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VirtualBacon 分享了对比特币(BTC)现状的见解,指出虽然加密货币正在经历急剧调整,但没有理由恐慌。
As Bitcoin (BTC) experiences a sharp correction, many are wondering whether it’s time to buy the dip. I’m not panicking because we’re still above the critical Bull Market Support Band, which lies between $61K and $62.5K on the weekly timeframe.
随着比特币(BTC)经历大幅调整,许多人想知道是否是逢低买入的时候了。我并不惊慌,因为我们仍然高于关键的牛市支撑带,该支撑带在每周时间范围内位于 61,000 美元到 62,500 美元之间。
This band has acted as both support and resistance throughout 2022, presenting two primary buy zones: $62.5K and the lower range between $58.8K and $60K. These levels align with previous highs, liquidity sweeps, and the 200-Day EMA, which is considered a critical long-term support level.
该区间在 2022 年期间既充当支撑位又充当阻力位,呈现出两个主要买入区域:6.25 万美元和 5.88 万美元至 6 万美元之间的较低区间。这些水平与之前的高点、流动性扫荡和 200 日均线一致,被认为是关键的长期支撑位。
I’m waiting for two consecutive weekly closes above $63K to confirm a robust bounce. The Bull Market Support Band serves as a crucial level to monitor. The 200-Day EMA, currently around $60K on the daily timeframe, has also acted as both support and resistance over the past six months. A bounce from $60K would signify strength, whereas a daily close below $58K could indicate a bearish trend reversal.
我正在等待连续两周收盘价高于 63,000 美元以确认强劲反弹。牛市支撑带是需要监控的关键水平。 200 天均线目前在每日时间范围内约为 6 万美元,在过去六个月中也起到了支撑和阻力的作用。从 60,000 美元反弹将意味着强势,而每日收盘价低于 58,000 美元可能表明看跌趋势逆转。
In terms of buying targets during this dip, I’m accumulating in the $58K-$60K range, viewing it as a high-risk-to-reward zone. However, a close below $57K would raise concerns, prompting me to reassess my positions. The expectation is that as long as Bitcoin holds above $58K, it could establish a higher low, setting the stage for a new high above $66K.
就这次下跌期间的买入目标而言,我在 58,000 美元至 60,000 美元范围内积累资金,将其视为高风险回报区域。然而,收盘价低于 57,000 美元会引起担忧,促使我重新评估我的头寸。人们预计,只要比特币保持在 58,000 美元以上,它就可能会创下更高的低点,为突破 66,000 美元以上的新高奠定基础。
Some altcoins are exhibiting remarkable strength during this dip. I categorize my portfolio into five key sectors: AI, Gaming, Meme Coins, RWAs, and Layer 1s. Using resources like TradingView’s Coin Screener and CoinGecko’s Category Tracker, I identified strong performers in the previous month, particularly in the Meme Coins, Gaming, and Layer 1 sectors.
一些山寨币在这次下跌期间表现出了非凡的实力。我将我的投资组合分为五个关键领域:人工智能、游戏、Meme 币、RWA 和 Layer 1。使用 TradingView 的 Coin Screener 和 CoinGecko 的 Category Tracker 等资源,我确定了上个月表现强劲的公司,特别是在 Meme 币、游戏和 Layer 1 领域。
AI coins remain resilient, with high-quality projects such as Fetch.ai (FTM), Render Network (RNDR), and SingularityNET (AGIX) showing positive gains. I recommend dip-buying opportunities in this sector.
AI币保持弹性,Fetch.ai (FTM)、Render Network (RNDR) 和 SingularityNET (AGIX) 等优质项目都表现出积极的收益。我建议逢低买入该行业的机会。
Meme coins like Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), Pepe, and Wojak are also holding up well. I suggest focusing on established names to mitigate volatility risks.
狗狗币 (DOGE)、柴犬币 (SHIB)、佩佩 (Pepe) 和 Wojak 等模因币也表现良好。我建议关注知名品牌以减轻波动风险。
On the other hand, gaming altcoins are facing struggles. Projects such as The Sandbox (SAND), Axie Infinity (AXS), and Gala (GALA) have not demonstrated the same strength, and I advise patience, suggesting that only a few gaming coins are currently showing true potential.
另一方面,游戏山寨币正面临困境。 The Sandbox (SAND)、Axie Infinity (AXS) 和 Gala (GALA) 等项目尚未表现出同样的实力,我建议保持耐心,这表明目前只有少数游戏币显示出真正的潜力。
A standout performer in the gaming sector is SuperVerse (SVS), which has maintained its uptrend despite market corrections. My buy range for this coin is between $0.78 and $0.92, with a stop-loss set below $0.58. Another gaming coin showing momentum is Prime (PRIM), but it is considered riskier due to its trading position. A dip to $7-$8 could provide a better entry point.
SuperVerse(SVS)是游戏行业中表现出色的公司,尽管市场出现调整,但该公司仍保持上升趋势。我对该币的买入范围是 0.78 美元到 0.92 美元之间,止损设置在 0.58 美元以下。另一种表现出势头的游戏币是 Prime (PRIM),但由于其交易地位,它被认为风险较高。跌至 7-8 美元可能会提供更好的切入点。
I’m also keeping an eye on XBorg (XBG), a low-cap gaming play, targeting $0.63 as a short-term stop-loss. The logic behind this trade is that all tokens are 100% unlocked, reducing early selling pressure and making it a more attractive long-term hold compared to other small caps.
我还在关注 XBorg (XBG),这是一种低市值游戏,目标价为 0.63 美元作为短期止损。这项交易背后的逻辑是,所有代币都是 100% 解锁的,减少了早期的抛售压力,并使其与其他小盘股相比更具吸引力的长期持有。
As for coins to avoid, I’m expressing caution towards SUI, given the unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. The next support level is at $0.76, making it too risky for entry. In contrast, Solana (SOL) is viewed more favorably, with strong support at $125. I plan to build a position from this level down to $125 with a stop-loss at $100.
至于要避免的硬币,鉴于不利的风险回报比,我对 SUI 表示谨慎。下一个支撑位是 0.76 美元,入场风险太大。相比之下,Solana (SOL) 受到更青睐,在 125 美元有强劲支撑。我计划从该水平建仓至 125 美元,止损为 100 美元。
Another Layer 1 coin to watch closely is Fantom (FTM), especially with the upcoming Sonic Chain release, which could position it as a competitive player in the space. My target entry for Fantom is between $0.58 and $0.60, with a stop-loss at the previous low.
另一种值得密切关注的 Layer 1 代币是 Fantom (FTM),尤其是即将发布的 Sonic Chain 版本,这可能会将其定位为该领域的竞争者。我的 Fantom 目标入场价在 0.58 美元至 0.60 美元之间,止损设在之前的低点。
Additionally, Axelar (AXL) is a promising project pivoting toward RWA infrastructure, with partnerships with major financial institutions. The target entry for Axelar is set at $0.47, with a stop-loss below $0.42, as I anticipate significant developments in 2025.
此外,Axelar(AXL)是一个有前景的项目,重点转向 RWA 基础设施,并与主要金融机构建立了合作伙伴关系。 Axelar 的目标入场价定为 0.47 美元,止损价低于 0.42 美元,因为我预计 2025 年会有重大发展。
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