超级碗Lix硬币折腾，首次驾驶和第一次达阵得分手趋势

堪萨斯城酋长在NFL赛季的最后一场比赛中扮演费城老鹰队，超级碗Lix对决是设定的。大型比赛之前不乏故事情节，其中包括硬币抛弃，首次驾驶和首次达阵得分手趋势，可以在冠军赛之前挖掘。

The Super Bowl LIX matchup is set, as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Philadelphia Eagles in the final game of the NFL season.

堪萨斯城酋长在NFL赛季的最后一场比赛中扮演费城老鹰队，超级碗Lix对决是设定的。

There's no shortage of storylines ahead of the big game, and that includes the coin toss, first drive, and first touchdown scorer trends to dig into ahead of the championship game.

大型比赛之前不乏故事情节，其中包括硬币抛弃，首次驾驶和首次达阵得分手趋势，可以在冠军赛之前挖掘。

Here's what you should know ahead of Super Bowl LIX's early-game trends.

这是您在超级碗Lix早期游戏趋势之前应该知道的。

Super Bowl LIX Coin Toss Trends

超级碗Lix硬币折腾趋势

While it's common for NFL teams to defer coin tosses and receive the second-half kickoff, that trend has really applied for this year's Super Bowl competitors.

尽管NFL球队推迟硬币并获得下半场开球很常见，但这种趋势确实申请了今年的超级碗竞争对手。

The Eagles won 12 coin tosses (via Pro-Football-Reference) this year and deferred on every single one of those flip wins, thus choosing to kick the ball away in the first half and receive the second-half kickoff instead.

老鹰队今年赢得了12枚硬币投掷（通过亲足球引用），并延迟了这些翻转冠军的每一次冠军，因此选择在上半场踢球并获得下半场的开球。

The Chiefs won nine tosses this year. They also deferred every win.

酋长队今年赢得了9次折腾。他们还推迟了每一场胜利。

Also, for the sake of completeness, when these two teams met in Super Bowl LVII, the Chiefs won the toss -- and deferred to the second half.

另外，为了完整，当这两支球队在超级碗LVII中相遇时，酋长队赢得了掷骰，并推迟到下半场。

So, no, we don't have an angle where one team likes to receive and one team always kicks to open games, and we at least know that history suggests the toss winner will elect to kick off to start the game.

因此，不，我们没有一个球队喜欢接收的角度，一支球队总是踢开球，我们至少知道历史表明，掷球的冠军将选择开始比赛。

Super Bowl LIX First Drive Trends

超级碗Lix First Drive趋势

These are some of the best teams in football, so it's not that surprising that they have some strong early-game splits.

这些是足球比赛中最好的球队，因此他们的比赛早期分裂很强并不奇怪。

Here are the first-drive results and ranks for each team.

这是每个团队的首次驱动结果和排名。

For example, 36.8% of the Chiefs' opening drives resulted in a touchdown, which ranks fifth in the NFL.

例如，36.8％的酋长开场驱动力导致了达阵，在NFL中排名第五。

The Chiefs have scored a touchdown on 57.9% of their opening drives in some form or fashion (36.8% touchdown drives and 21.1% field goal drives), which is the third-highest rate in football.

酋长队以某种形式或时尚（36.8％的达阵驱动器和21.1％的射门得分驱动器）在57.9％的开场驱动器上进行了达阵，这是足球比赛中第三高的速度。

They have scored four times in their last five games (four touchdown drives and a punt -- though the punt was in Week 18 when the starters were out for rest).

他们在过去的五场比赛中获得了四次得分（四次达阵驱动和平底船 - 尽管平底船是在第18周开始休息的第18周）。

As for the Eagles, they have a 40.0% score rate (25.0% touchdown drives and 15.0% field goal drives -- excluding a missed field goal).

至于老鹰队，他们的得分率为40.0％（触地得分25.0％和15.0％的射门得分驱动器 - 不包括错过的射门得分）。

However, they had a really poor start to the season on opening drives, as seen above.

但是，如上所述，他们在开场驱动器上的开局非常差。

It wasn't until Week 16 (their 15th game of the season) that the Eagles scored an opening drive touchdown.

直到第16周（他们本赛季的第15场比赛），老鹰队才获得开场射门得分。

Since (and including that week), they have scored a touchdown on five of six of their opening drives -- including four straight games.

自从（包括那一周）以来，他们在六场开场赛中的五场比赛中进行了达阵，其中包括连续四场比赛。

Super Bowl LIX To First Score Trends

超级碗利克斯到第一分趋势

So, we know that these are good teams but that they like to defer the opening kickoff.

因此，我们知道这些是好球队，但他们喜欢推迟开幕式。

Even with that, they've heavily outpaced the first-score odds compared to their first-possession odds.

即使这样，与首先赔率的赔率相比，他们的第一级赔率也大大超过了第一级赔率。

The New Orleans Saints won a toss against the Chiefs and chose to receive, thus explaining the discrepancy in flip win percentage and opening kickoffs received percentage.

新奥尔良圣徒队赢得了对阵酋长的折腾，并选择接受，从而解释了Flip Win百分比的差异和开场开球获得的百分比。

Kansas City -- despite receiving just 47.4% of opening kickoffs -- scored first in their games 57.9% of the time, a 10.5-point differential.

堪萨斯城 - 尽管仅获得了开场开球的47.4％，但在比赛中有57.9％的比赛中获得了第一名，这是10.5分的差异。

For the Eagles, that number is greater: +25.0.

对于老鹰队来说，这个数字更大：+25.0。

In addition to winning 60.0% of their coin tosses (again, deferring all of them), two teams won the toss and elected to receive the opening kick against the Eagles, giving them just a 30.0% game-opening drive rate.

除了赢得60.0％的硬币投掷（再次推迟所有的硬币）外，两支球队还赢得了比赛，并选择接收对老鹰队的首场比赛，这只给了他们30.0％的开场驱动率。

Despite that, they scored first in 11 of 20 games (55.0%).

尽管如此，他们在20场比赛中的11场（55.0％）中取得了第一名。

Super Bowl LIX First Touchdown Scorer Trends

超级碗Lix首次达阵得分手趋势

So, we now know that these teams like to give away the opening possession but still tend to score first more often than not.

因此，我们现在知道这些团队喜欢放弃开幕式，但仍然倾向于首先得分。

But what about the first touchdown scorer? When each team in this game scores first, who is that player (or unit)?

但是第一个达阵得分手呢？当这个游戏中的每个团队首先得分时，那个球员（或单位）是谁？

To clarify, I'm counting just the first team touchdowns here. Therefore, if the offense kicked a field goal already or if the opposing team scored before the Chiefs or Eagles, I'm still looking at the offense's (or defense's) eventual first scorer to get a holistic view of early-game scoring trends.

为了澄清，我只是在这里数一线触地得分。因此，如果进攻已经踢出了射门得分，或者对手球队在酋长或老鹰队之前得分，我仍在研究进攻（或国防部）最终的第一个得分手，以全面了解早期的得分趋势。

While the Eagles were scarce on opening-drive touchdowns for most of the season, when they did eventually score their first touchdown of the game, Saquon Barkley was most often that guy, scoring 6 of their 20 first TDs.

尽管老鹰队在整个赛季的大部分时间里都缺乏开场驱动达阵，但当他们最终获得比赛的第一个达阵时，萨奎恩·巴克利（Saquon Barkley）通常是那个家伙，在20个第一个TD中获得了6个。

The other Eagles with multiple opening touchdowns were Jalen Hurts (five) and A.J. Brown (three).

其他带有多个开场达阵的老鹰队是Jalen Hurts（五）和AJ Brown（三个）。

The Eagles defense did score an opening TD when C.J. Gardner-Johnson had a 69-yard pick-six in Week 17

当CJ Gardner-Johnson在第17周获得69码的六杆时，老鹰队的防守确实得分为开局。