66 million active addresses to just 130,282 suggests fewer users are transacting, trading, or interacting with the DOGE network. This is often considered a bearish sign since fewer active users typically mean reduced demand and utility.

从266万个活动地址下降到仅130,282，这表明用户在交易，交易或与Doge Network互动的用户更少。这通常被认为是看跌信号，因为较少的活跃用户通常意味着需求减少和实用性。

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