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VirtualBacon 分享了對比特幣(BTC)現狀的見解,指出雖然加密貨幣正在經歷急劇調整,但沒有理由恐慌。
As Bitcoin (BTC) experiences a sharp correction, many are wondering whether it’s time to buy the dip. I’m not panicking because we’re still above the critical Bull Market Support Band, which lies between $61K and $62.5K on the weekly timeframe.
隨著比特幣(BTC)經歷大幅調整,許多人想知道是否是逢低買入的時候了。我並不驚慌,因為我們仍然高於關鍵的牛市支撐帶,該支撐帶在每週時間範圍內位於 61,000 美元到 62,500 美元之間。
This band has acted as both support and resistance throughout 2022, presenting two primary buy zones: $62.5K and the lower range between $58.8K and $60K. These levels align with previous highs, liquidity sweeps, and the 200-Day EMA, which is considered a critical long-term support level.
該區間在 2022 年期間既充當支撐位又充當阻力位,呈現出兩個主要買入區域:6.25 萬美元和 5.88 萬美元至 6 萬美元之間的較低區間。這些水準與先前的高點、流動性掃蕩和 200 日均線一致,被認為是關鍵的長期支撐位。
I’m waiting for two consecutive weekly closes above $63K to confirm a robust bounce. The Bull Market Support Band serves as a crucial level to monitor. The 200-Day EMA, currently around $60K on the daily timeframe, has also acted as both support and resistance over the past six months. A bounce from $60K would signify strength, whereas a daily close below $58K could indicate a bearish trend reversal.
我正在等待連續兩週收盤價高於 63,000 美元以確認強勁反彈。牛市支撐帶是需要監控的關鍵水平。 200 天均線目前在每日時間範圍內約為 6 萬美元,在過去六個月中也起到了支撐和阻力的作用。從 60,000 美元反彈將意味著強勢,而每日收盤價低於 58,000 美元可能表明看跌趨勢逆轉。
In terms of buying targets during this dip, I’m accumulating in the $58K-$60K range, viewing it as a high-risk-to-reward zone. However, a close below $57K would raise concerns, prompting me to reassess my positions. The expectation is that as long as Bitcoin holds above $58K, it could establish a higher low, setting the stage for a new high above $66K.
就這次下跌期間的買入目標而言,我在 58,000 美元至 60,000 美元範圍內累積資金,將其視為高風險回報區域。然而,收盤價低於 57,000 美元會引起擔憂,促使我重新評估我的部位。人們預計,只要比特幣保持在 58,000 美元以上,它就可能會創下更高的低點,為突破 66,000 美元以上的新高奠定基礎。
Some altcoins are exhibiting remarkable strength during this dip. I categorize my portfolio into five key sectors: AI, Gaming, Meme Coins, RWAs, and Layer 1s. Using resources like TradingView’s Coin Screener and CoinGecko’s Category Tracker, I identified strong performers in the previous month, particularly in the Meme Coins, Gaming, and Layer 1 sectors.
一些山寨幣在這次下跌期間表現出了非凡的實力。我將我的投資組合分為五個關鍵領域:人工智慧、遊戲、Meme 幣、RWA 和 Layer 1。使用 TradingView 的 Coin Screener 和 CoinGecko 的 Category Tracker 等資源,我確定了上個月表現強勁的公司,特別是在 Meme 幣、遊戲和 Layer 1 領域。
AI coins remain resilient, with high-quality projects such as Fetch.ai (FTM), Render Network (RNDR), and SingularityNET (AGIX) showing positive gains. I recommend dip-buying opportunities in this sector.
AI幣保持彈性,Fetch.ai (FTM)、Render Network (RNDR) 和 SingularityNET (AGIX) 等優質項目都表現出積極的收益。我建議逢低買進該行業的機會。
Meme coins like Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), Pepe, and Wojak are also holding up well. I suggest focusing on established names to mitigate volatility risks.
狗狗幣 (DOGE)、柴犬幣 (SHIB)、佩佩 (Pepe) 和 Wojak 等迷因幣也表現良好。我建議關注知名品牌以減輕波動風險。
On the other hand, gaming altcoins are facing struggles. Projects such as The Sandbox (SAND), Axie Infinity (AXS), and Gala (GALA) have not demonstrated the same strength, and I advise patience, suggesting that only a few gaming coins are currently showing true potential.
另一方面,遊戲山寨幣正面臨困境。 The Sandbox (SAND)、Axie Infinity (AXS) 和 Gala (GALA) 等項目尚未表現出同樣的實力,我建議保持耐心,這表明目前只有少數遊戲幣顯示出真正的潛力。
A standout performer in the gaming sector is SuperVerse (SVS), which has maintained its uptrend despite market corrections. My buy range for this coin is between $0.78 and $0.92, with a stop-loss set below $0.58. Another gaming coin showing momentum is Prime (PRIM), but it is considered riskier due to its trading position. A dip to $7-$8 could provide a better entry point.
SuperVerse(SVS)是遊戲產業中表現出色的公司,儘管市場出現調整,但該公司仍保持上升趨勢。我對該幣的買入範圍是 0.78 美元到 0.92 美元之間,停損設定在 0.58 美元以下。另一種表現出勢頭的遊戲幣是 Prime (PRIM),但由於其交易地位,它被認為風險較高。跌至 7-8 美元可能會提供更好的切入點。
I’m also keeping an eye on XBorg (XBG), a low-cap gaming play, targeting $0.63 as a short-term stop-loss. The logic behind this trade is that all tokens are 100% unlocked, reducing early selling pressure and making it a more attractive long-term hold compared to other small caps.
我還在關注 XBorg (XBG),這是一種低市值遊戲,目標價為 0.63 美元作為短期停損。這項交易背後的邏輯是,所有代幣都是 100% 解鎖的,減少了早期的拋售壓力,並使其與其他小型股相比更具吸引力的長期持有。
As for coins to avoid, I’m expressing caution towards SUI, given the unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. The next support level is at $0.76, making it too risky for entry. In contrast, Solana (SOL) is viewed more favorably, with strong support at $125. I plan to build a position from this level down to $125 with a stop-loss at $100.
至於要避免的硬幣,鑑於不利的風險回報比,我對 SUI 表示謹慎。下一個支撐位是 0.76 美元,入場風險太大。相比之下,Solana (SOL) 受到更青睞,在 125 美元有強勁支撐。我計劃從該水平建倉至 125 美元,止損為 100 美元。
Another Layer 1 coin to watch closely is Fantom (FTM), especially with the upcoming Sonic Chain release, which could position it as a competitive player in the space. My target entry for Fantom is between $0.58 and $0.60, with a stop-loss at the previous low.
另一個值得密切關注的 Layer 1 代幣是 Fantom (FTM),尤其是即將發布的 Sonic Chain 版本,這可能會將其定位為該領域的競爭者。我的 Fantom 目標入場價在 0.58 美元至 0.60 美元之間,止損設在先前的低點。
Additionally, Axelar (AXL) is a promising project pivoting toward RWA infrastructure, with partnerships with major financial institutions. The target entry for Axelar is set at $0.47, with a stop-loss below $0.42, as I anticipate significant developments in 2025.
此外,Axelar(AXL)是一個有前景的項目,重點轉向 RWA 基礎設施,並與主要金融機構建立了合作夥伴關係。 Axelar 的目標入場價定為 0.47 美元,停損價低於 0.42 美元,因為我預計 2025 年會有重大發展。
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